Budget Economic and Fiscal Position Report 2026
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BEFPR 2026 · file page 1
BUDGET, ECONOMIC AND FISCAL POSITION REPORT Issued under Section 49 of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, Sri Lanka November 7, 2025 2026Next page Top
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i BUDGET, ECONOMIC AND FISCAL POSITION REPORT - 2026 Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Minister of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, Sri Lanka November 07, 2025 Issued under the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 by the Hon. Minister of Finance, Planning and Economic Development.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 4
ii Printed at the Government Press, No. 118, Dr Danister De Silva Mawatha, Colombo 08, and published by the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, The Secretariat, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 5
iii
CONTENTS
Page
Key Economic Indicators
vii
Reporting Requirements under the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024
viii
Compliance - 2025
x
PART I
01. Medium-Term Fiscal Strategy Statement
1.1 Overview
5
1.2 Macro Fiscal Performance
9
1.3 Fiscal Stratergy in the Medium Term
12
PART II
02. Fiscal Developments, Treasury Operations and Foreign Financing
2.1 Overview
23
2.2 Government Revenue
26
2.3 Government Expenditure
39
2.4 Performance of the Cash Flow of the General Treasury
42
2.5 Management of Government Debt
43
2.6 Foreign Financing
43
03. Economic Perspectives
3.1 Overview
49
3.2 Economic Growth
50
3.3 Monetary Sector Developments
59
3.4 Stock Market
62
3.5 External Sector Developments
62
3.6 World Economic outlook
66
04. Performance of State-Owned Enterprises
4.1 Overview
71
4.2 Review of the 10 Major SOBEs
71
05. Basis Used for Preparation of 2026 Budget
5.1 Overview
79
5.2 Gross Domestic Product
79
5.3 Consumer Prices
79
5.4 Employment and Unemployment
79
5.5 External Sector
80
5.6 Monetary Appregates
80
5.7 Revenue
80
5.8 Expenditure
80
5.9 Borrowings
81
5.10 Sensitivities to the Estimates
81Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 6
iv Page TABLES PART I TABLE 1.1 Medium-Term Fiscal Framework: 2025 - 2030 15 PART II TABLE 2.1 Summary of Fiscal Operations 23 TABLE 2.2 Estimated and Actual Revenue and Expenditure - 2025 25 TABLE 2.3 Summary of Performance of Government Revenue 28 TABLE 2.4 Performance of Income Tax 29 TABLE 2.5 Performance of VAT 30 TABLE 2.6 Performance of Excise Duty 30 TABLE 2.7 Motor Vehicle Imports and New Registration of Vehicles 32 TABLE 2.8 Coverage of Products and Value of Imports/Exports under Free Trade Agreements 32 TABLE 2.9 CESS Revenue from International Trade 32 TABLE 2.10 Variance Analysis of Government Revenue 33 TABLE 2.11 Performance of Government Expenditure 39 TABLE 2.12 Behaviour of Yield Rates on Government Securities and Exchange Rate - (2024 to 2025) 40 TABLE 2.13 Welfare Expenditure 41 TABLE 2.14 Government Treasury Cash Flow Operations 42 TABLE 2.15 Gross Domestic Borrowings January to August 2025 43 TABLE 2.16 Disbursements of Foreign Loans and Grants (January 2025 - August 2025) 44 TABLE 3.1 Sectoral Composition of GDP at Constant (2015) Prices 51 TABLE 3.2 Selected Indicators of Services Sector 57 TABLE 3.3 Performance of Tourism Sector 58 TABLE 3.4 Sectoral Distribution of GDP Growth (%) 59 TABLE 3.5 Consumer Price Inflation (Base : 2021=100) 61 TABLE 3.6 Movements in Capital Market 62 TABLE 3.7 External Trade 65 TABLE 3.8 Key Indicators of World Economy - 2025 (Projections) 67 TABLE 4.1 Composition of Electricity Generation and Capacity 73 TABLE 4.2 Profitability of 52 State Owned Enterprises 75 TABLE 4.3 Levy/Dividend Income from State Owned Enterprises 77 FIGURES PART I FIGURE 1.1 Interest Payment as a % of Total Revenue 6 FIGURE 1.2 Key Fiscal Aggregates 2022-2024 12Previous page Next page Top
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v PART II FIGURE 2.1 Composition of Total Revenue (%) - (January to August 2025) 27 FIGURE 2.2 Tax Revenue by Sources - (January to August 2025) 28 FIGURE 2.3 Performance of Excise Duty - (January to August 2025) 30 FIGURE 2.4 Disbursements - 1st January to 31st August 2025, as per the Development Partners/ Lending Agencies (USD Mn.) 44 FIGURE 2.5 Disbursements from 1st January to 31st August 2025, as further the Major Economic Sector (USD Mn.) 45 FIGURE 3.1 GDP Growth 49 FIGURE 3.2 Composition of GDP - First Half of 2025 49 FIGURE 3.3 Composition of Agriculture Sector - First Half of 2025 53 FIGURE 3.4 Composition of Industry Sector - First Half of 2025 55 FIGURE 3.5 Composition of Manufacturing Sector - First Half of 2025 55 FIGURE 3.6 Composition of Services Sector - First Half of 2025 56 FIGURE 3.7 Labour Force Participation Rate and Unemployment Rate 59 FIGURE 3.8 Yield Rates, Monetary Aggregates Money Supply and Private Sector Credit Growth 60 FIGURE 3.9 Movements in Headline, Core and Food Inflation 61 FIGURE 3.10 Trade Balance and Exchange Rate Movements 63 FIGURE 3.11 Composition of Exports 64 FIGURE 3.12 Composition of Imports 65 BOXES BOX 1.1 Economic Impact of Shifting Age Structure and Increasing Dependency of Sri Lanka 8 BOX 2.1 Major Fiscal Measures: (January 2025 – September 2025) 36 ANNEXES ANNEX I The Outstanding List of Treasury Guarantees & Letters of Comfort Issued by the General Treasury up to 31.08.2025 83 ANNEX II Macroeconomic Indicators 85 ANNEX III Assumptions for Revenue Estimates - 2025 93 PagePrevious page Next page Top
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vii
Key Economic Indicators
Indicator
Period
Unit
Value
2024
2025
REAL SECTOR
Economic Growth
First Half
%
4.6
4.8
Agriculture
First Half
%
1.8
0.6
Industry
First Half
%
10.5
7.9
Services
First Half
%
2.3
3.3
Inflation (Year on Year) - CCPI (2021=100)
End Sep
%
-0.5
1.5
Inflation (Average) - CCPI (2021=100)
End Sep
% 2.4
-1.4
Unemployment Rate
1st Quarter
% 4.5
3.8
Labour Force Participation Rate
1st Quarter
%
47.1
49.7
FISCAL SECTOR
Budget Deficit
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
911
411
Total Revenue
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
2,558
3,295
Tax Revenue
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn. 2,349
3,068
Non Tax Revenue
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
209
226
Total Expenditure
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
3,477
3,712
Recurrent Expenditure
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
3,042
3,381
Public Investment
Jan-Aug
Rs. Bn.
455
339
Government Debt
End Sep
Rs. Bn.
28,563
29,635
EXTERNAL SECTOR
Exports
Jan-Aug
USD Mn. 8,506
9,077
Agriculture Exports
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
1,804
2,030
Industrial Exports
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
6,666
7,015
Textile and Garments
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
3,365
3,595
Other
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
3,301
3,420
Imports
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
12,073
13,341
Consumer Goods
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
2,176
3,295
Intermediate Goods
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
7,750
7,437
o/w Petroleum Products
Jan-Aug
USD Mn. 2,897
2,521
Investment Goods
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
2,140 2,597
Trade Balance
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
-3,566
-4,264
Tourist Arrivals
Jan-Aug
No.
1,362,668
1,566,523
Earnings From Tourism
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
2,167
2,290
Workers' Remittances
Jan-Aug
USD Mn.
4,288
5,116
Portfolio Investments (Net)
End Jun
USD Mn.
-26
557
Overall Balance of Payments (BOP)
Jan-Jun
USD Mn.
1,761
522
Gross Official Reserves
End Aug
USD Mn. 5,654
6,178
Exchange Rate (End Month)
End Sep Rs. per USD
299.36
302.61
Exchange Rate (Monthly Average)
Jan-Sep Rs. per USD
301.15
302.20
MONETARY SECTOR
Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR)
End Aug
%
8.25
7.25
Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR)
End Aug
% 9.25
8.25
Statutory Reserve Ratio (SRR)
End Sep
%
2.00
2.00
Commercial Bank Weekly Average
Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR)
End Aug
%
9.13
8.10
Weighted Average Yield Rate of Treasury
Bills (91 Days)
End Aug
% 9.49
7.58
Weighted Average Yield Rate of Treasury
Bills (364 Days)
End Aug
% 10.01
8.03
Growth in Money Supply (M2b)
Aug 2024/Aug 2025
%
9.3
10.7
Growth in Credit to the Private Sector
Aug 2024/Aug 2025
%
8.7
20.5Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 10
viii Reporting Requirements Under the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 (PFMA) Section Requirement Purpose Mode of Compliance Section 11 Submission of the Fiscal Strategy Statement* To provide the Parliament and public with a formal statement of the Government’s fiscal strategy, provide strategic guidance for the upcoming annual budget, establish a basis upon which fiscal performance shall be evaluated objectively strengthen parliamentary oversight of performance against Government’s fiscal strategy and enhance fiscal transparency and accountability as per Section 11(4) of the PFMA. To be announced by the Minister of Finance at Parliament on or before thirtieth day of June of each Year upon obtaining the approval of the Cabinet of Ministers. The Fiscal Strategy Statement shall be published on the official website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance. Section 49 Submission of the Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report* To provide information on all Government decisions and all other circumstances that may have material effect on the fiscal and economic position of the Government including the content specified under Section 49(2) of the PFMA. To be tabled in Parliament by the Minister of Finance on the day fixed for the second reading of the Appropriation Bill in Parliament, in each year. The report shall be published on the official website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance upon submission to Parliament. Section 50 Submission of the Mid-Year Fiscal Position Report* To provide a basis for the public to evaluate the Government’s Mid-year fiscal performance as against its fiscal strategy as set out in its statement including the content specified under Section 50(2) of the PFMA. To be published in the website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance, by the last day of the month of October of the relevant year or the lapse of ten months from the date of the passing of the Appropriation Act of the relevant year, whichever is later; and to be tabled in Parliament within two weeks of the date of such release or if Parliament is not sitting on the date of the release of the report, cause a copy of such report to be tabled within two weeks of the next sitting of Parliament.Previous page Next page Top
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ix Section Requirement Purpose Mode of Compliance Section 51 Submission of the Final Budget Position Report (Annual Report) * To provide a basis for the public to evaluate the Government’s annual fiscal performance as against its fiscal strategy as set out in its statement for the relevant financial year including the content specified under Section 51(2) of the PFMA. To be published on the website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance, not later than six months from the end of the financial year; and be tabled in Parliament within two weeks of the date of such release if Parliament is sitting on the date of the release of the final budget position report; or if Parliament is not sitting on the date of the release of the report, cause a copy of such report to be tabled in Parliament within two weeks of its next sitting. Section 52 Submission of the Pre-election Budgetary Position Report ** To provide updated information to the public of the fiscal position of the country including the content specified under Section 52(2) of the PFMA. To be released to the public within three weeks of the publication of proclamation or Order requiring the holding of a General Election to elect the members of Parliament; and placed before Parliament within two weeks of the first sitting of the new Parliament and be published in the official website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance. The Minister of Finance shall, for the purpose of enabling the Secretary to the Treasury to prepare the report, disclose to the Secretary, details of all Government decisions and other circumstances, within his knowledge, which have, or could have material, fiscal or economic implications. Section 53 Submission of Reports on financial performance of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance* To provide a statement on financial performance including revenue and expenditure, of the Government. To be submitted to the Cabinet of Ministers and simultaneously published on the official website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance, not later than forty-five days after the end of each quarter. * By the Minister of Finance ** By the Secretary to the TreasuryPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 12
x Compliance – 2025 • Final Budget Position Report - 2025 As per the Section 51(1) of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 (PFMA), the Final Budget Position Report was released to the public by the Minister of Finance as part of the Annual Report of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance on June 30, 2025. • Fiscal Strategy Statement - 2026 As per the Section 11(3) of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 (PFMA), the Fiscal Strategy Statement (FSS) was announced by the Minister of Finance at Parliament on June 30, 2025. The FSS was published on the official website of the Ministry of the Minister of Finance on June 30, 2025 with the announcement made by the Minister of Finance. • Mid-Year Fiscal Position Report – 2025 Status of the fiscal and economic position of the first six months of 2025 was released to the public on October 31, 2025 and was tabled in Parliament on November 07, 2025. • The Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report – 2026 This report contains the estimates related to the gross domestic product, consumer prices, employment and unemployment, balance of payment, revenue and expenditure and Government borrowing, the basis which has been used in the preparation of the aforementioned estimates, a statement relating to the sensitivity of the aforementioned estimates and the changes which may occur in connection with the economic or other basis used in preparation of such estimates, a statement, quantified as far as practicable, the risks that may have a material effect on the fiscal position among other information which was tabled in Parliament on November 07, 2025.Previous page Next page Top
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xi Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 This Report contains two parts: Part I presents the Medium Term Fiscal Strategy Statement and; Part II presents Information on all Government decisions and all other circumstances that may have material effect on the fiscal and economic position of the Government including the content specified in Section 49(2) of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024.Previous page Next page Top
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01 Medium-Term Fiscal Strategy StatementPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 5 1.1 Overview Macroeconomic stability was restored in the first eight months of 2025, as evidenced by the macroeconomic indicators, supported by the implementation of decisive and far-sighted policy reforms by the Government. The economy expanded by 4.8 percent of GDP in the first half of 2025. Inflation turned positive in August and September 2025, after eleven months of deflation. The external sector remained resilient amidst US tariff policy uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. Gross official reserves reached USD 6.2 billion at the end of September 2025. The tax-to-GDP ratio is expected to reach 14.8 percent in 2025, with the highest primary surplus ever recorded in history, supported by domestic VAT collections, income taxes and, in particular, taxes on motor vehicles. The overperformance in the primary surplus target of 2.3 percent set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has helped reduce debt servicing costs while improving debt dynamics. The debt restructuring process has largely concluded towards achieving debt sustainability. The Government’s comprehensive anti-corruption drive has enhanced transparency and accountability, assuring a more predictable policy environment that supports faster economic recovery and stability. The Government has made remarkable strides in revitalizing Sri Lanka’s economy, political, and governance structures within a year since assuming office in September 2024. Through steadfast commitment to swift reforms, it has not only met but often exceeded the expectations of citizens and international development partners. This unprecedented commitment of the Government has transformed Sri Lanka’s economic landscape into a new political and economic model within a remarkably short period. As such, all stakeholders of the economy are now reaping the benefits of these reforms, which are expected to bear fruit much more in the medium to long term. The Government remains fully committed to reducing corruption vulnerabilities, which have been identified as a major bottleneck for economic growth and prosperity. According to the extant literature, the reduction of corruption vulnerabilities has a positive effect on economic growth. Hence, the Government has embarked on a comprehensive series of reforms to ensure transparency and accountability in the areas of fiscal governance, Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT), the Anti-Corruption measures, and the rule of law. The Government has completed most of the key recommendations from the Governance Diagnostic Assessment (GDA) conducted by the IMF. The initiated governance reforms are expected to improve Sri Lanka’s income distribution and debt dynamics. The reforms cover fiscal governance, a merit-based and independent process for appointing members to the Commission to Investigate Allegations of Bribery or Corruption (CIABOC), an effective and publicly accessible asset declaration system, and a transparent procurement process. The asset declaration system has been enhanced to make declarations publicly accessible, publish non-filers, expand disclosure requirements, and provide more transparent account and asset information. The Proceeds of Crime Act, No. 5 of 2025, empowers authorities to freeze, confiscate, and manage criminal assets. The National Anti-Corruption Action Plan (NACAP) 2025–2029 outlines preventive, educational, and legal reforms, while the independence of the CIABOC has been strengthened. With the highest political support for the durable success of governance reforms, the expected benefits are likely to be sustained over the medium to the long term. Comprehensive fiscal and structural reforms have been implemented alongside targeted social support measures to cushion the burden on vulnerable populations due from the impact of the reforms. The Government increased the Aswesuma payments for low-income families and raised allowances for the elderly and kidney patients, along with the provision of stationery allowances for the school children of such families. This increased targeted assistance helped achieve socialPrevious page Next page Top
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6 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 spending milestones under the Extended Fund Facility of the International Monetary Fund (IMF-EFF) for the first time, with the end-March 2025 target met and the end- December 2025 target on track. Such social spending is projected to reach Rs. 230 billion or 0.7 percent of GDP by end-2025. Ongoing recertification of beneficiaries, targeted for completion by May 2026, will further enhance transparency, eliminate duplication, and ensure that benefits reach those most in need. Meanwhile, Mahapola scholarships and bursaries were enhanced to support students, reflecting a strong focus on human capital development. Social protection remains central to the reform agenda, and the National Social Protection Strategy will provide a long- term, integrated framework for welfare delivery. In line with the Government’s commitment to uplift the livelihoods of the vulnerable population, total welfare expenditure, including all household subsidies including pensions, Aswesuma, fertilizer, pharmaceuticals increased significantly by 16.2 percent to Rs. 731.7 billion in the first nine months of 2025 compared to Rs. 629.8 billion in the same period of 2024. Fiscal consolidation efforts have yielded tangible results. Interest payments as a share of total revenue declined from 79.1 percent in 2022 to 66.7 percent in 2024, with projections to reach around 42 percent by 2030. This improvement reflects robust revenue-enhancing measures and disciplined expenditure management. The primary surplus has risen steadily, supporting a decline in the central government debt-to-GDP ratio from 114.2 percent in 2022 to 96.1 percent in 2024, with expectations to reach about 87.0 percent by 2030. These achievements are expected to strengthen external balances, improved the current account position, eased domestic credit pressures, and restored confidence in fiscal sustainability. Transparent debt restructuring process and macroeconomic stability measures have improved sovereign ratings, enhanced creditworthiness, and strengthened investor confidence. Ongoing revenue administration reforms, such as digitalization of the Inland Revenue Department, repeal of the SVAT scheme, establishment of a fully functional VAT refund mechanism for exporters, and enhanced risk-based audits of high-wealth individuals, are expected to improve tax compliance and fairness while avoiding tax evasions. Digitalization of revenue administration at Sri Lanka Customs and the Excise Department is expected to increase tax compliance. In addition, the Government has enacted the Gambling Regulatory Authority Act, No. 17 of 2025, establishing a framework to regulate gambling activities, strengthen revenue collection, and promote transparency, while supporting tourism, employment, and economic development through responsible and fair gambling practices. Governance reforms have advanced significantly, particularly in State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) restructuring and public asset management. The new SOE Law will strengthen oversight, enhance transparency, and improve accountability. Audited financial statements for 36 SOEs were published, and the remaining major SOEs have committed to publishing their audited statements annually by the end of June. The mandates of key SOEs will be clarified through Statements of Corporate Intent, and their Boards of Directors will be held accountable for delivering satisfactory results based on Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). Energy sector reforms include cost-recovery-based electricity pricing, unbundling of the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB), strengthened regulatory oversight, and gradual settlement of legacy debts of CEB, CPC, and SriLankan Airlines. Measures were also taken to ensure that the Boards of Directors of Source : Department of Fiscal Policy FIGURE 1.1 : Interest Payment as a % of Total Revenue 43.1 36.9 38.9 39.0 36.5 36.2 36.2 40.2 44.4 47.7 71.7 72.0 79.1 80.5 66.7 66.7 52.2 49.7 46.1 44.6 43.6 41.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 %Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 7 State-Owned Banks (SOBs) have between nine and thirteen members, with independent directors forming the majority. The Public Procurement Law and the Public Asset Management Bill are expected to modernize procurement and asset allocation, reducing inefficiencies and corruption. The Companies (Amendment) Act, No. 12 of 2025 introduced a beneficial ownership framework in line with international standards, improving corporate transparency and compliance. The Government aims to attract approximately USD 2 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the coming year, focusing on strategic partnerships with China, India, Japan, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Investment incentives are expected to be granted through transparent and rule-based mechanisms under the amended Strategic Development Projects Act (SDP) and Colombo Port City Economic Commission Act. Through trade policy reforms including para-tariff rationalization, customs modernization, and export diversification, combined with the National Export Strategy and ongoing free trade negotiations, Sri Lanka will deepen its integration into regional and global markets. Significant progress has been made in advancing the digital economy, including initiatives such as GovPay, the National Cyber Security Operations Centre, digital vouchers for schoolbooks and fertilizer, and online access to citizen documents via embassies. The rollout of 5G technology will transform connectivity, spur innovation, and enable the creation of advanced digital services. The Government envisions a fully cashless, paperless, and inclusive digital economy, improving access to services and growth opportunities for all citizens. The Government is fully committed to achieving the objectives of the Economic Transformation Act, No. 45 of 2024, supported by focused and growth-driven amendments to the Act. Meanwhile, the Public Private Partnership Law is expected to introduce to create a legal framework for private sector active involvement in infrastructure and public services. The PPP law will streamline the process for public- private projects, enhance transparency while attracting private capital for much needed priority areas of developments. The Government has already taken initiatives to promote inclusive growth, sustainable development, and economic resilience by targeting strong GDP growth, low unemployment, higher female labor force participation, export-oriented growth, sustainable fiscal balances, modernizing agriculture, expanding the digital economy, achieving net-zero emissions by 2050, and reducing poverty. Through these reforms, the Government targets a sustainable growth rate of 6–8 percent over the medium term, driven by enhanced productivity, diversified exports, and a vibrant private sector. Labor market reforms aim to increase flexibility, encourage formal employment, and align education and vocational training with emerging industry needs, particularly in technology, manufacturing, logistics, and renewable energy. Investments in renewable energy, digital infrastructure, and innovation will expand the green economy while enhancing fiscal and environmental sustainability. These comprehensive measures are laying the foundation for a resilient, inclusive, and forward-looking economy. By upholding fiscal discipline, strengthening institutions, and promoting broad-based growth, the Government is ensuring that every Sri Lankan benefits from the nation’s renewed growth momentum.Previous page Next page Top
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8 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 BOX 1.1 : Economic Impact of Shifting Age Structure and Increasing Dependency of Sri Lanka (i) Introduction According to the "15th Census of Population and Housing 2024" conducted by the Department of Census and Statistics, the population of Sri Lanka increased to 21.8 million people in 2024 from from 20.4 million people in 2012, reflecting the lowest average annual growth rate of 0.5 percent. This slowdown from the previous rate of 0.7 percent highlights a significant demographic transition and indicates profound economic implications for the future. (ii) Analysis The analysis highlights the trends in demographic transition and the subsequent economic challenges and opportunities. Long-Term Demographic Transition of Sri Lanka (1946-2024) (a) Significant contraction of the youth base (0-14 years) Figure 2 demonstrates a sharp and persistent decline in the proportion of children aged 0-14 years. The continuous fall in fertility rates, delayed marriages along with societal advancements such as improved education are the root causes of this demographic trend. Fewer children entering the population today is an indication of fewer entrants to the labour force in the coming decades. This results reduction of momentum of labour supply growth, which in turn constrains expansion of the overall economy, if not addressed by productivity enhancement. Age Group Share in 1946 (%) Share in 2024 (%) Trend Analysis Economic Implications Children (0-14 years) 40-42% ≈20% Steady, Sharp contraction Narrowing future labour supply Working Age (15-59 years) ≈52% ≈61% Peaked, currently stabilizing End of the Demographic Dividend and required to pay more attention to productivity enhancement Elderly (60+ years) ≈5% ≈18% Rapid, accelerating growth in post-2001 Increasing old-age dependency will increase the burden on fiscal space 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 - 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1946 1953 1963 1971 1981 2001 20122024 % Population (Millions) Population Growth 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1946 1953 1963 1971 1981 2001 2012 2024 % 0-14 years 15-59 years 60 and over Linear (0-14 years) Linear (15-59 years) Linear (60 and over ) Figure 1 : Size of the Population and Population Growth (1871 - 2024) Figure 2 : Change in Age Structure (1946 - 2024) Source : Department of Census and Statistics Source : Department of Census and StatisticsPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 9 (b) Stabilization of the working age population (15-59 years) Recent data from 2012 to 2024 demonstrates a distinct and consequential stabilizing trend in working-age population of Sri Lanka. This group accounted for 62.4 percent of the population in 2012 and slightly decreased to 61.3 percent in 2024. This stabilization trend confirms that Sri Lanka is nearing the end of its demographic dividend, which the country experienced from the 1960s to the 2000s. With the closure of demographic dividends, high savings, capital accumulation, and labour- driven economic expansion will also diminish rapidly. Accordingly, immediate attention for structural modernization is required to minimize the risk of "Growing Old Before Becoming Rich." (c) Acceleration of the Elderly Population (60+ years) The share of the elderly population increased from a minimal 5 percent in 1946 to nearly 18 percent in 2024. Figure 2 illustrates a sharply upward trajectory of elderly population growth, with a noticeable acceleration after 2001. This trend has been primarily driven by increased life expectancy. The feminization of aging, where women over 70 years of age continue to have higher longevity than men, is increasing over time, and this trend increases the long-term cost burden on the government, causing fiscal strains. The overall aging trend will substantially influence the economic landscape by increasing old-age dependency, reducing the labour force participation rate, and inflating future pensions and health care expenditure. Conclusion The immediate challenge arising from this demographic shift is the rapid acceleration of the old age dependency ratio, which will place an unprecedented fiscal pressure on social security and healthcare systems, thereby threatening to erode national savings. Sri Lanka must urgently implement proactive and integrated reforms to achieve sustainable development and mitigate the structural slowdown posed by aging. Such reforms should include the deployment of underutilized female labour reserves, the recognition of care workers as essential economic infrastructure and the encouragement of strategic investments in emerging "age-driven marketplace focused entirely on the needs of seniors - silver economy". BOX 1.1 : Economic Impact of Shifting Age Structure and Increasing Dependency of Sri Lanka (Contd..) 1.2 Macro-fiscal performance The economy expanded by 4.8 percent in the first half of 2025 compared to the 4.6 percent growth recorded in the same period of 2024. The growth was supported by positive performance across all major sectors: agriculture, industry, services, and taxes less subsidies. The agriculture sector marginally increased by 0.6 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to 1.8 percent growth in the same period of 2024. The industry sector expanded by 7.9 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to 10.5 percent in the same period of 2024. Meanwhile, the services sector recorded moderate growth of 3.3 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to 2.3 percent recorded in the same period of 2024. Taxes less subsidies on products increased by 10.6 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to 6.4 percent in the same period of 2024. Sri Lanka's Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August 2025 reflected a notable expansion in the economy, with the Manufacturing PMI at 55.2, the ServicesPrevious page Next page Top
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10 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 PMI at 68.9, and the Construction PMI at 61.1, highlighting strong growth across all three sectors. Global economic growth is expected to moderate in the near term, mainly due to the slowing of higher tariffs adjustments during the year, despite the high volatility in the long term. As such, the October 2025 World Economic Outlook (WEO) has revised the global growth projections upward relative to the April 2025 WEO. Global growth is anticipated to slow to 3.2 percent in 2025 and 3.1 percent in 2026, with growth expectations of around 1.5 percent for advanced economies and above 4 percent for emerging market and developing economies. The global economy is heightened with uncertainty stemming from the US tariff and fiscal and financial vulnerabilities with higher debt accumulation and labour supply shocks hampering the anticipated growth. Global inflation is expected to decline, with some variation across economies. The October 2025 WEO highlights the importance of having a sustainable policy in all areas with rebuilding fiscal buffers to withstand unforeseen shocks while doubling the ongoing structural reforms to restore confidence and face shocks. Sri Lanka continued its revenue-based fiscal consolidation process in 2025. Government revenue improved significantly in the first eight months of 2025, driven by higher revenue collections from Value Added Tax (VAT), income taxes, and taxes on motor vehicles. This impressive revenue collection was primarily driven by the impact of tax policy reforms together with the implementation of administrative reforms, and rise in economic activities and the enforcement of anti-corruption measures, including digitalization initiatives by the three key revenue-collecting agencies. Efforts were made to enhance revenue mobilization by tracking and monitoring the performance of the IRD through the introduction of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), such as risk-based audits, audit effectiveness, increased compliance measures for High Worth Individuals (HWI) unit, tax return filing compliance among large and non-large taxpayers, management of collectible debt, and VAT registration. The IRD, Sri Lanka Customs, and the Excise Department have introduced significant anti-corruption initiatives to strengthen institutional integrity and transparency. The IRD has introduced automation and digitalization, adopted a formal code of conduct, and enhanced its risk management capacity. Sri Lanka Customs has implemented targeted reforms, including the introduction of the Automated Risk Management System, establishment of internal oversight units, and development of digital platforms such as the CUSDEC Tracking System and Vehicle Verification Portal. Meanwhile, the Excise Department, in collaboration with the CIABOC, has undertaken coordinated measures such as appointing an integrity officer, launching awareness programmes, and establishing internal affairs, risk management, and financial investigation units. The Simplified VAT (SVAT) system was repealed with effect from October 01, 2025, shifting to a standard VAT refund process for eligible exporters and their suppliers to improve VAT compliance. With the continuation of the compliance improvement programme in the first eight months of 2025, the number of VAT registrations increased by 44.5 percent to 31,134 by end-September 2025, from 21,542 at end-December 2024. Registrations of resident and non-resident companies also improved by 18.2 percent, reaching 118,678 by end-September 2025, compared to 100,409 at end-December 2024. Government revenue, including grants, increased by 28.7 percent in the first eight months of 2025 to Rs. 3,301.5 billion from Rs. 2,565.9 billion in the same period of 2024. The tax revenue collection significantly improved to Rs. 3,068.5 billion, exceeding the QPC set under the IMF-EFF Programme for end-September 2025 by Rs. 318 billion. Revenue from income taxes increased by 12.4 percent to Rs. 702.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 624.7 billion in the same period of 2024. This was a 60.2 percent realization of the annual revenue estimate. Revenue from taxes on goodsPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 11 and services increased by 36.4 percent to Rs. 1,939.1 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 1,421.3 billion in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the increase in revenue collected from VAT by 28.7 percent to Rs. 1,084.2 billion and the increase in revenue collected from Excise Duty (Special Provisions) particularly on motor vehicles by 57.6 percent to Rs. 607.9 billion which surpassed the full-year excise duty revenue target of Rs. 598.5 billion. The receipts from taxes on external trade increased by 41.2 percent to Rs. 427.0 billion. VAT on domestic activities increased by 21.1 percent to Rs. 567.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 468.8 billion in the same period of 2024 due to the resumption of domestic economic activities. VAT revenue from imports increased significantly by 38.3 percent to Rs. 516.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 373.7 billion in the same period of 2024. This increase in VAT revenue on imports was primarily driven by the higher VAT revenue collection from imported vehicles, following the removal of import restrictions on all categories of vehicles with effect from February 1, 2025. Revenue from excise duty on motor vehicles increased significantly by 234.0 billion to Rs. 270.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 36.5 billion in the same period of 2024, following the lifting of import restrictions on motor vehicles. Revenue from import duties increased remarkably by 117.5 percent to Rs. 151.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 69.4 billion in the same period of 2024. Revenue from the Ports and Airports Development Levy (PAL) and the Commodity Export Subsidy Scheme (CESS) increased by 1.7 percent to Rs. 115.9 billion and 8.8 percent to Rs. 56.5 billion, respectively. The increase in revenue from PAL was primarily due to higher import volumes. The increase in CESS revenue was driven by the removal of import restrictions on CESS-levied items and the increase in CESS rates on selected imported goods. Revenue from non-tax sources increased moderately by 8.1 percent to Rs. 226.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 209.3 billion in the same period of 2024. This was a 61.1 percent realization of the annual revenue estimate. Government expenditure increased marginally by 6.8 percent to Rs. 3,712.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 3,476.9 billion in the same period of 2024. Government expenditure remained on track, achieving a 51.6 percent execution rate against the annual estimate of Rs. 7,190.0 billion for 2025. Recurrent expenditure, which accounted for approximately 91 percent of total expenditure, increased by 11.2 percent to Rs. 3,381.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 3,041.6 billion in the same period of 2024. Interest payments increased moderately by 8.2 percent to Rs. 1,466.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 1,559.7 billion in the same period of 2024. Interest payments on domestic borrowing in the first eight months of 2025, which constituted 87 percent of total interest expenditure, increased slightly by 0.5 percent to Rs. 1,687.6 billion, while interest payments on foreign borrowing increased significantly by 121.1 percent to Rs. 221.1 billion in the first eight months of 2025. The significant increase in interest payments on foreign borrowings was mainly driven by the resumption of actual interest payments on loans from the China Development Bank, the Government of Japan, the Export- Import Bank of India, and International Sovereign Bonds (ISBs) following debt restructuring. Expenditure on salaries and wages of public servants increased by 15.3 percent to Rs. 760.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025, due to the basic salary revision implemented in the public sector with effect from April 1, 2025. Expenditure on goods and services increased slightly by 6.1 percent to Rs. 210.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 198.6 billion in the same period of 2024. The Government recorded a primary surplus of Rs. 1,276.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, surpassing the end- September 2025 Quantitative Performance Criterion (QPC) of Rs. 300 billion set under the IMF-EFF Programme, and expanded by Rs. 627.8 billion, from Rs. 648.8 billion in the same period of 2024. The Government intends to maintain the budget deficit around 5.1 percent of GDP in 2026, to ensurePrevious page Next page Top
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12 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 sustained macroeconomic stability. The budget deficit, in nominal terms, narrowed to Rs. 411.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 911.0 billion in the same period of 2024, reflecting the success of revenue-based fiscal consolidation and expenditure rationalization. In the medium term, the primary balance and overall balance are expected to improve with the full implementation of revenue-based fiscal consolidation measures and the expected completion of the debt restructuring process. Due to restricted access to international financial markets, the Government primarily relied on domestic sources to finance the fiscal deficit. Net domestic financing amounted to Rs. 462.9 billion and net foreign financing amounted to minus Rs. 51.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025 due to the exceeding repayments over disbursments. Public investment will be strategically prioritized in the medium term in alignment with the Public Financial Management (PFM) Law, incorporating recommendations from the IMF’s Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA) to enhance efficiency and support sustainable growth. Outstanding central government debt increased by 5.2 percent to Rs. 30,928 billion as at end September, 2025 compared to Rs. 29,402 billion recorded as at end September 2024. The total outstanding domestic debt increased by 9.5 percent to Rs. 19,660 billion, whereas the outstanding foreign debt fell by 1.6 percent to Rs. 11,268 billion by the end of September 2025 compare to end of September 2024. percent in September and 2.1 percent in October 2025, following nearly a year of deflation. The inflation was largely driven by a gradual recovery of demand due to accomodating monetary policy stance, and increase in food inflation. Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100), increased to 2.1 percent in October 2025 from 1.5 percent in September 2025, following 11 months of deflation. Food inflation (Y-o-Y) accelerated to 2.9 percent in September 2025, while non-food inflation (Y-o-Y) remained steady at 0.7 percent. Given the country’s positive economic outlook, inflation is projected to move towards its target. In January 2025, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 8.00 percent, where it had remained since November 2024. In May 2025, the OPR was reduced by 25 bps to 7.75 percent, thus easing monetary policy further. Accordingly, the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR), which are linked to the OPR with pre-determined margins of ± 50bps, were reduced to 7.25 percent and 8.25 percent, respectively. The policy rate has since been maintained at this level, as the current monetary stance is deemed consistent with guiding inflation towards the 5 percent medium-term target while supporting the ongoing economic recovery. Reflecting significant progress in debt restructuring and improvements in macro- fiscal performance, Sri Lanka’s sovereign credit ratings were upgraded by the three major international credit rating agencies. Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service, and S&P Global Ratings raised the country’s ratings to CCC+, Caa1, and CCC+, respectively, signaling enhanced investor confidence and a positive outlook on the nation’s fiscal and economic management. 1.3 Fiscal Strategy in the Medium Term The fiscal operations of the Government are governed by the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 (PFMA), which came into effect in August 2024. FIGURE 1.1 : Key Fiscal Aggregates 2022-2024 Source : Department of Fiscal Policy The Sri Lankan rupee depreciated by 3.3 percent year-to-date against the US dollar as of end-September 2025. Inflation has turned positive recording 1.5 7.3 (3.7) (10.2) 9.9 0.6 (8.3) 12.4 2.2 (6.8) (15.0) (10.0) (5.0) - 5.0 10.0 15.0 Government Tax Revenue Primary Balance Budget Deficit 2022 2023 2024Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 13 Full implementation of the PFMA is expected to be completed by the end of December 2025 with the publication of PFM regulations. The Act provides a legal framework to achieve key objectives such as maintaining public debt at a sustainable level, building and preserving fiscal buffers to safeguard against future shocks, managing and mitigating fiscal risks, and ensuring discipline, transparency, and accountability in fiscal management. Further, it mandates a legally binding requirement of publication of an annual fiscal strategy statement and a rolling five- year medium-term fiscal framework. The debt reduction objective of the Act is monitored through the primary balance target and the primary expenditure ceiling set at below 13 percent of GDP, which will be established under the medium-term fiscal framework in the Fiscal Strategy Statement. By managing non-interest expenditure, this framework ensures fiscal discipline and allows revenue-enhancing measures to strengthen the primary balance and support debt reduction. Government revenue is projected to exceed 15.9 percent of GDP in 2025, while government expenditure is projected to remain around 20.5 percent of GDP. Hence, it is expected to achieve a primary balance of around 3.8 percent of GDP and to contain the budget deficit to 4.5 percent in 2025. 1.3.1 Fiscal Strategy The Government’s fiscal strategy is guided by the Medium-Term Fiscal Framework (2025–2030), as outlined in the Fiscal Strategy Statement 2026 and governed by the fiscal rules stipulated under the PFMA. The Government is committed to achieving a primary surplus of not less than 2.3 percent of GDP in 2026. To this end, the Government has implemented several revenue measures aimed at raising government revenue to 15.1 percent of GDP in 2025 as per the budget estimates. However, owing to the effective implementation of these measures and higher than expected revenue from motor vehicle imports, the Government has revised its 2025 revenue estimate upward from 15.1 percent of GDP to 15.9 percent of GDP. Despite these improvements, government revenue is projected to remain at 15.4 percent of GDP in 2026, while the primary surplus is expected to stay at least 2.3 percent of GDP. A number of measures are already underway to strengthen tax administration, focusing on increasing tax compliance, reducing corruption vulnerabilities, digitalization and modernization of tax administration, and effective management and governance, thereby augmenting the government revenue over the medium term. While enhancing the government revenue, the Government is committed to maintaining prudent levels of government spending and primary expenditure below 13 percent of GDP in line with the PFMA. The Government has committed to ensuring that adequate funds are allocated to key priority sectors of the economy while strengthening the social safety nets programme. The fiscal strategy will be supported by overall economic stabilization measures including pro-growth measures, ensuring price and financial stability, and strengthening governance. The Government remains committed to restoring debt sustainability in line with the debt sustainability targets under the IMF-EFF Programme. The Government has concluded all components of the Domestic Debt Optimization while the External Debt Restructuring (EDR) process is nearing completion. In 2025, Sri Lanka achieved significant progress in public debt management with the establishment of the Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) under the Public Debt Management Act, No. 33 of 2024. The PDMO published the Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy (MTDS) for 2025–2029, outlining the Government's Annual Borrowing Plan (ABP) and strategic direction over the medium term. The revised MTDS and ABP are submitted with the budget 2026. The medium-term debt management strategy emphasizes limiting new external borrowings to bilateral and multilateral sources, while strengthening domestic financing. Following the successfulPrevious page Next page Top
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14 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 completion of debt restructuring with the Official Creditor Committee in June 2024, Sri Lanka finalized bilateral agreements with its major creditors in late 2024 and early 2025. As a result, disbursements for foreign- funded projects by some of the bilateral lenders have commenced. Throughout this period, multilateral funding continued uninterrupted, providing stable support for the country’s financing requirements. As per Section 11 (3) of the PFMA, the Fiscal Strategy Statement, including the Medium- Term Fiscal Framework, was published on June 30, 2025, to provide a strategic roadmap for the preparation of Budget 2026. The fiscal path for 2025 – 2030 and the macroeconomic direction towards fiscal sustainability are indicated below: Fiscal Path: - Achieving a primary surplus of at least 2.3 percent of GDP in 2025 and in subsequent years through strong revenue-enhancing efforts and rationalizing government expenditure. - Increasing revenue to GDP ratio above 15 percent of GDP in 2025 and beyond through tax policy reforms and strengthening of tax administration. - Changing direct-to-indirect tax ratio from 25:75 to 40:60 over the medium term to long term in line with the standards of the emerging and medium income countries. - Improving tax compliance of core taxes, especially through the Value Added Tax (VAT) compliance improvement programme and establishment of a fully functional VAT refund system to ensure the full repeal of the Simplified VAT (SVAT) system. - Monitoring the Inland Revenue Department under Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) related to payment, filing, reporting and registration. - Modernizing the Inland Revenue Department by introducing the RAMIS 3.0. - Managing primary expenditure below the primary expenditure ceiling set under the Medium-Term Fiscal Framework, which needs to be below 13 percent of GDP as per the PFMA. - Continuing to strengthen the Social Safety Net Programmes to provide relief to the most vulnerable segments of society. - Maintaining public investment of over 4 percent in 2026 and beyond. - Carefully prioritizing public investment and selection of projects and programmes to be funded under the budget, while ensuring that expenditure is adequately allocated for priority sectors such as health, education, infrastructure, and social protection. - Use ITMIS to make central government payments; cheque payments and electronic funds transfers by 2026, and integrate the e-GP system with ITMIS, when the system is ready. - Integrate revenue administration systems at IRD, Customs and proposed RASED at the Excise Department to the ITMIS. - Containing budget deficit gradually to be less than 5 percent of GDP from 2026 and beyond and thereby reduce the gross financing needs of the Government. - Eliminating the accumulation of arrears over 3 months as per the arrears clearance strategy. - Reducing the issuance of government guarantees to maintain the aggregate stock of outstanding Government guarantees at the end of each financial year to not exceed 7.5 percent of thePrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
15
average GDP of the relevant financial
year and preceding two financial
years with a view to limiting fiscal
risks
emanating
from
government
guarantees.
-
Continuing the implementation of
automatic fuel and electricity pricing
mechanisms to ensure sound financial
performance
of
Ceylon
Electricity
Board (CEB) and Ceylon Petroleum
Corporation (CPC).
-
Carrying out structural reforms of the
State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) to
improve their financial viability and
strengthen their governance.
-
Maintaining an inflation target at 5
percent over the medium term, as
announced by the Central Bank of Sri
Lanka.
As outlined above, the fiscal path is
primarily
based
on
revenue
raising
strategies focusing on tax policy, revenue
administration and prudent management
of government expenditure. The fiscal
outlook will
be
supported
by
SOE
restructuring efforts, a strong institutional
framework, digitalization and integration
of digital systems and data, improved
governance and growth and the stability
of the economy.
1.3.2 Medium Term Fiscal Framework
The Medium-Term Fiscal Framework rests
on the following:
-
Increasing
government
revenue
exceeding 15 percent of GDP in 2025
and increasing it over the medium
term.
-
Maintaining primary expenditure under
13 percent of GDP and maintaining
public investments over 4 percent of
GDP.
-
Achieving a primary surplus of at least
2.3 percent in 2025 and maintaining
the same level or above over time.
TABLE 1.1 : Medium-Term Fiscal Framework 2025-2030
As a percentage of GDP
Indicator
2024
2025
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Provisional
Budget
Revised
Projection
Total Revenue & Grants
13.7 15.1 15.9
15.4
15.5
15.5
15.5
15.5
Total Revenue
13.5 15.0 15.9
15.3
15.4
15.4
15.4
15.5
Tax Revenue
12.4 13.9 14.8
14.2
14.4
14.4
14.3
14.4
Income Tax
3.4 3.5 3.5
3.5
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.7
Taxes on Goods &
Services
7.4
8.4 9.2
8.9
8.9
8.9
8.7
8.7
Taxes on External Trade
1.6
2.0 2.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
Non-Tax Revenue
1.1 1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0 1.1
1.1
1.1
Grants
0.2 0.1 0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Total Expenditure
20.5 21.8 20.5
20.5
20.0
19.8
19.6
19.4
Recurrent
17.9 17.8
17.3
16.5
15.9
15.7
15.5
15.2
Salaries & Wages
3.6 3.7 3.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
Goods & Services
1.2 1.3 1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
Interest
9.0 8.9 8.3
7.6
7.1
6.9
6.7
6.5
Subsidies & Transfers
4.1 3.9 4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.7
Capital and net lending
2.6
4.0 3.2
4.0
4.0
4.1
4.2
4.2
o/w Public Investments
2.7
4.0 3.2
4.0
4.1
4.1
4.2
4.2
Current Account Balance
(4.4)
(2.8) (1.4)
(1.2)
(0.5)
(0.3)
(0.0)
0.3
Primary Balance
2.2
2.3 3.8
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
Budget deficit
(6.8)
(6.7)
(4.5)
(5.1)
(4.5)
(4.3)
(4.1)
(3.8)
Sources : Department of Fiscal Policy, Department of National Budget, International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Programe Parameters.Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 30 printed page 16
16 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 - Containing the budget deficit to less than 5 percent of GDP by 2026 and beyond. - Reducing central government debt gradually to bring down the debt to a sustainable level from 96.8 percent of GDP in 2026 to 87 percent of GDP in 2030. 1.3.3 Justification of Deviations from the Fiscal Framework Target Government Revenue: The target was to increase government revenue to 15 percent of GDP in 2025 and continue its growth over the medium term. The table 1.1 shows that the revised revenue estimate for 2025 has increased to 15.9 percent of GDP, exceeding the initial budget target. This positive deviation is attributable to higher-than-expected performance in tax revenue, particularly from goods and services (9.2 percent of GDP) and motor vehicle imports, reflecting effective revenue measures and compliance improvements. The upward revision aligns with efforts to broaden the tax base and strengthen revenue administration. Primary Surplus: The framework aimed for a primary surplus of 2.3 percent of GDP in 2025. The revised table shows a primary surplus of 3.8 percent of GDP for 2025, exceeding the target. This positive deviation is largely due to higher revenue mobilization combined with low execution of capital expenditure, indicating stronger than expected fiscal performance. Budget Deficit: The goal was to contain the budget deficit below 5 percent of GDP by 2026. The revised deficit for 2025 stands at 4.5 percent of GDP, reflecting accelerated fiscal consolidation. Early attainment of this target demonstrates the effectiveness of revenue enhancing measures and prudent management of expenditure.Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 3 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Issued by the Hon. Minister of Finance, Planning and Economic Development Under Section 49 of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 This Report is issued under Section 49 of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024, which is required to be tabled in Parliament by the Minister of Finance on the day fixed for the second reading of the Appropriation Bill in Parliament, in each year. It includes estimates relating to gross domestic product, consumer prices, employment and unemployment, balance of payments, revenue and expenditure, Government borrowing, basis used to prepare the aforementioned estimates among others. The information contained in this report takes into account, as far as possible, all Government decisions and all other circumstances that may have material effect on the fiscal and economic position of the Government.Previous page Next page Top
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02 Fiscal Developments, Treasury Operations and Foreign FinancingPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 23 2.1 Overview The government’s fiscal operations noticeably improved in the first eight months of 2025, due to the impressive growth in government revenue, aided by the implementation of far-sighted policy reforms, coupled with the prudent management of government recurrent expenditure, rejuvenated by the anti-corruption drives of the government. However, execution of capital expenditure remained low due to the conduct of budgetary operations in the first four months under the Vote on Account. The primary surplus in the Budget has improved significantly to Rs. 1,276.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 648.8 billion in the same period of 2024, surpassing the Quantitative Performance Criterion (QPC) for the primary balance September target of Rs. 300 billion set under the Extended Fund Facility of the International Monetary Fund (IMF-EFF) Programme. The increased primary surplus helped cushion the borrowing constraint of the government, keeping a large buffer for debt service payments. The primary surplus is expected to exceed the 2025 target of 2.3 percent of GDP, which will ensure a path towards long- term debt sustainability. While improving debt dynamics, the overall budget deficit reduced by 54.9 percent to Rs. 411.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 911.0 billion in the same period of 2024. The total government revenue, including grants increased by 28.7 percent to Rs. 3,301.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 2,565.9 billion in the same period of 2024. This was a 66.2 percent achievement against the annual estimate of Rs. 4,990 billion. The tax revenue increased by 30.7 percent to Rs. 3,068.5 billion while non-tax revenue increased by 8.1 percent to Rs. 226.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025. The surge in government revenue in the first eight months of 2025 was mainly driven by the increase in VAT revenue, TABLE 2.1 : Summary of Fiscal Operations Rs. Mn. Item Jan. - Aug. 2024 2025 (a) Revenue and Grants 2,565,921 3,301,459 Revenue 2,557,792 3,294,740 Tax 2,348,529 3,068,495 Non Tax 209,263 226,244 Grants 8,129 6,720 Expenditure 3,476,885 3,712,492 Current 3,041,565 3,381,309 Salaries 659,502 760,687 Interest Payments 1,559,721 1,687,571 Other 822,342 933,051 Public Investments 454,744 338,846 Other -19,424 -7,663 Revenue Deficit (-)/Surplus (+) -483,773 -86,569 Primary Deficit (-)/Surplus (+) 648,757 1,276,538 Overall Budget Deficit (-)/Surplus (+) -910,965 -411,033 Financing 910,965 411,033 Foreign Financing (Net) 168,551 -51,849 Domestic Financing (Net) 742,414 462,882 Source: Department of Fiscal Policy (a) ProvisionalPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 38 printed page 24
24 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 income taxes, and taxes on motor vehicles, with a comprehensive tax policy and administrative measures geared towards broadening the tax base. Total tax revenue increased by 30.7 percent to Rs. 3,068.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 2,348.5 billion in the same period of 2024. This has surpassed the end September tax revenue QPC of Rs. 2,750 billion by Rs. 318.5 billion set under the IMF-EFF programme. The improved revenue was supported by the expansion of economic activities of the country, together with policy and administrative adjustments conducted in the first eight months of 2025. Revenue from VAT increased by 28.7 percent to Rs. 1,084.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 842.5 billion in the same period of 2024. VAT accounted for 35.3 percent of total tax revenue representing the largest share and this growth was largely driven by the resumption of domestic economic activities, the full impact of the VAT rate increases from 15 percent to 18 percent and the reduction of the VAT registration threshold from Rs. 80 million to Rs. 60 million per annum, and higher VAT revenue collection from imported motor vehicles following the removal of import restrictions. With a 22.9 percent share of total tax revenue, income tax was the second- largest contributor, followed by excise taxes, which accounted for 19.8 percent of total tax revenue. The revenue from income tax increased due to the expansion of economic activities, the salary hikes in the informal private sector followed by the increase in compliance stemming from the strengthening tax administration at the Inland revenue Department (IRD). Revenue from excise taxes increased due to higher revenue collections from motor vehicles, liquor, and other excisable articles. In 2025, the IRD, Sri Lanka Customs, and the Department of Excise continued with implementation of major administrative reforms to enhance revenue mobilization, compliance, transparency, and to reduce corruption vulnerabilities. In addition, these three key revenue-collecting agencies have undertaken anti-corruption measures in line with the IMF reform agenda. Quarterly progress reports on the implementation of the measures undertaken to reduce corruption vulnerabilities have been published on the Ministry of Finance website since in August 2025. The IRD has implemented anti-corruption measures such as automation and digitalization, the development, and adoption of a formal code of conduct, and the enhancement of capacity of the existing risk management unit. Sri Lanka Customs implemented several targeted anti-corruption measures, including the development of the Automated Risk Management System (ARMS), establishment of an internal affairs unit, establishment of a digitalization cluster, and introduction of CUSDEC Tracking System and Vehicle Verification Portal. The Excise Department has undertaken a series of coordinated initiatives, in collaboration with the Commission to Investigate Allegations of Bribery or Corruption (CIABOC) to prevent, detect, and respond to corruption risks within the institution. Key measures, included the appointment of an integrity officer, the implementation of awareness and prevention programmes, the establishment of an internal affairs unit, a risk management unit, and a financial investigation unit. The Simplified VAT (SVAT) system has been repealed effective from October 01, 2025 shifting to a standard VAT refund process for eligible exporters and their suppliers to improve VAT compliance. Meanwhile, Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) have been introduced to track and monitor the IRD performance. In the same vein, the VAT compliance improvement programme continued in 2025. As a result, the number of VAT registrations has increased by 44.5 percent to 31,134 by end September 2025, from 21,542 by end December 2024. The VAT compliance improvement plan together with the medium term IRD modernization strategy and implementation plan have been introduced to improve the compliance. Meanwhile, the High Worth Individuals (HWI) Unit is expected to conduct tax audits and increase the coverage of HWI.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 39 printed page 25
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
25
During the first eight months of 2025,
total government expenditure moderately
increased by 6.8 percent to Rs. 3,712.5
billion, from Rs. 3,476.9 billion in the same
period of 2024. Recurrent expenditure
increased by 11.2 percent to Rs. 3,381.3
billion in the first eight months of 2025,
from Rs. 3,041.6 billion in the same period
of 2024. This was mainly due to the
increased spending on interest payments
by 8.2 percent to Rs. 1,687.6 billion, salaries
and wages by 15.3 percent to Rs. 760.7
billion driven by the basic salary revision
implemented in the public sector with
effect from April 1, 2025, subsidies and
transfers by 15.8 percent to Rs. 722.4
billion and subsidies to households by
16.5 percent to Rs. 647.2 billion and goods
and services by 6.1 percent to Rs. 210.6
billion. Interest payments on domestic
borrowing in the first eight months of 2025,
which constituted 86.9 percent of total
TABLE 2.2 : Estimated and Actual Revenue and Expenditure - 2025
Rs. Bn.
Item
Annual
Estimate
Jan.-Aug.
Achievement
(%)
Provisional
Total Revenue
4,960.0
3,294.8
66.4
Tax Revenue
4,590.0
3,068.5
66.9
Inland Revenue Department
Tax on Income and Profit
1,167.0
702.4
60.2
VAT - Domestic (Net)
825.0
567.5
68.8
SSCL (Domestic)
190.0
145.8
76.7
Other
13.2
10.7
80.8
Sub Total
2,195.2
1,426.3
65.0
Customs Department
VAT - Imports (Net)
790.0
516.8
65.4
SSCL (Import)
74.0
45.0
60.9
Ports & Airports Development Levy (PAL)
185.0
115.9
62.6
Cess Levy
100.0
56.5
56.5
Special Commodity Levy
126.0
103.6
82.3
Import Duty
240.0
151.0
62.9
Excise Special Provisions
Cigarettes
130.0
61.9
47.6
Petroleum
230.0
120.8
52.5
Motor Vehicles & Other
239.0
278.6
116.6
Other
1.0
6.1
592.5
Sub Total
2,115.0
1,456.3
68.9
Excise Department
Liquor/Tobacco
242.0
146.6
60.6
Sub Total
242.0
146.6
60.6
Other
Telecommunication Levy
18.0
10.6
58.6
Licence Tax & Other
19.7
28.8
145.7
Sub Total
37.7
39.3
104.2
Non Tax Revenue
370.0
226.2
61.1
Total Expenditure
7,190.0
3,712.5
51.6
Current Expenditure
5,886.0
3,381.3
57.4
Salaries and Wages
1,230.0
760.7
61.8
Interest Payments
2,950.0
1,687.6
57.2
Pension Payments
442.0
282.9
64.0
Transfers to Public Corporations & Institutions
172.0
75.2
43.7
Other
1,092.0
575.0
52.7
Capital Expenditure and Net Lending
1,304.0
331.2
25.4
Sources: Department of Treasury Operations and Department of Fiscal PolicyPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 40 printed page 26
26 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 interest expenditure, increased slightly by 0.5 percent to Rs. 1,687.6 billion, while interest payments on foreign borrowing in the first eight months of 2024 increased significantly by 121.1 percent to Rs. 221.1 billion. The significant increase in interest payments on foreign borrowings was mainly driven by the resumption of actual interest payments on loans from the China Development Bank, the Government of Japan, the Export-Import Bank of India, and International Sovereign Bonds following the debt restructuring. Expenditure on salaries and wages of public servants increased by 15.3 percent to Rs. 760.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025. Expenditure on public investments declined by 25.5 percent to Rs. 338.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 454.7 billion in the same period of 2024, reflecting slower execution of the capital expenditure due to the conduct of budgetary operations on a Vote on Account during the first four months of 2025. The achievement of public investment against the annual estimate remained substantially low at 25.8 percent. To address this situation, several measures such the establishment of Public Investment Committee, the preparation of a rolling medium-term Public Investment Programme, strengthened project monitoring and evaluation and enhanced transparency and reporting have been introduced within the provisions of the Public Financial Management Act. The overall budget deficit narrowed significantly by 54.9 percent to Rs. 411.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 911.0 billion in the same period of 2024. This improvement was largely driven by strong revenue performance, with total revenue increasing by 28.8 percent to Rs. 3,294.7 billion, supported by strong tax collections across income tax, goods and services, and external trade. Meanwhile, continued efforts have been made to rationalize recurrent expenditure amidst the increase in recurrent expenditure due to salary increase in 2025, while capital expenditure and net lending remained subdued at Rs. 331.2 billion. 2.2 Government Revenue Total Government Revenue excluding grants significantly increased by 28.8 percent to Rs. 3,294.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 2,557.8 billion in the same period of 2024, with the realization of 66.4 percent of the 2025 revenue estimate. This surge in revenue was mainly due to the increase in tax revenue by 30.7 percent to Rs. 3,068.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 2,348.5 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. The collection of tax revenue contributed to 93.1 percent of the total revenue and was an achievement of 66.9 percent of the estimate for 2025. The increase in tax revenue was led by the increase in revenue from: 1. Income taxes by 12.4 percent or Rs. 77.7 billion as a result of the tax policy changes implemented with effect from April 1, 2025 on the Personal Income Tax (PIT) and Corporate Income Tax (CIT), Advanced Personal Income Tax (APIT) and Withholding Tax (WHT), the impact of increased wages in both the public and informal private sectors, positive impact of the increased economic activities and positive impact of tax administration measures; 2. VAT by 28.7 percent or Rs. 241.8 billion driven by increase of VAT on imports by 38.3 percent to Rs. 516.8 billion due to relaxation of import of all types of motor vehicles with effect from February 2025 and the increase of VAT on domestic activities by 21.1 percent to Rs. 567.5 billion resulted from expansion of domestic activities, the full impact of the increase of the VAT rate to 18 percent from 15 percent and the reduction in the VAT registration threshold from Rs. 80 million per annum to Rs. 60 million per annum and administrative measures reflecting an increase of VAT registrations by 49.9 percent to 29,960 files excluding financial services in the first eight months of 2025, compared to the 19,987 files in the same period of 2024Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 41 printed page 27
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 27 3. Excise duty on Motor vehicles by 640.5 percent or Rs. 234.0 billion driven by the increase in importation of motor vehicles with the release of import restrictions for all types of motor vehicles with effect from February 2025 together with increased Excise duty rates on motor vehicles by 5.9 percent with the application of inflation adjusted indexation with effect from January 11, 2025. 4. Excise duty on liquor by 9.1 percent or Rs. 12.1 billion, mainly driven by the increase of Excise duty rates by 5.9 percent with the application of inflation adjusted indexation with effect from January 11, 2025 5. Special Commodity Levy (SCL) by 54.2 percent or Rs. 36.4 billion due to the upward revision of duty rates of potatoes and B’onions and the increase in the volume of imports in the major commodities liable for SCL; 6. Social Security Contribution Levy (SSCL) by 18.8 percent or Rs. 30.2 billion driven by the increase in economic activities and improved tax administration measures reflecting the increase of SSCL file registrations by 34.4 to 14,898 files in the first eight months of 2025 compared to 11,083 files in the same period of 2024; 7. Customs Import Duty (CID) by 117.5 percent or Rs. 81.6 billion mainly due to the application of 20.0 percent of CID on motor vehicles together with an increase in the import of goods in the respective period; and 8. CESS by 8.8 percent or Rs. 4.6 billion driven by the increase in imports liable for CESS. The increase in non–tax revenue by 8.1 percent or Rs. 17.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025 also had a positive impact on the revenue. This was mainly due to the increase in revenue from interest income, rent income, fines, fees and charges and social security contribution. Source : Department of Fiscal Policy Income Tax 21% VAT 33% Excise 18% PAL 4% SSCL 6% Import Duty 5% SCL 3% CESS 2% Telecommuni cation Levy 0% Other 1% Non Tax 7% TL 0.3% FIGURE 2.1 : Composition of Total Revenue (%) - (January to August 2025) Key : VAT - Vaue added Tax PAL - Ports and Airports Development Levy SSCL - Social Secuity Contribution Levy SCL - Special Commodity Levy TL - Telecommunication LevyPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 42 printed page 28
28 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 2.3 : Summary of Performance of Government Revenue
Item
Jan. - Aug.
Change
(%)
2024
2025 (a)
Tax Revenue
2,348,529
3,068,495
30.7
Income Tax
624,670
702,351
12.4
Domestic Consumption Based Tax
801,586
929,865
16.0
VAT
468,759
567,470
21.1
Excise Tax
209,910
216,614
3.2
SSCL
122,917
145,781
18.6
Import Based Tax
889,813
1,380,169
55.1
Import Duty
69,419
150,988
117.5
VAT
373,728
516,778
38.3
SSCL
37,737
45,032
19.3
Ports & Airports Development Levy (PAL)
113,926
115,886
1.7
Special Commodity Levy (SCL)
67,222
103,641
54.2
Excise Tax
175,830
391,313
122.6
Cess
51,951
56,529
8.8
Licence Taxes and Other
32,460
56,110
72.9
Non-Tax Revenue
209,263
226,244
8.1
Total Revenue
2,557,792
3,294,740
28.8
Source: Department of Fiscal Policy
(a) Provisional
Income tax
Revenue from income taxes increased by
12.4 percent to Rs. 702.4 billion in the first
eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 624.7
billion recorded in the same period of 2024.
This reflects a realization of 60.2 percent of
the annual estimate, supported by enhanced
compliance measures and the removal of
certain exemptions.
Revenue from Advance Personal Income Tax
(APIT) showed a growth of 7.4 percent to
Rs. 143.9 billion in the first eight months of
2025 compared to Rs. 134.0 billion in the
same period of 2024. The revenue collection
from APIT in the first eight months of 2025
was equivalent to 92.3 percent of the annual
estimate.
Rs. Mn.
FIGURE 2.2 : Tax Revenue by Source (%) - (January to August 2025)
Income Tax
23%
Domestic
Cosumption
Based Taxes
30%
Import Based
Taxes
45%
License Taxes
and Other
2%Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 43 printed page 29
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 29 Personal income tax revenue incresed by 36.2 percent in the first eight months of 2025 compared to the same period of 2024, largely supported by increase in wage levels, including substantial salary revisions in the public sector implemented from January 2025, and the upward adjustment of minimum wages in the private sector from April 2025. The corporate tax revenue increased by 15.1 percent to Rs. 397.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 345.3 billion in the same period of 2024. The upward adjustment of the CIT rate from 40 percent to 45 percent for the liquor, tobacco, betting, and gaming industries effective from April 01, 2025 together with the imposition of a 15 percent tax on the export of services, is expected to further strengthen collections in the forthcoming periods by broadening the tax base and capturing a sector with growing foreign exchange earnings. The revenue from WHT/AIT increased by 3.9 percent to Rs. 117.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 113.4 billion in the same period of 2024. This is an achievement of 51.3 percent of the annual estimate of Rs. 230.0 billion. The increase primarily reflects the raising of he WHT/AIT rate from 5.0 percent to 10 percent, effective from April 2025. TABLE 2.4 : Performance of Income Tax Tax Base Jan. - Aug. Growth (%) 2024 2025 (a) Corporate and Non Corporate 377,003 440,494 16.8 PAYE 133,974 143,949 7.4 Tax on Interest Income 113,446 117,890 3.9 Economic Service Charge 248 19 -92.3 Total 624,670 702,351 12.4 Source: Department of Fiscal Policy (a) Provisional Value Added Tax (VAT) Revenue from VAT increased significantly by 28.7 percent to Rs. 1,084.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 842.5 billion in the same period of 2024. VAT revenue from both domestic and import activities increased in the first eight months of 2025. VAT on domestic activities increased by 21.1 percent to Rs. 567.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 468.8 billion in the same period of 2024 due to expansion of domestic economic activities. VAT revenue from imports increased significantly by 38.3 percent to Rs. 516.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 373.7 billion in the same period of 2024. This was mainly attributable to the increase in VAT revenue from imported vehicles with the removal of import restrictions on all categories of vehicles with effect from February 01, 2025. Accordingly, the VAT revenue contributed 32.9 percent of the overall revenue performance of the first eight months of 2025. The realization of revenue from VAT was 67.1 percent in the first eight months of 2025 from the annual estimate of Rs. 1,615.0 billion. Excise Duty (Special Provisions) Revenue generated from Excise Duty increased by 57.6 percent to Rs. 607.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 841.0 billion in the same period of 2024. This growth was mainly driven by higher revenue from motor vehicles, liquor, and other excisable articles, despite a decline in revenue from petroleum and cigarettes. Revenue from Excise Duty accounted for 19.8 percent of total tax revenue and 18.5 percent of total revenue collection during the first eight months of 2025, while achieving 72.3 percent of the annual estimate. Rs. Mn.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 44 printed page 30
30 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Revenue from Excise Duty on motor
vehicles increased sharply by 640.5 percent
to Rs. 270.5 billion in the first eight months
of 2025, compared to Rs. 36.5 billion in the
same period of 2024, mainly due to the
lifting of temporary restrictions on motor
vehicle imports with effect from February
1, 2025.
Revenue
from
petroleum
products
declined significantly by 13.3 percent to
Rs. 120.8 billion during the first eight
months of 2025, compared to Rs. 139.3
billion in the same period of 2024. This
decline was mainly driven by reductions
in global fuel prices, lower diesel imports
volumes, and the modest appreciation of
the rupee.
Revenue from excise duty on liquor
increased by 9.1 percent to Rs. 145.7 billion
in the first eight months of 2025, compared
to Rs. 133.6 billion in the same period of
2024, contributing 24.0 percent to the
total Excise duty revenue. Excise duties on
liquor increased by 5.9 percent with effect
from January 01, 2025 as per the policy of
inflation indexation of Excise taxes. The
realization of revenue from tax on liquor
in the first eight months of 2025 was 60.7
percent of the annual estimate for 2025. The
overall production of alcohol increased by
11.5 percent to 23.9 million absolute litres
in the first eight months of 2025 compared
to 21.4 million absolute litres in the same
period of 2024. Hard liquor production
increased by 15.9 percent to 14.1 million
absolute
litres
and
beer
production
increased marginally by 4.1 percent to 9.6
million absolute litres during the first eight
months of 2025 compared to the same
period of 2024.
Meanwhile, revenue from Excise Duty
on
other
excisable
items,
including
sweetened beverages, refrigerators, palm
oil, and fatty acids, increased sharply
by 72.9 percent to Rs. 8.1 billion in the
first eight months of 2025, compared to
Rs. 4.7 billion in the same period of 2024.
This growth was mainly attributable to
the upward revision of Excise Duty rates
by 5.9 percent, effective from January 11,
2025, under the annual inflation-adjusted
indexation mechanism, as well as higher
imports driven by elevated demand and
strengthened economic activity during
the first eight months of 2025. However,
revenue from cigarettes declined by 12.3
percent to Rs. 62.8 billion during the first
eight months of 2025, compared to Rs 71.6
billion in the same period of 2024.
TABLE 2.5 : Performance of VAT
Rs. Mn.
Tax Base
Jan. - Aug.
Growth
(% )
2024
2025 (a)
Domestic
468,759
567,470
21.1
Imports
373,728
516,778
38.3
Net Revenue
842,488
1,084,248
28.7
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
(a) Provisional
TABLE 2.6 : Performance of Excise Duty
Tax Base
Jan. - Aug.
Growth
(% )
2024
2025 (a)
Liquor
133,584
145,698
9.1
Cigarettes and Tobacco
71,637
62,810
-12.3
Motor Vehicles
36,532
270,526
640.5
Petroleum
139,298
120,787
-13.3
Other
4,689
8,105
72.9
Total
385,740
607,927
57.6
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
(a) Provisional
Rs. Mn.
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
Figure 2.3 : Performance of Excise Duty
(January - August 2025)
134
72
37
139
5
146
63
271
121
8
-
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
Liquor
Cigarettes
& Tobacco
Motor
Vehicles
Petroleum
Other
Rs. Billion
2024
2025Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 45 printed page 31
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 31 Social Security Contribution Levy (SSCL) Revenue from SSCL increased by 18.8 percent to Rs. 190.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs.160.7 billion in the same period of 2024. This was driven by expansion of the domestic and external activities together with improved tax administration measures reflecting growth in the number of SSCL file registrations by 34.5 percent to 14,898 as of August 31, 2025. The realization of revenue from SSCL was 72.3 percent in the first eight months of 2025. Customs Import Duty (CID) Revenue collected from CID significantly increased by 117.5 percent to Rs. 151.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 69.4 billion in the same period of 2024. The increase is mainly attributable to the removal of import restrictions on the majority of imported items and impose of 20 percent CID on motor vehicles. Special Commodity Levy (SCL) Revenue collection from SCL increased notably by 54.2 percent to Rs. 103.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 67.2 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the increase in the volume of imports of the major commodity items. Commodity Export Subsidy Scheme (CESS) Revenue collected from CESS increased by 8.8 percent to Rs. 56.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 52.0 billion in the same period of 2024. The increase is mainly attributable to the increase of import volume of the goods subject to CESS with the removal of import restrictions on most imported items. Ports and Airports Development Levy (PAL) The total revenue collected from PAL increased marginally by 1.7 percent to Rs. 115.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 113.9 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the increase in the volume of imports with the release of import restrictions. Telecommunication Levy (TL) Revenue generated from TL marginally decreased by 5.9 percent to Rs. 10.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 11.2 billion in the same period of 2024 due to value of supply of non-internet telecommunication services is reducing whereas value of services of internet services which is telecommunication levy does not apply, is increasing. Luxury Motor Vehicle Tax and Other Tax Revenue generated from Luxury Motor Vehicle Tax and other tax significantly increased by 113.3 percent to Rs. 45.1 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 21.1 billion in the same period of 2024. Revenue from luxury motor vehicle tax increased by 1,115.7 percent to Rs. 22.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 1.8 billion in 2024 and motor vehicle entitlement levy by 3,705.5 percent to Rs. 5.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs.0.15 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the relaxation of restriction on motor vehicle from February 2025. Meanwhile, revenue from betting and gaming decreased by 47.1 percent to Rs. 6.0 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 11.4 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. Revenue from share transaction levy significantly increased by 212.5 percent to Rs. 4.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 1.5 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to increase of value and volume of share transactions as a result of economic recovery.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 46 printed page 32
32 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 2.7 : Motor Vehicle Imports
Item
Imports Jan. - Aug.
2024
2025
Change
%
Motor Cars
925
36,691
35,766
3,866.6
Passenger Vans & Buses
18
1,069
1,051
5,838.9
Three Wheelers
62
9,454
9,392
15,148.4
Motor Cycles
11,411
97,952
86,541
758.4
Goods Transport Vehicles (a)
274
4,834
4,560
1,664.2
Land Vehicles (b)
3,224
4,302
1,078
33.4
Other (c)
19,840
22,912
3,072
15.5
Total
35,754
177,214
141,460
396
Sources: Sri Lanka Customs
(a) Lorries, other Goods Transport Vehicle and Special Purpose Vehicle
(b) Tractor, Hand Tractor, Bowser and Other Land Vehicles
(c) Single cab, Dual Purpose vehicle, Quardycycles ,Motor Homes
TABLE 2.8 : Coverage of Product and Value of Imports/Exports Under Free Trade Agreements
Free Trade Agreement
Jan. - Aug. 2025
No. of Products
Subject to Tariff
Concessions
(HS 8 Digit)
Import value
(CIF/Rs. Mn)
Export Value
(FOB/Rs. Mn)
Asia - Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA)
808 5,771
44,920
India - Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ISFTA)
5,329
84,707
124,672
Pakistan - Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (PSFTA)
6,200 3,557
9,310
South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA)
5,932 3,661
20,410
Singapore Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (SSFTA)
4,334
1,008
19
Total
22,603 98,704
199,331
Sources: Sri Lanka Customs, Department of Trade and Investment Policy
TABLE 2.9 : CESS Revenue from International Trade
Rs. Mn.
Item
Jan. - Aug.
2024
2025 (a)
CESS on Exports
1,416 954
Tea-under Tea (Tax and Control of Export) Act, Sri Lanka Tea Board Law
331 241
Rubber-under Rubber Replanting Subsidy Act
10 1
Coconut-under Coconut Development Act
138 127
EDB CESS- under Sri Lanka Export Development Act
937
587
CESS on Imports- under Sri Lanka Export Development Act
50,534 55,575
Total
51,951
56,529
Source: Department of Fiscal Policy
(a) ProvisionalPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 47 printed page 33
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 33 Non-Tax Revenue Non-tax revenue moderately increased by 8.1 percent to Rs. 226.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 209.3 billion in the same period of 2024. Revenue from non-tax contributed 6.9 percent to the total revenue. This was mainly due to an increase in revenue generated from fines, fees and charges, interest income and social security contributions. Accordingly, revenue from interest increased by 25.8 percent to Rs. 43.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 34.5 billion in the same period of 2024. Revenue from fines, fees, and charges increased by 9.5 percent to Rs. 112.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 102.8 billion in the same period of 2024, mainly due to the upward revision of fees and charges of the Department of Motor Traffic, Department of Immigration and Emigration and the Department of Registration of Persons. Revenue from Social Security Contributions also increased by 32.2 percent to Rs. 36.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 27.7 billion in the same period of 2024 due to increase of contribution rate up to 8 percent for all Government Employees. Revenue from rent also increased by 15.0 percent to Rs. 3.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 3.3 billion in the same period of 2024. Meanwhile, non-tax revenue from profits and dividends from State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) decreased by 45.3 percent to Rs. 14.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, from Rs. 26.8 billion in the same period of 2024. The realization of non-tax revenue was 61.1 percent in the first eight months of 2025, as against the annual estimate of Rs. 370 billion. Item Rs. Bn. Major Reasons for Variance 2024 Jan - Aug 2025 (Annual Estimate) 2025 Jan-Aug(a) Income Taxes 624.7 1,167.0 702.4 Revenue collection from Income Taxes increased by 12.4 percent to Rs 702.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to the same period of 2024. The realization of income tax revenue was 60.2 percent in the first eight months of 2025 against the annual estimate for the year. This performance was mainly attributable to: - Increased wages of the public and private sector; - Expanded economic activities; - Increased WHT rate on interest to 10 percent from 5 percent with effect from 01.04.2025; and - Increased number of tax file registrations by 16.3 percent to 1,270,851 as at end August of 2025 from 1,093,134 files registered in end 2024 with the improved tax administration measures. TABLE 2.10 : Variance Analysis of Government RevenuePrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 48 printed page 34
34 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Item Rs. Bn. Major Reasons for Variance 2024 Jan - Aug 2025 (Annual Estimate) 2025 Jan-Aug(a) Value Added Tax (VAT) 842.5 1,615.0 1,084.2 Revenue from VAT increased significantly by 28.7 percent to Rs. 1,084.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 842.5 billion in the same period of 2024, a realization of 67.1 percent of the annual estimate. The significant increase in revenue from VAT was mainly driven by: - Lifted import restrictions on motor vehicles; - Increased total imports by 10.5 percent; - Expanded domestic economic activities; and - Increased number of tax file registrations by 40.6 percent to 30,298 as at end August of 2025 from 21,542 files at end 2024 due to the improved VAT compliance. Excise Duty 385.7 841.0 607.9 Revenue from Excise Duty showed a significant increase of 57.6 percent to Rs. 607.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to the same period of 2024, achieving 72.5 percent of the annual budget estimate. This outperformance was primarily driven by: - Increased revenue from Excise Duty on motor vehicles, following relaxation of import restrictions on all type of motor vehicle imports with effect from February 2025; - Increased Excise Duty rate on excisable articles including motor vehicles, cigarettes, sugar based beverages etc. under Excise (Special Provisions) Act, No. 13 of 1989 by 5.9 percent based on an annual inflation indexation; - Increased Excise Duty rate on liquor by 5.9 percent based on an annual inflation indexation; and - Increased revenue from other excisable articles such as sugar based beverages, refrigerates, palm oil and fatty acids by 72.9 percent to Rs. 8.1 billion. However, a decline in revenue from petroleum products by 13.3 percent and cigarettes by 12.3 percent negatively contributed to the overall performance of excise duty revenue. Import Duties 69.4 240.0 151.0 The realization of CID was 62.9 percent as against the annual budget estimate for 2025 mainly due to: - Imposed Customs Import Duty of 20 percent on importation of motor vehicles with effect from 28.01.2025; - Imposed a surcharge of 50 percent on Import Duties for the importation of Motor Vehicles with effect from 01.02.2025; and - Increased imports by 10.5 percent in the first eight months of 2025. TABLE 2.10 : Variance Analysis of Government Revenue (Contd..)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 49 printed page 35
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 35 Item Rs. Bn. Major Reasons for Variance 2024 Jan - Aug 2025 (Annual Estimate) 2025 Jan-Aug(a) Port and Airport Development Levy (PAL) 113.9 185.0 115.9 The revenue collection from PAL marginally increased by 1.7 percent to Rs. 115.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, realizing 62.6 percent of the annual budget estimate. This performance was mainly driven by; - Increased imports by 10.5 percent in the first eight months of 2025. Special Commodity Levy (SCL) 67.2 126.0 103.6 The revenue from SCL significantly increased by 54.2 percent to Rs. 103.6 billion with realization of 82.3 percent from annual estimate in the first eight months of 2025. This was mainly due to: - The upward revision of duty rates on potatoes, rice, salt and B’onions; and - The increased value of imports of major commodity items by 16.9 percent including dairy products, Cereals and milling industry products, oils and fats etc. Social Security Contribution Levy (SSCL) 160.7 264.0 190.8 The realization of SSCL in the first eight months of 2025 was 72.3 percent as against the annual estimate. This was achieved mainly due to: - Increased imports by 10.5 percent in the first eight months of 2025; and - Expanded domestic economic activities. Other Taxes 84.4 152.0 112.6 The revenue from Other Taxes increased by 33.4 percent to Rs. 112.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 84.4 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. The realization of other taxes revenue was 74.1 percent of the annual estimate for 2025. This was primarily driven by: - CESS Levy increased by 8.8 percent owing to the increase in imports; and - Increased revenue from Luxury Tax on motor vehicles to Rs. 22.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025 compared to Rs. 1.8 billion in the same period of 2024 with the relaxation of restrictions on motor vehicle imports. However, revenue from Telecommunication Levy dropped by 5.9 percent reflecting lower usage of fixed line telecommunication services. Non-Tax Revenue 209.3 370.0 226.2 The revenue collected from Non-Taxes in- creased by 8.1 percent to Rs 226.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, mainly due to the increased revenue from interest income, rent, fines, fees, and charges and receipts from the Social Security Contribution. It was a realization of 61.1 percent of the estimate. However, the receipts from Profits and Dividends declined in the first eight months of 2025. Total 2,557.8 4,960.0 3,294.7 Compiled by the Department of Fiscal Policy (a) Provisional TABLE 2.10 : Variance Analysis of Government Revenue (Contd..)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 50 printed page 36
36 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Effective Date Measures Income Tax- Amendments to the Inland Revenue Act, No. 24 of 2017 01.04.2025 Inland Revenue (Amendment) Act, No. 2 of 2025 1) Personal Income Tax (PIT) Rate Structure To increase personal income tax relief of an individual to Rs. 1,800,000/- per annum and to revise the tax rates applicable on the taxable income of an individual as follows, 2) Revision of CIT Rates (i) To increase the income tax rate applicable on the gains and profits from the manufacture and sale or import and sale of any liquor or tobacco product other than the export of such product and the gains and profits from conducting betting and gaming from 40 percent to 45 percent. (ii) To impose income tax on the gains and profit earned or derived from any service rendered in or outside Sri Lanka to any person to be utilized outside Sri Lanka, where the payment for such services is received in foreign currency and remitted through a bank to Sri Lanka at the rate of 15 percent. (iii) To impose income tax on the gains and profit earned or derived from any foreign source where such gain and profit are earned or derived in foreign currency and remitted through a bank to Sri Lanka at the rate of 15 percent. 3) Advance Income Tax rate (WHT rate) To increase Advance Income Tax rate (WHT rate) applicable on interest or discount paid from 5 percent to 10 percent. Stamp Duty- Stamp Duty ( Special Provisions) Act, No. 12 of 2006 01.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2429/39 of 27.03.2025 - To increase the Stamp Duty applicable on any instrument relating to the lease or hire of any property from Rs. 10/- to Rs. 20/- for every Rs. 1,000/- or part thereof of the aggregate lease or hire including any premium, payable for the whole term comprised in the lease or hire Agreement (other than a hire purchase agreement). Gambling Regulatory Authority - Gambling Regulatory Authority Act No. 17 of 2025 03.09.2025 To establish a Gambling Regulatory Authority with the purview, a. To regulate and control gambling activities; b. To ensure the collection of revenue in relation to gambling; c. To ensure transparency and good governance in the conduct of gambling; d. To promote public confidence in the integrity of the gambling industry; e. To ensure that gambling is conducted in a fair and transparent manner BOX 2.1 : Major Fiscal Measures (January – September, 2025) (Contd..) Annual Taxable Income (Rs.) (Rs. Mn.) Marginal Tax Rate (%) Previous Tax Slabs Current Tax Slabs 0 Up to 1.2 Up to 1.8 6 1.2 – 1.7 1.8 - 2.8 12 1.7 – 2.2 - 18 2.2 – 2.7 2.8 - 3.3 24 2.7 - 3.2 3.3 - 3.8 30 3.2 – 3.7 3.8 - 4.3 36 Over 3.7 Over 4.3Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 51 printed page 37
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 37 Effective Date Measures Value Added Tax (VAT)- Value Added Tax Act, No. 14 of 2002 01.01.2024 11.04.2025 11.04.2025 11.04.2025 w.e.f. 01.10.2025 w.e.f. 01.10.2025 Value Added Tax (Amendment) Act, No. 4 of 2025 1) To avoid the unintended effects of the removal of exemptions from the Value Added Tax Act, No. 14 of 2002, to maintain clarity and to ensure smooth implementation of the VAT reforms introduced by the Value Added Tax (Amendment) Act, No. 32 of 2023. 2) To issue the permanent VAT Registration Certificate when the import/export is done for commercial purposes, disregarding the facts that the goods are exempted from VAT or the importer/exporter is below the VAT registration threshold. 3) To issue instructions by the Commissioner General of Inland Revenue to file VAT Returns in respect of the VAT exempt supplies/purchases as well. 4) To exempt the supply of locally produced liquid milk and yoghurt from VAT. 5) To impose VAT on the supply of services by the Non-residents through an electronic platform with effect from October 01, 2025. 6) To repeal the Simplified VAT (SVAT) system, with effect from October 01, 2025 and to introduce a risk-based refund mechanism to expedite the refund process. Excise (Special Provisions) Duty - Excise (Special Provisions) Act, No. 13 of 1989 11.01.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2418/43 of 10.01.2025 - To increase Excise Duty for all excisable articles with unit rates by 5.9 percent based on an annual inflation adjustment indexation. 01.02.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2421/42 of 31.01.2025 - To increase the Excise Duty on Electric Vehicles by 100 percent. 29.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2434/04 of 28.04.2025 - To impose Excise Duty for the newly created National Sub Divisions for electric motor vehicles with engine used (petrol, diesel or semi-diesel) only for charging the electric accumulator, not capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power. Excise (Ordinance) Duty – Excise Ordinance (Chapter 52) 11.01.2025 Excise Notification No.01/2025 (Gazette Notification No. 2418/42 of 10.01.2025) - To increase the Excise Duty on liquor by 5.9 percent based on an annual inflation adjustment indexation. Tobacco Tax - Tobacco Tax Act, No. 08 of 1999 02.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2430/16 of 01.04.2025 - To increase tobacco tax applicable on a stick of Beedi from Rs. 2/- per stick to Rs. 3/- per stick. CESS Levy – Securities & Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka Act, No.19 of 2021 01.08.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2443/49 of 02.07.2025 - To impose a CESS levy of 0.006% on the value of transaction in Listed High Yield Corporate Debt Securities and to revise CESS levy of 0.01% divided by 3 on the total value of transaction in Corporate Debt Securities. Customs Import Duty (CID) – Revenue Protection Act, No. 19 of 1962 28.01.2025 Revenue Protection Order No. 01/2025 (Gazette Notification No. 2421/05 of 27.01.2025) - To impose Customs Import Duty of 20 percent or 20 percent with a Specific Rate of Duty (Mixed Rate of Duty) on importation of motor vehicles. 29.04.2025 Revenue Protection Order No. 02/2025 (Gazette Notification No. 2434/02 of 28.04.2025) - To create new National Sub Divisions (NSD) for electric motor vehicles with engine used (petrol, diesel or semi-diesel) only for charging the electric accumulator, not capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power. BOX 2.1 : Major Fiscal Measures (January – September, 2025) (Contd..)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 52 printed page 38
38 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Effective Date Measures Customs Surcharge- Customs Ordinance (Chapter 235) 01.02.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2421/43 of 31.01.2025 - To impose a surcharge on import duties for the importation of Motor Vehicles. 29.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2434/03 of 28.04.2025 - To impose 50 percent of surcharge for the newly created National Sub Divisions for electric motor vehicles with engine used (petrol, diesel or semi-diesel) only for charging the electric accumulator, not capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power. Special Commodity Levy (SCL) – Special Commodity Levy Act, No. 48 of 2007 01.01.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2417/20 of 31.12.2024 - To extend the validity period of prevailing SCL duty on importation of 63 commodities including essential food items till December 31, 2025. 28.01.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2421/03 of 27.01.2025 - To grant Duty waiver of Rs.199/- per kg for the importation of Dates considering the Ramadan Festive season. 26.08.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2451/10 of 25.08.2025 - To increase the SCL rate on importation of Potatoes from Rs. 60/- per kg to Rs. 80/- per kg and importation of B’ Onions from Rs. 10/- per kg to Rs. 50/- per kg considering local harvesting period. Imports & Exports (Control) Regulations- Imports and Exports (Control) Act, No. 01 of 1969 28.01.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 01 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2421/04 of 27.01.2025) - To remove temporary suspension on importation of commercial or goods transport vehicles. 01.02.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 02 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2421/44 of 31.01.2025) - To remove temporary suspension on importation of motor vehicles including personal usage motor vehicles (Cars, Vans, Sport Utility Vehicles, etc.) and to impose Import Control License (ICL) requirement for motor vehicles that exceeds maximum age limits. 19.03.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 03 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2428/07 of 19.03.2025) - To appoint Bureau Veritas as an authorized inspector for all countries to issue export inspection certificates for used motor vehicles and authorize license banks to release export inspection certificates of motor vehicles received without the stamp of the bank in country of export (required by the Regulation No. 5 of the Gazette Extraordinary No. 1804/17 dated April 03, 2013), through online verification. 29.04.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 04 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2434/12 of 29.04.2025) - To review the list of items for which the issuance of Import Control License has been suspended in terms of the Special Gazette No. 2312/77 dated 01.01.2023 and remove selected items from the list, and to remove the requirement of Import Control License on importation of electric motorcycles unregistered in any country (Brand-new). 05.05.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 05 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2435/02 of 05.05.2025) - To Incorporate National Subdivisions of the Harmonized System Codes published for electric motor vehicles by the Extraordinary Gazette No. 2434/02 dated April 28, 2025 in the Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations applicable to the importation of Motor Vehicles. 19.05.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 06 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2437/04 of 19.05.2025) - To remove the requirement of Import Control License (ICL) for the importation of raw non-iodized salt and edible iodized salt (powdered and granular salt), classified under the HS Code of 2501.00, until June 10, 2025.* BOX 2.1 : Major Fiscal Measures (January – September, 2025) (Contd..)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 53 printed page 39
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 39 Effective Date Measures 15.08.2025 Imports and Exports (Control) Regulations No. 07 of 2025 (Gazette Extraordinary No. 2449/60 of 15.08.2025) - To extent the validity period of the Import and Export (Control) Regulations No. 07 of 2024 (Published in the Gazette Extraordinary No. 2384/34 of 17.05.2024) until 30.09.2025.* Embarkation Levy - Finance Act, No. 25 of 2003 31.01.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2421/30 of 31.01.2025 - To extend tax exemption period for persons leaving Sri Lanka by aircraft from Mattala Rajapaksa International Airport (MRIA) for three years from the date of commencement of operations by an International Airline or 28.12.2025 which ever comes first. - To extend the concessionary rate of USD 30 on Embarkation Levy for persons leaving Sri Lanka by aircraft from CIAR and JIA. International Telecommunications Operators Levy - Finance Act, No. 11 of 2004 01.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2430/14 of 01.04.2025 - To extend the current rate of levy payable on Incoming International Calls, Incoming International Calls on specific telephone numbers, Incoming Local Access Charge, Telecommunication Development Charge and Outgoing Local Access Charge for three years from January 01, 2025 to December 31, 2027. Luxury Tax on Motor Vehicle – Finance Act, No.35 of 2018 01.02.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2421/41 of 31.12.2024 - To revise Luxury Tax on Motor Vehicles threshold by Rs. 1.5 million for each fuel category except electric. 29.04.2025 Gazette Notification No. 2434/05 of 28.04.2025 - To impose Luxury Tax on motor vehicles for the newly created National Sub Divisions for electric motor vehicles with engine used (petrol, diesel or semi-diesel) only for charging the electric accumulator, not capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power. The Colombo Port City Economic Commision Act, No. 11 of 2021 20.09.2025 The Colombo Port City Regulations No. 01 of 2025 ( Gazette Notification No. 2454/62 of 20.09.2025) - To provide guildlines on the grant of exemptions or incentives to businesses of strategic importance operating within the area of authority of the Colombo Port City. 2.3 Government Expenditure Government expenditure during first eight months of 2025 amounted to Rs. 3,712.5 billion of which Rs. 3,381.3 billion was recurrent expenditure and Rs. 331.2 billion was capital and net lending. Government expenditure is required to be authorized by Parliament annually. Accordingly, the Appropriation Act, No. 03 of 2025, was passed by Parliament, enabling the government to incur expenditure in 2025. * - This Gazette is currently not effective TABLE 2.11 : Performance of Government Expenditure Rs. Mn. Item Jan-Aug 2024 2025(a) Recurrent Expenditure 3,041,565 3,381,309 Salaries 659,502 760,687 Pension 254,006 282,905 Interest 1,559,721 1,687,571 Other 568,336 650,146 Capital & Net Lending 435,320 331,183 Total Expenditure 3,476,885 3,712,492 Sources : Department of National Budget and Department of Fiscal Policy (a) Provisional BOX 2.1 : Major Fiscal Measures (January – September, 2025) (Contd..)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 54 printed page 40
40 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Personal Emoluments and Pensions
The expenditure on personal emoluments
of public servants, including employees
of Provincial Councils, increased by 15.3
percent to Rs. 760.7 billion in the first eight
months of 2025, from Rs. 659.5 billion
in the same period of 2024. Meanwhile,
expenditure
on
pension
payments
increased by 11.4 percent to Rs. 282.9 billion
in the first eight months of 2025, compared
to Rs. 254.0 billion in the same period of
2024. This increase was mainly triggered
by increased basic salary of public servants
and pension revisions in line with the 2025
Budget proposal.
Interest Payments
Interest payments on both domestic and
foreign debt increased by 8.2 percent to
Rs. 1,687.6 billion in the first eight months
of 2025, compared to Rs. 1,559.7 billion
in the same period of 2024. The interest
payments on domestic debt increased
by 0.5 percent to Rs. 1,466.5 billion in the
first eight months of 2025, compared to
Rs. 1,459.7 billion in the same period of
2024. Interest payments on foreign debt
increased by 121.1 percent to Rs. 221.1
billion in the first eight months of 2025,
from Rs. 100.0 billion in the same period of
2024.
Welfare expenditure
The
government
continued
the
strengthening
of
social
safety
net
programmes with special attention of
providing a relief to the vulnerable and
marginalized segments of society through
improved targeting and coverage while
empowering
them
to
improve
their
livelihoods.
In the first eight months of 2025, the total
welfare spending including social welfare,
social security, education, health and
nutrition, development assistance, and
subsidies for production and labour market
inclusion increased by 17.7 percent to
Rs. 629.4 billion compared to Rs. 534.4 billion
in the same period of 2024. Social welfare
and social security expenditures amounted
to Rs. 557.3 billion in the first eight months
of 2025. This includes a spending of Rs. 112.6
billion for the “Aswesuma” programme,
including categorical payments for elderly
allowance, allowance for differently-abled
persons and kidney patients’ allowance
which is a 27.2 percent increase compared
to the same period of 2024.
TABLE 2.12 : Behaviour of Yield Rates on Government Securities and Exchange Rate (2024 - 2025)
Period
Treasury Bills (%)
Treasury Bonds (%)
Average
Exchange
Rate
Rs/USD
91 days
182 days
364 days
2 year
3 year
4 year
5 year
2024
Jan
11.97
12.20
12.00
13.83
13.08
14.21
13.65
321.17
Feb
9.87
9.95
10.05
-
10.81
-
11.90
312.58
Mar
10.07
10.23
10.28
-
11.33
-
12.25
305.67
Apr
9.61
9.89
9.99
-
11.44 11.72
12.37
299.42
May
8.62
9.04
9.18
-
- 11.01 -
299.69
Jun
10.07
10.19
10.31
-
10.69
11.90 11.78
303.81
Jul
9.14
9.34
9.95
-
12.07
- -
303.76
Aug
9.49
9.84
10.01
-
-
-
12.98
300.69
Sep
10.49
10.72
10.05
-
13.79
-
13.98
301.15
Oct
9.35
9.68
9.95
-
11.79
11.84 -
293.79
Nov
8.73
8.97
9.08
11.63
10.62
-
11.28
292.01
Dec
8.62
8.77
8.96
-
- 10.42
10.75
291.68
2025
Jan
7.93
8.09
8.47
-
- 10.42
10.73
296.18
Feb
7.57
7.87
8.35
-
- 10.63
-
296.80
Mar
7.50
7.84
8.25
-
-
-
10.72
295.91
Apr
7.65
7.97
8.30
-
- 10.30
10.64
298.53
May
7.55
7.77
7.98
-
8.85 10.22 9.47
299.41
Jun
7.55
7.75
7.94
-
- 9.41
-
299.90
Jul
7.62
7.91
8.03
-
-
9.46 9.77
301.12
Aug
7.58
7.89
8.03
-
-
-
-
301.49
Sources : Department of Treasury Operations, Department of Public Debt and Central Bank of Sri LankaPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 55 printed page 41
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 41 TABLE 2.13 : Welfare Expenditure Rs.Mn. Programme Jan.- Aug. 2024 Actual 2025 Provisional Social Welfare 76,784 94,426 Medical supplies for Government Hospitals (including Ayurvedha) 45,780 74,952 Health insurance for school children (Suraksha) 1,166 1,376 Agrahara insuarance scheme for pensioners 689 486 Allowance for pre-school teachers 251 490 "Ranaviru Mapiya Rakawarana" allowance 1,451 916 Property loan interest to public servants 1,131 958 Subsidy for economically unprofitable routes, contribution of socially obligatory bus services (Sisu sariya, Gami seriya and Nisi seriya) and Armed Forces Bus Passes 2,169 2,606 "Suwasariya" - 1990 free ambulance service 1,514 1,686 Interest difference on senior citizens' accounts 20,000 10,000 World Food Programme 632 332 Other 2001 622 Social Security 401,200 462,944 Cash grant for low income families 97,819 98,132 Support for low-income differently abled persons 4,288 9,453 Financial support for elderly people 8,709 29,769 Financial support for kidney patients 1,852 3,166 Financial assistance to purchase school stationeries - 2,833 Pension 254,006 282,631 Service compensation for death & injured soldiers 31,088 33,312 Pension for Farmers 3,284 3,523 Other 155 126 Health and Nutrition 16,496 25,442 Thriposha programme 1,551 1,750 Nutritional food package for expectant mothers 4,161 4,196 School nutritional foods programme 9,466 17,894 Morning meal for pre-school children 673 1,342 Other 645 260 Education 15,326 18,931 School texbooks 3,421 1,567 School uniforms 1,039 58 Shoes for students in difficult schools 570 2490 Scholarships – grade 5 students 616 824 Mahapola and bursaries 1,750 3,245 Loan scheme for the students who are unable to get into the state universities 1,228 1,335 School & higher education season Tickets 6,125 8,250 Others 577 1,162 Development Subsidies 24,628 27,695 Fertilizer subsidy 24,280 22,625 Other 348 5070 Total 534,434 629,439 Source: Department of National Budget Furthermore, government spending on health and nutrition related welfare programmes increased by 54 percent to Rs. 25.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025 from Rs. 16.4 billion in the same period of 2024 mainly due to the increase of spending for school nutrition programme with the increase of the coverage of the school children for the ‘School Nutritional Food Programme’ to all the primary schooling children.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 56 printed page 42
42 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Public Investment
Public investment was under execution
in the first eight months of 2025, due to
various bottlenecks, including delays in
the disbursement of some foreign loans,
procurement, land, and environmental
clearances, and donor concurrences for
some adjustments of ongoing projects.
Public investments amounting to over
Rs. 338.8 billion have been incurred for
the following infrastructure development
projects in the first eight months of 2025:
i. Rs. 121.5 billion for the maintenance,
rehabilitation, and development of
rural roads, bridges, highways, and
expressways;
ii. Rs. 18.73 billion for the development
and expansion of pipeborne water
supply
schemes,
development
of
housing schemes, and facilities in
urban areas;
iii. Rs. 9.96 billion for the rehabilitation and
improvement of railway fleet, rail roads
and improving transport network;
iv. Rs. 14.99 billion for the improvement
of productivity and efficiency in the
agriculture value chain by introducing
modern technology;
v. Rs. 20.23 billion for ensuring water
security for agriculture purposes,
mainly by completing infrastructure
development
of
North
Central
Province Cannel and constructing and
maintaining other irrigation-related
infrastructure;
vi. Rs. 21.8 billion for the rehabilitation
and infrastructure development of
schools, higher education institutions,
vocational
training
centers,
and
teacher
training
programs,
with
the aim of enhancing the quality of
education;
vii. Rs. 19.43 billion for the maintenance
and development of hospitals and the
provision of medical equipments to
hospitals;
viii. Rs. 2.59 billion for the development of
infrastructure related to provision of
electricity; and
ix. Rs.42.72 billion as equity contribution
to
public
enterprises,
including
National Water Supply and Drainage
Board, resumption of water supply
projects terminated due to debt
restructuring, and Dr. Nevil Fernando
Hospital.
2.4 Performance of the Cash Flow of the
General Treasury
Cash inflows to the General Treasury
by way of revenue and other receipts
amounted to Rs. 3,187.5 billion in the first
eight months of 2025, as against the
estimation of Rs. 2,989.4 billion, achieving
the 106.6 percent from the estimate. This
was an increase of 27.6 percent, compared
TABLE 2.14 : Government Treasury Cash Flow Operations
Rs. Bn.
Item
Jan. - Aug.
2024
2025
Actual
Estimate
Actual
Opening Cash balance
599.5
805.1
805.1
Total cash inflow from revenue and other receipts
2,496.8
2,989.4
3,187.4
Total cash outflow for recurrent payments
-3,065.0
-3,890.7
-3,292.4
Total cash outflow for capital payments
-599.7
-676.1
-327.7
Net cash surplus / (deficit)
-1,167.8
-1,577.5
-432.7
Gross borrowing
2,306.5
2,569.6
2,295.6
Debt repayment
-924.6
-1,286.7
-1,457.6
Net borrowing
1,382.0
1,282.8
838.0
Adjustment account balance (TEB, net deposits, Other Transfer etc.)
-53.5
-
-4.7
Closing Cash balance
760.1
510.4
1,205.8
Source: Department of Treasury OperationsPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 57 printed page 43
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
43
to Rs. 2,496.8 billion in the same period
of 2024. Meanwhile, cash outflow for
both recurrent and public investment
amounted to Rs. 3,620.2 billion in the first
eight months of 2025, representing a slight
decline compared to Rs. 3,664.7 billion
over the same period of 2024.
As of August 31, 2025, the net cash deficit
fell significantly 62.9 percent to Rs. 432.7
billion, compared to Rs. 1,167.8 billion in the
same period of 2024. This improvement was
driven by impressive revenue collection
and a substantial reduction in capital
expenditure, reflecting better cash flow
despite a moderate increase in recurrent
spending. The
closing
positive
cash
balance as of August 31, 2025, increased
significantly to Rs. 1,205.8 billion from Rs.
760.1 billion recorded as of August 31, 2024
reflecting an improved overall cash position
in the country.The increase in cash inflows
can be attributed to increased revenue
collections and improved tax compliance.
Also, a prudent financial management
and expenditure controls contributed to
the healthy cash balance. This upward
trend indicates a positive fiscal outlook
and enhances the government's capacity
to meet its financial commitments, invest
in development projects, and strengthen
economic stability moving forward.
2.5 Management of Government Debt
The Parliament approved a total gross
borrowing limit of Rs. 4,000 billion for the
fiscal year 2025. Of this, Rs. 2,723.5 billion
was allocated for the period from January
1 to August 31, 2025. The borrowing was
sourced from both domestic and foreign
markets, amounting to Rs. 1,847.8 billion
and Rs. 281.8 billion respectively. The
primary objectives of these borrowings
were to meet debt service obligations and
to fund various development initiatives.
As of the reporting date, approximately
86.8 percent of the total borrowings
in the first eight months of 2025 were
secured domestically. Treasury Bonds
were exclusively utilized for domestic
debt servicing. The utilization of the
approved borrowing limit during this
period was recorded at Rs. 2,129.6 billion,
predominantly through the issuance of
Treasury Bonds.
Furthermore, the data indicates a net
negative
issuance
of
Treasury
Bills
amounting to Rs. 240.2 billion. This
suggests that outflows surpassed new
issuances, implying that cash flow financing
was employed to reduce the outstanding
volume of Treasury Bill repayments during
this period.
TABLE 2.15 : Gross domestic borrowings
(January to August 2025)
Rs.Bn.
Instruments
Jan - Aug 2025
Treasury Bonds (Gross
Borrowing)
1,847.8
Total
1,847.8
Further, Treasury bill worth Rs. 4,735 billion
were retired during the period, against
which a sum of Rs. 4,495 billion was raised
from the market, resulting in a net negative
borrowing of Rs. 240 billion by way of
treasury bills during the period.
2.6 Foreign Financing
Overview
Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring process has
now largely concluded, which is essential
in the path to restoring debt sustainability
and macroeconomic stability. Sri Lanka will
gain approximately USD 9.5 billion in debt
service payment reductions over the four-
year IMF programme period, a 31 percent
reduction in the coupon rate of Sri Lanka’s
Bonds to 4.4 percent, and an extension of
the average maturity profile of over five
years.
Foreign Financing Commitments
During the period from 1st January to 31st
August 2025, new commitments have
not been entered into with bilateral,
multilateral,
or
external
commercial
creditors.
Foreign Financing Disbursements and
Utilization
During the period from 1st January to
31st August 2025, total foreign loan
disbursements amounted to USD 938.8
million.
Sources : Department of Treasury OperationsPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 58 printed page 44
44 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 The largest share of disbursements was recorded under the International Monetary Fund’s Extended Fund Facility (IMF-EFF), accounting for 73 percent of the total. This was followed by disbursements under loan agreements with the World Bank (11 percent) and the Asian Development Bank (7 percent). Following the signing of bilateral debt restructuring agreements with the main bilateral creditors, the disbursements were re-commenced, and during the period, disbursements from the bi-lateral creditors were recorded to USD 26.4 million. In terms of sectoral allocation, the Budget Support sector accounted for the majority share, representing 65 percent of total disbursements, followed by the Humanitarian Assistance sector (7 percent) and the Water Supply and Sanitation sector (5 percent). TABLE 2.16 : Disbursements of Foreign Loans and Grants (January - August 2025) Development Partner/ Lending Agency Disbursements* (USD Mn.) Loan Bilateral 26.4 Japan 14.3 Saudi Fund 8.1 Co-op Centrale Netherlands 2.6 Korea 1.2 Multilateral 912.4 IMF 681.6 World Bank 107.5 Asian Development Bank 70.4 OPEC Fund 33.9 Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank 17.9 International Fund for Agricultural Development 1.0 Total 938.8 Source:Public debt Management Office For conversion of disbursements made in different currencies into USD, the exchange rates prevailed on each disbursement date have been used For conversion of SDR into USD, monthend exchange rate of SDR applied to the end of previous month published by CBSL have been used. * Provisional 682 108 70 34 18 14 8 3 1 1 IMF World Bank Asian Development Bank OPEC Fund Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Japan Saudi Fund For Arab Economic Development Co-op Centrale Netherlands Korea International Fund for Agricultural Development Source: Public Dept Management Office FIGURE 2.4 : Disbursements from 1st January to 31st August 2025, as per the Development Partners/ Lending Agency (USD Mn.)Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 59 printed page 45
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 45 External Debt Stock and External Debt Service Payments External debt of the Government as of the end of August 2025 amounted to USD 37.3 billion1. Multilateral debt accounts for 36 percent of total government external debt, followed by commercial debt at 34 percent and bilateral debt at 30 percent. Approximately 81 percent of commercial debt comprises outstanding International Sovereign Bond (ISB) issuances, with the remainder consisting of foreign currency term financing facilities (syndicated loans). Among multilateral creditors, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the World Bank (WB) together represented over 83 percent of the total multilateral debt. With respect to bilateral debt, 61 percent was held by non-Paris Club creditors, while the remaining 39 percent was from Paris Club members. Total debt service payments2 from 1st January to 31st August in 2025 amounted to USD 1,745.0 million, of which USD 1,036.2 million was for principal repayments and the balance was in lieu of USD 708.8 million for the interest payments. As of the end of August 2025, there were no external payment arrears. External payment arrears consist of debt-service obligations (principal and interest) to non-residents that have not been paid at the time they are due, as specified in the contractual agreements, subject to any applicable grace period. However, overdue debt and debt service obligations that are in dispute will not be considered as external payments arrears for the purposes of programme monitoring. Arrears resulting from the non-payment of debt service, for which a rescheduling or restructuring agreement is being sought, are excluded from this definition3. 707 52 32 31 28 23 19 47 Budget Support Humanitarian Assistannce Water Supply & Sanitation Science & Technology Roads and Bridges Ground Transport Housing & Urban Development ** Other Source: Public Debt Management Office ** Other = Agriculture, Education & Training, Health & Social Welfare, Land Development, Power & Energy, Rural Development 1 Provisional, Only the Central Government outstanding Foreign Debt are depicted. - Included unpaid Principal accumulated from the date of debt standstill policy was adopted. - Non-resident holdings of T-bill / T-bonds are not included. - Outstanding amounts of ISBs have not been classified on the current resident/ non-resident basis of their holdings. 2 Debt Service = Principal Payments + Interest Payments 3 Source: IMF Country Report No. 25/162, dated July 2025 FIGURE 2.5 : Disbursements from 1st January to 31st August 2025, as per the Major Economic Sector (USD Mn.)Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 49 3.1 Overview In the first half of 2025, the Sri Lankan economy further strengthened with notable outcomes in all spectra of the economy while remaining resilient to both domestic and external headwinds. The economy grew by 4.8 percent in the first half of 2025, with a broad-based recovery across all sectors of the economy, including Agriculture, Industry, Services and Taxes less Subsidies. Inflation has turned to positive territory to 1.5 percent and 2.1 percent in September and October 2025, respectively, after remaining in negative territory for 11 months. Gross official reserves reached USD 6.2 billion at the end of September 2025. The external sector remained resilient to shocks amid heightened trade policy uncertainty and geopolitical headwinds. The current account balance in the external sector recorded a surplus of USD 2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, driven largely by the increased inflows from tourism and workers’ remittances. The debt restructuring process has been largely concluded providing a path towards restoring debt sustainability. The government is on the track to address the structural bottlenecks of the economy to unlock the potential growth. Broad and much-needed reform measures have been implemented to enhance transparency and accountability across all sectors, supported by a comprehensive anti-corruption drive, the improvements in macroeconomic conditions while preserving policy continuity with necessary adjustments. Fitch Ratings upgraded Sri Lanka’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘CCC+’ from ‘RD’ (Restricted Default), Moody’s Investors Service raised its Long-Term Foreign- Currency Issuer Rating to ‘Caa1’ from ‘Ca’, and S&P Global Ratings upgraded the country’s long-term and short-term foreign currency ratings to ‘CCC+/C’ from ‘SD/ SD’, reflecting investors’ confidence in Sri Lanka’s economic recovery and reform efforts. Easing monetary conditions, increased public and informal sector wages, increased credit to private sector, and the removal of vehicle import restrictions in February 2025, supported a strong recovery in domestic demand Economic activities surged with the expansion of industrial sector supported by strong performances in manufacturing, mining and construction activities and the expansion of services sector, supported by robust growth in financial services, insurance, and the recovery of tourism sector. The unemployment rate declined to 3.8 percent in the first quarter of 2025 compared to 4.5 percent recorded in the first quarter of 2024 due to the decline in in both male and female unemployment rates to 2.5 percent and 6.3 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, the labour force participation rate increased to 49.7 percent in the first quarter of 2025 compared to 47.1 percent in the first quarter of 2024 due to the increases in both male and female labour force participation rates to 70.1 percent and 32.0 percent, respectively. FIGURE 3.1 : GDP Growth Source : Department of Census and Statistics Source : Department of Census and Statistics FIGURE 3.2 : Composition of GDP - First Half of 2025 -10.7 -3.1 1.8 4.3 5.1 4.1 5.3 5.4 4.8 4.9 -13 -8 -3 2 7 12 17 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 GDP Growth (%) FIGURE 3.1 : GDP Growth Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 7% Industries 28% Services 58% Taxes less Subsidies on Products 7%Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 64 printed page 50
50 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 The Central Bank moved to a single policy interest rate mechanism with effect from November 27, 2024, replacing its dual policy interest rate mechanism and introduced the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) as the primary monetary policy tool to signal and operationalize its monetary policy stance henceforth, which was initially set at 8.00 percent. The Central Bank maintained an accommodative monetary policy stance throughout 2025, reducing the OPR to 7.75 percent by end-May 2025. The policy rate has since been maintained at this level, as the current monetary stance is deemed consistent with guiding inflation towards the 5.0 percent medium-term target while supporting the ongoing economic recovery. Headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) change in the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100), rose to 2.1 percent in October 2025 from 1.5 percent in September 2025, following nearly a year of deflation. Food inflation (Y-o-Y) accelerated to 2.9 percent in September 2025, while non- food inflation (Y-o-Y) remained steady at 0.7 percent. Forward projections indicate a gradual pickup in inflation over the coming months, converging towards the medium- term target of 5 percent, supported by the continuation of appropriate monetary and fiscal policies. Meanwhile, core inflation (Y-o-Y), which reflects underlying inflationary trends, remained unchanged at 2.0 percent in September 2025. Supporting the ongoing economic recovery, the stock market recorded a notable improvement in performance. The All Share Price Index (ASPI, 1985=100) increased by 48.4 percent (Y-O-Y), reaching 18,027 points, while the Standard & Poor’s Sri Lanka 20 Index (S&P SL20, 2004=1,000) rose by 49.2 percent (Y-O-Y) to 5,353 points by end-June 2025, reflecting renewed investor confidence and improved market sentiment. The external sector demonstrated improved performance during the first eight months of 2025. Merchandise exports grew by 6.7 percent to USD 9.1 billion, compared to USD 8.5 billion in the same period of 2024, reflecting stronger external demand and recovery in key export industries. Merchandise imports increased by 10.5 percent to USD 13.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025, up from USD 12.1 billion in the same period a year earlier, driven mainly by higher domestic demand and the relaxation of import restrictions. Consequently, the merchandise trade deficit widened to USD 4.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 3.6 billion in the same period of 2024. Workers’ remittances recorded a substantial increase of 19.3 percent, reaching USD 5.1 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 4.3 billion in the same period of 2024, reflecting stronger inflows from major migrant destinations. Tourism earnings also rose by 5.7 percent to USD 2.3 billion in the first eight months of 2025, up from USD 2.2 billion in the same period a year earlier, supported by higher tourist arrivals and improved spending per visitor. Consequently, net inflows from the services sector expanded to USD 2.7 billion during the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 2.6 billion in the same period of 2024. Gross Official Reserves (GOR) stood at USD 6.2 billion at the end of September of 2025, including the swap facility with the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), despite ongoing debt service obligations. The Sri Lankan rupee had depreciated by 3.3 percent year-to-date against the US dollar as of end-September 2025. 3.2 Economic Growth The economy expanded by 4.8 percent in the first half of 2025 benefiting from the positive growth in all sectors of the economy i.e., Agriculture, Industry, Services and Taxes less Subsidies. The Agriculture sector grew marginally by 0.6 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 1.8 percent in the same period of 2024. The Industry sector expanded moderately by 7.9 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 10.5 percent in the first half of 2024. The Services sector modestly expanded by 3.3 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 2.3 percent in the same period of 2024. In value added terms,Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 65 printed page 51
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
51
taxes less subsidies on products increased
by 10.6 percent in the first half of 2025
compared to the increase of 6.4 percent in
the same period of 2024.
Agriculture
The agriculture sector contributing 8.8
percent to GDP, recorded a marginal
growth of 0.6 percent in the first half of
2025, compared to the growth of 1.8
percent in the same period of 2024. This
was mainly owing to the positive growth
in sub-sectors such as growing of cereals
(except rice), animal production, plant
propagation, forestry and logging, and
marine fishing and marine aquaculture.
However, subsectors such as the growing
of oleaginous fruits (coconut, king coconut,
oil palm), growing of rubber, and freshwater
fishing
and
fresh
water
aquaculture
contracted significantly during the period.
Rs. Mn.
Sector
2022(b)
2023(b)
2024(a)
First half
Growth (%)
2024(b)
2025(a)
2024(b)
2025(a)
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing
911,252
925,822 937,104
466,927
469,935
1.8
0.6
1
Growing of Cereals (except rice)
16,507
16,920
18,758
9,573
10,100
17.1
5.5
2
Growing of Rice
94,730
110,946
114,369
56,261
57,599
5.5
2.4
3
Growing of Vegetables
103,161
106,135
109,069
52,499
52,077
-0.1
-0.8
4
Growing of Sugar Cane, Tobacco
and Other Non-perennial Crops
3,803
3,515
3,187
1,555
1,570
-11.3
1.0
5
Growing of Fruits
73,310
78,076
81,548
40,368
41,163
4.0
2.0
6
Growing of Oleaginous Fruits
(Coconut, King Coconut, Oil Palm)
111,196
104,725
92,703
51,171
44,931
-1.5
-12.2
7
Growing of Tea (Green Leaves)
62,867
61,912
62,953
30,635
32,428
-6.4
5.9
8
Growing of Other Beverage Crops
(Coffee, Cocoa etc,.)
1,229
1,136
1,110
555
596
-2.3
7.4
9
Growing of Spices, Aromatic,
Drug and Pharmaceutical Crops
101,653
99,729
101,653
49,583
50,576
2.8
2.0
10
Growing of Rubber
23,871
22,024
22,503
11,942
9,903
-3.6
-17.1
11
Growing of Other Perennial Crops
27,533
29,440
25,949
12,942
12,862
-12.4
-0.6
12
Animal Production
83,307
83,587
95,363
45,455
52,860
9.2
16.3
13
Plant Propagation
965
728
626
311
339
-26.1
8.8
14
Agriculture supporting activities
33,062
32,888
31,868
17,659
18,256
-2.5
3.4
15
Forestry and Logging
50,931
47,221
46,209
22,378
23,892
-0.8
6.8
16
Marine Fishing and Marine
Aquaculture
95,447
100,099
104,947
51,374
54,042
4.2
5.2
17
Fresh Water Fishing and Fresh
Water Aquaculture
27,682
26,739
24,290
12,665
6,740
11.9
-46.8
Industries
3,308,573 3,002,968 3,333,008 1,654,609 1,785,503
10.5
7.9
18
Mining and Quarrying
198,613
154,303
184,166
88,929
101,795
14.2
14.5
19
Manufacture of Food, Beverages
and Tobacco Products
869,371
899,739
954,409
471,506
490,008
8.8
3.9
20
Manufacture of Textile, Wearing
Apperal and Leather Related
products
511,860
450,438
500,210
249,361
284,023
6.5
13.9
21
Manufacture of Wood and
Products of Wood and Cork,
except Furniture
29,758
23,807
24,975
11,646
11,766
12.1
1.0
22
Manufacture of Paper Products,
Printing and Reproduction of
Media Products
52,069
47,259
48,734
26,922
30,789
-0.2
14.4
23
Manufacture of Coke and Refined
Petroleum Products
6,474
21,895
19,690
11,349
12,485
5.8
10.0
TABLE 3.1 : Sectoral Composition of GDP at Constant (2015) PricesPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 66 printed page 52
52 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Rs. Mn.
Sector
2022(b)
2023(b)
2024(a)
First half
Growth (%)
2024(b)
2025(a)
2024(b)
2025(a)
24
Manufacture of Chemical Products
and Basic Pharmaceutical
Products
82,349
82,949
90,994
50,241
48,742
21.5
-3.0
25
Manufacture of Rubber and Plastic
Products
67,505
56,157
60,972
31,093
32,445
8.2
4.3
26
Manufacture of Other Non-
metallic Mineral Products
85,182
84,670
86,813
45,546
54,727
4.3
20.2
27
Manufacture of Basic Metals and
Fabricated Metal Products
58,780
60,303
70,963
31,080
34,076
39.2
9.6
28
Manufacture of Machinery and
Equipment
59,181
50,229
53,372
22,068
23,503
3.2
6.5
29
Manufacture of Furniture
60,837
56,089
61,740
36,648
40,118
6.6
9.5
30
Other Manufacturing and Repair
and Installation of Machinery and
Equipment
79,088
66,747
72,427
42,375
39,275
9.7
-7.3
31
Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air
Conditioning Supply
178,059
174,017
185,978
95,721
99,926
13.2
4.4
32
Water Collection, Treatment and
Supply
14,059
11,590
11,906
6,504
6,818
5.2
4.8
33
Sewerage, Waste, Treatment and
Disposal Activities
28,070
27,955
28,319
13,135
14,114
3.8
7.5
34
Construction
927,319
734,821
877,339
420,486
460,892
13.7
9.6
Services
7,217,485 7,206,496 7,381,059 3,560,132 3,677,533
2.3
3.3
35
Wholesale and Retail Trade
1,675,528
1,677,941
1,700,232
853,201
865,889
1.1
1.5
36
Transport of Goods and Passenger
including Warehousing
1,364,677
1,422,786
1,464,296
713,291
736,020
3.3
3.2
37
Postal Courier Activities
19,780
20,349
21,627
10,621
11,496
8.1
8.2
38
Accomodation, Food and
Beverage Service Activities
166,030
209,172
274,921
128,642
144,995
34.4
12.7
39
Programming and Broadcasting
Activities and Audio Video
Productions
37,350
36,551
37,767
19,331
19,601
3.7
1.4
40
Telecommunication
140,524
137,403
143,109
70,575
72,675
4.0
3.0
41
IT Programming Consultancy and
Related Activities
238,455
187,341
198,512
97,678
109,916
2.3
12.5
42
Financial Service Activities and
Auxiliary Financial Services
529,744
475,201
482,557
233,540
264,876
-0.2
13.4
43
Insurance, Reinsurance and
Pension Funding
78,187
103,519
89,030
45,378
51,623
-8.7
13.8
44
Real Estate Activities, Including
Ownership of Dwelling
554,456
521,463
543,265
275,632
284,487
4.4
3.2
45
Professional Services
248,467
254,360
263,382
117,330
120,480
3.9
2.7
46
Public Administration and
Defence; Compulsory Social
Security
629,031
618,542
600,314
281,558
274,577
-3.7
-2.5
47
Education
302,435
307,712
314,755
161,451
162,759
2.4
0.8
48
Human Health Activies,
Residential Care and Social Work
Activies
237,677
236,087
234,358
100,252
102,569
-1.8
2.3
49
Other Personal Service Activies
995,147
998,069
1,012,933
451,649
455,567
1.1
0.9
Gross Value Added (GVA), at
basic prices
11,437,311 11,135,286 11,651,170 5,681,668 5,932,971
4.5
4.4
(+) Taxes less Subsidies on
Products
723,576
742,270
821,299
386,605
427,676
6.4
10.6
Gross Domestic Product(GDP) at
market prices
12,160,886 11,877,556 12,472,469 6,068,273 6,360,647
4.6
4.8
Source : Department of Census and Statistics
(a) Provisional
(b) Revised
TABLE 3.1 : Sectoral Composition of GDP at Constant (2015) Prices (Contd..)Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 67 printed page 53
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 53 Rice The growing of rice subsector expanded marginally by 2.4 percent in the first half of 2025 compared to the 5.5 percent expansion in the same period of 2024. The paddy production for the 2024/2025 Maha season, based on the sown extent reported as of end-March 2025, was 2.62 million metric tons of paddy, a 3.8 percent decline from the 2023/2024 Maha season. This decline in production can be attributed to flood-related paddy damage, pest and disease infestations, and yellowing. However, the paddy production for the 2025 Yala season, based on the sown extent reported as of end-July 2025, was 2.2 million metric tons, which is an 11.7 percent increase from the 2024 Yala season. The increase in production during the Yala season can be attributed to the expansion of sown area due to sufficient water availability during the season. Tea, Rubber and Coconut The growing of tea subsector expanded by 5.9 percent in first half of 2025, compared to the contraction of 6.4 percent in the same period of 2024. The tea production in the first half of 2025, increased by 5.5 percent to 134.9 million kg compared to the production of 128.0 million kg in the first half of 2024. This increase can be mainly attributed to favourable weather conditions. The growing of rubber subsector contracted significantly by 17.1 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the marginal contraction of 3.6 percent in the same period of 2024. Rubber production in the first half of 2025, dropped moderately by 12.4 percent to 32.4 million kg compared to 37.0 million kg in the same period of 2024. Further, the growing of oleaginous fruits (coconut, king coconut, and oil palm) subsector also contracted by 12.2 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the contraction of 1.5 percent in the same period of 2024. Accordingly, coconut production contracted by 12.8 percent to 1,351 million nuts in the first half of 2025, compared to the coconut production of 1,549 million nuts in the same period of 2024. Growing of Cereals (except rice) 2.1% Growing of Rice 12.3% Growing of Vegetables 11.1% Growing of Sugar Cane, Tobacco and Other Non- perennial Crops 0.3% Growing of Fruits 8.8% Growing of Oleaginous Fruits ( Coconut, King Coconut, Oil Palm) 9.6% Growing of Tea (Green Leaves) 6.9% Growing of Other Beverage Crops (Coffee, Cocoa etc,.) 0.1% Growing of Spices, Aromatic, Drug and Pharmaceutical Crops 10.8% Growing of Rubber 2.1% Growing of Other Perennial Crops 2.7% Animal Production 11.2% Plant Propagation 0.1% Agriculture supporting activities 3.9% Forestry and Logging 5.1% Marine Fishing and Marine Aquaculture 11.5% Fresh Water Fishing and Fresh Water Aquaculture 1.4% FIGURE 3.3 : Composition of Agriculture Sector - First Half of 2025 Source : Department of Census and StatisticsPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 68 printed page 54
54 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Cereals, Vegetables, Fruits, Spices and Pharmaceutical Crops The growing of cereals (except rice) subsector grew marginally by 5.5 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 17.1 percent in the same period of 2024. Growing of vegetables subsector contracted by 0.8 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the insignificant contraction of 0.1 percent in the same period of 2024, whereas growing of fruits subsector grew by 2.0 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the 4.0 percent growth in the same period of 2024. Growing of spices, aromatic, drug, and pharmaceutical crops subsector also expanded by 2.0 percent in the first half of 2025 compared to the expansion of 2.8 percent in the same period of 2024. Fisheries and Livestock The marine fishing and marine aquaculture subsector expanded by 5.2 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the expansion of 4.2 percent in the same period of 2024. However, the freshwater fishing and freshwater aquaculture subsector contracted significantly by 46.8 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 11.9 percent in the same period of 2024. The total fish production (marine and inland) decreased to 186 million kg in the first half of 2025, compared to the production of 204 million kg in the same period of 2024, owing to the significant decline in inland fishing activities. The animal production subsector grew moderately by 16.3 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 9.2 percent recorded in the same period of 2024. Industry and Manufacturing The Industry sector, which contributes 26.0 percent of the GDP, recorded a positive growth of 7.9 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the positive growth of 10.5 percent recorded in the same period of 2024. This was largely attributable to the expansion in construction, mining and quarrying, manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel and leather related products, manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply subsectors which recorded positive growth rates of 9.6 percent, 14.5 percent, 13.9 percent, 20.2 percent and 4.4 percent, respectively. The subsectors such as the manufacture of food, beverages and tobacco products (3.9 percent), the manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture (1.0 percent), the manufacture of paper products, printing and reproduction of media products (14.4 percent), the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (10.0 percent), the manufacture of rubber and plastic products (4.3 percent), the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (9.6 percent), the manufacture of machinery and equipment (6.5 percent), the manufacture of furniture (9.5 percent), water collection, treatment and supply (4.8 percent), and sewerage, waste treatment , and disposal activities (7.5 percent) also expanded in the first half of 2025, compared to the same period of 2024. However, the manufacture of chemical products and basic pharmaceutical products subsector contracted by 3.0 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the significant growth of 21.5 percent recorded in the same period of 2024. Further, the other manufacturing, and repair and installation of machinery and equipment subsector also contracted by 7.3 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the growth of 9.7 percent in the same period of 2024. Total power generation increased by 4.7 percent to 8,675 GWh in the first half of 2025, compared to 8,284 GWh in the corresponding period of 2024. The sale of electricity to industries increased by 2.3 percent to 2,315 GWh in the first half of 2025, compared to 2,263 GWh in the same period of 2024, reflecting expansion in industrial activities.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 69 printed page 55
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 55 Source : Department of Census and Statistics FIGURE 3.5 : Composition of Manufacturing Sector - First Half of 2025 FIGURE 3.4 : Composition of Industry Sector - First Half of 2025 Food, Beverages and Tobacco Products 44.5% Textile, Wearing Apperal and Leather Related products 25.8% Chemical Products and Basic Pharmaceutical Products 4.4% Rubber and Plastic Products 2.9% Other Non-metallic Mineral Products 5.0% Machinery and Equipment 2.1% Furniture 3.6% Other 11.7% Mining and Quarrying 6% Manufacturing 62% Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply 5% Water Collection, Treatment and Supply 0.38% Sewerage, Waste, Treatment and Disposal Activities 1% Construction 26% Source : Department of Census and Statistics 25.8% 5.7% 0.8% 0.4% 5.6% 61.7%Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 70 printed page 56
56 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Electricity generation through hydropower increased moderately by 18.9 percent to 2,975 GWh in the first half of 2025, compared to 2,503 GWh in the same period of 2024. Electricity generation from wind also increased by 8.0 percent to 166 GWh in the first half of 2025, compared to 154 GWh in the same period of 2024. However, electricity generation from fuel oil declined significantly by 28.8 percent, while coal- based generation dropped moderately by 8.9 percent in the first half of 2025. In the first half of 2025, electricity generation by the private sector increased significantly by 23.1 percent to 2,233 GWh compared to 1,814 GWh in the same period of 2024. Services The Services sector, which accounted for 55.2 percent of GDP, recorded a marginal growth of 3.3 percent in the first half of 2025, compared to the marginal growth of 2.3 percent in the same period of 2024. The growth was primarily driven by notable expansions in accommodation, food and beverage service activities (12.7%), IT programming, consultancy and related activities (12.5%), and financial service and auxiliary financial service activities (13.4%). Sub-Sectors of wholesale and retail trade (1.5 percent), transportation of goods and passengers, including warehousing (3.2 percent), postal and courier activities (8.2 percent), programming and broadcasting activities and audio video production (1.4 percent), telecommunication (3.0 percent), Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding (13.8 percent), real estate activities, including ownership of dwellings (3.2 percent), professional services (2.7 percent), education (0.8 percent), human health activities, residential care and social work activities (2.3 percent), and other personal service activities (0.9 percent), also expanded in the first half of 2025. However, the public administration and defense, compulsory social security subsector contracted by 2.5 percent in the first half of 2025. Wholesale and Retail Trade,Transportation and Storage, Accommodation and Food Service Activities 47.8% Information and Communication 5.5% Financial and Insurance Activies 8.6% Real Estate Activities 7.7% Professional Services 3.3% Public Administration, Defence,Education,Huma n Health and Social Work Activies 14.7% Other Services 12.4% p Source : Department of Census and Statistics FIGURE 3.6 : Composition of Services Sector - First Half of 2025Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 71 printed page 57
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 57 Transportation and Port Services The transport sector expanded by 3.2 percent in the first half of 2025. The total number of new vehicle registrations increased dramatically by 264.6 percent to 96,056 in the first half of 2025, compared to 26,345 in the same period of 2024. The registration of three-wheelers increased by 7,460.5 percent, motor cars increased by 2,110.1 percent, buses increased by 381.6 percent, dual-purpose vehicles increased by 301.4 percent, motorcycles increased by 226.1 percent, goods transport vehicles increased by 96.8 percent, and land vehicles increased by 56.7 percent in the first half of 2025. Total containers handled increased by 2.1 percent in the first half of 2025 to 3.9 million Twenty-foot Equivalent Units (TEUs), compared to 3.8 million TEUs in the same period of 2024. Domestic container handling increased by 16.2 percent, and restowing container handling increased TABLE 3.2 : Selected Indicators of Services Sector Indicator 2021 2022 2023 2024(a) 2024(a) 2025(a) Port Services Jan-Aug Jan- Aug Vessels Arrived (No) 4,180 4,073 4,809 4,562 2,987 3,335 Total Cargo Handled (MT ‘000) 109,356 100,376 103,794 120,203 80,713 82,370 Total Container Handled (TEU ‘000) 7,249 6,862 6,950 7,792 5,141 5,435 Transshipment (TEU ‘000)(b) 6,050 5,832 5,754 6,623 4,386 4,577 Telecommunication Sector End June End June Fixed Telephone Lines (No.'000) 2,852 2,651 2,308 2,122 2,155 2,142 Cellular Phones (No.‘000) 29,959 28,838 28,986 28,820 29,005 29,027 Wireless Phones (No.‘000) 1,587 1,388 1,163 1,046 1,063 1,074 Internet and E-mail Subscribers (No. ‘000) 22,106 21,668 22,864 23,149 23,349 23,686 Health Sector Private Hospitals 243 250 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Public Hospitals 618 617 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. No. of Beds (Government) 78,228 78,228 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. No. of Doctors (Government) 20,209 21,045 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. No. of Nurses (Government) 39,091 40,775 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Financial Sector End June End June Bank Branches and Other Outlets 7,369 7,378 7,522 7,613 7,602 7,489 Credit Cards in Use 2,054,985 2,054,896 1,987,857 1,990,271 1,926,931 2,093,738 End Aug End Aug Licensed Finance Companies (e ) 39 37 33 32 33 32 Specialised Leasing Companies 3 1 1 1 1 1 Tourism Sector Jan - Aug Jan - Aug Tourist Arrivals 194,495 719,978 1,487,303 2,053,465 1,362,668 1,566,523 Tourist Earnings (USD Million) 507 1,136 2,068 3,169 2,167 2,290 Room Occupancy Rate 18.6 30.4 39.0 n.a. n.a. n.a. Transport Services (New Registration) Jan-Aug Jan- Aug Buses 281 404 685 146 111 853 Cars 3,495 1,489 1,816 1,644 964 26,894 Goods Transport Vehicles(c ) 2,593 940 523 1,284 790 1,700 Motor Cycles 8,011 9,060 20,200 65,289 35,336 127,745 Three Wheelers 2,093 36 60 94 50 5,967 Tractors and Trailers(d) 12,616 5,285 4,020 5,070 3,190 5,176 Other (f) 586 883 642 3,246 Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Department of Motor Traffic, Telecommunications Regulatory Commission of Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka Ports Authority (a) Provisional (b) Includes re-stowing (c) Includes special purpose vehicles, motor lorry and lorry others (d) Includes land vehicles and Lorry Trailers (e) Excluding ETI Finance Ltd (f) Includes dual purpose vehicles, quadricycles and motor homesPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 72 printed page 58
58 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
by 4.6 percent, whereas transshipment
container handling decreased by 0.4
percent in the first half of 2025.
The total number of cargo handled
increased by 2.1 percent to 60.8 million
metric tons in the first half of 2025, compared
to 59.5 million metric tons in the same
period of 2024. Cargo discharge increased
by 3.0 percent to 33.7 million metric tons
in the first half of 2025, compared to 32.7
million metric tons in the same period of
2024. Cargo loaded also increased by 1.0
percent to 27.0 million metric tons in the
first half of 2025 compared to 26.7 million
metric tons in the same period of 2024.
Telecommunication
The
telecommunication
subsector
recorded a growth of 3.0 percent in the
first half of 2025. Telephone penetration,
including
cellular
phones,
decreased
marginally by 1.0 percent to 141.8 per 100
persons as of end-June 2025, compared to
143.2 per 100 persons as of end-June 2024.
Internet subscribers including, mobile
internet connections increased by 1.4
percent to 23.7 million as of end-June 2025,
compared to 23.3 million at end-June 2024.
As of end-June 2025, the number of fixed-
line telephones decreased marginally by
0.6 percent, while the number of cellular
phones increased marginally by 0.1 percent
as of end-June 2024 .
Unemployment
In
the
first
quarter
of
2025,
the
unemployment rate decreased to 3.8
percent,
compared
to
4.5
percent
recorded in the first quarter of 2024. The
unemployment rate among females and
males in the first quarter of 2025 was
recorded at 6.3 percent and 2.5 percent,
respectively.
Meanwhile,
the
youth
unemployment rate (ages 15 - 24 years) for
the first quarter of 2025 was recorded as
19.7 percent, marking the highest reported
unemployment rate across all age groups.
Among all age groups, unemployment
among females is higher than that among
males.
Meanwhile, the labour force participation
rate increased slightly to 49.7 percent in
the first quarter of 2025, compared to 47.1
percent in the first quarter of 2024. Labour
force participation rate among females
and males in the first quarter of 2025 was
recorded at 32.0 percent and 70.1 percent,
respectively.
TABLE 3.3 : Performance of Tourism Sector
Month
Tourist Arrivals
Tourist Earnings (USD Mn. )
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025(a)
2021
2022
2023
2024(b)
2025(a)
January
1,682
82,327
102,545
208,253
252,761
4.4
151.7
153.5
341.8
400.7
February
3,366
96,507
107,639
218,350
240,217
8.8
169.4
161.6
345.7
367.6
March
4,581
106,500
125,495
209,181
229,298
11.9
161.2
188.8
338.4
354.0
April
4,168
62,980
105,498 148,867
174,608
10.9
108.7
148.2
225.7
256.7
May
1,497
30,207
83,309 112,128
132,919
3.9
43.5
100.0
154.0
164.1
June
1,614
32,856
100,388 113,470 138,241
4.2
45.0
122.9
151.1
169.5
July
2,429
47,293
143,039
187,810
200,244
6.3
85.0
219.0
328.3
318.5
August
5,040
37,760
136,405 164,609
198,235
13.1
67.9
210.5
282.1
258.9
September
13,547
29,802
111,938 122,140
35.3
40.5
152.2
181.0
October
22,771
42,026
109,199 135,907
59.3
54.9
136.7
185.6
November
44,294
59,759
151,496 184,158
115.4
81.0
205.3
272.9
December
89,506
91,961
210,352
248,592
233.3
127.4
269.3
362.1
Total
194,495
719,978
1,487,303
2,053,465
1,566,523
506.8
1,136.3
2,068.0
3,168.6
2,290.0
Source : Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority
(a) Provisional
(b) RivisedPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 73 printed page 59
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 59 3.3 Monetary Sector Developments In January 2025, the CBSL decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 8.00 percent, where it had remained since November 2024. In May 2025, the OPR was reduced by 25 bps to 7.75 percent, thus easing monetary policy further. Accordingly, the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR), which are linked to the OPR with pre-determined margins of ± 50bps, were reduced to 7.25 percent and 8.25 percent, respectively. As a result, most market interest rates declined including short-term rates, lending rates such as the Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) and the Average Weighted New SME Rate (AWNSR), and other key market deposit and lending rates. Treasury bill yields across all maturities in the primary auctions declined by 90-100 bps during January-July 2025, and longer-term yields also declined in both the primary and secondary markets. However, a slight increasing trend in yields was observed since mid-June 2025. The Statutory Reserve Ratio (SRR) has remained unchanged at 2.00 percent this year, having no direct impact on liquidity, with monetary conditions primarily influenced by policy rate changes and market-based measures. 0 2 4 6 8 40 44 48 52 56 2017 Q1 2017 Q3 2018 Q1 2018 Q3 2019 Q1 2019 Q3 2020 Q1 2020 Q3 2021 Q1 2021 Q3 2022 Q1 2022 Q3 2023 Q1 2023 Q3 2024 Q1 2024 Q3 2025 Q1 Unemployment Rate (%) Labour Force Participation Rate( %) FIGURE 3.7 : Labor Force Participation Rate and Unemployment Rate Labour Force Participation Rate % Unemployment Rate % FIGURE 3.7 : Labour Force Participation Rate and Unemployment Rate TABLE 3.4 : Sectoral Distribution of GDP Growth (%) Sector 2020 2021 2022 2023(b) 2024(b) First Half 2024(b) 2025(a) Agriculture -0.9 1.0 -4.1 1.6 1.2 1.8 0.6 Growing of Tea -6.5 9.8 -15.7 -1.5 1.7 -6.4 5.9 Growing of Rice 7.7 -11.8 -11.8 17.1 3.1 5.5 2.4 Growing of Rubber 0.2 9.9 -9.8 -7.7 2.2 -3.6 -17.1 Growing of Cereal 59.8 2.8 -24.8 2.5 10.9 17.1 5.5 Growing of Vegetables 8.9 -1.7 -5.5 2.9 2.8 -0.1 -0.8 Animal Production -3.7 8.2 -11.4 0.3 14.1 9.2 16.3 Forestry and Logging -1.3 4.1 14.8 -7.3 -2.1 -0.8 6.8 Fishing -17.0 1.5 -10.5 3.0 1.9 5.6 5.1 Industry -5.3 5.7 -16.0 -9.2 11.0 10.5 7.9 Minning and Quarring -10.9 1.4 -31.0 -22.3 19.4 14.2 14.5 Manufacturing Activities -2.6 -46.2 -12.2 -3.2 7.6 8.8 7.0 Other Industries -1.3 2.2 -4.3 -3.0 5.9 11.6 4.8 Construction -9.4 4.4 -20.9 -20.8 19.4 13.7 9.6 Services -1.9 3.4 -2.6 -0.2 2.4 2.3 3.3 Wholesale and Retail Trade 0.9 1.5 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.1 1.5 Transportation and Storage -6.1 0.9 3.0 4.3 2.9 3.3 3.2 Accomodation and Food Service Activities -40.8 1.7 27.0 26.0 31.4 34.4 12.7 Information and Communication 15.0 11.0 6.5 -2.2 4.2 4.0 3.0 Financial and Insurance Activities 9.2 7.0 -11.1 -10.3 -1.2 -1.7 13.5 Real Estate Activities -1.0 4.4 -12.1 -6.0 4.2 4.4 3.2 Professional Services -3.3 4.9 -17.7 2.4 3.5 3.9 2.7 Education, Human Health and Social Work Activities 2.5 3.7 -2.0 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.4 Public Administration and Defence 1.7 0.9 1.2 -1.7 -2.9 -3.7 -2.5 Other Services (Excluding Own-services) -6.6 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.9 GDP -4.6 4.2 -7.3 -2.3 5.0 4.6 4.8 Source : Department of Census and Statistics (a) Provisional (b) Revised Unemployment Rate (%) Source : Department of Census and StatisticsPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 74 printed page 60
60 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 With monetary policy easing and improvements in liquidity conditions, Broad Money Supply (M2b) increased to Rs. 15,175.8 billion at the end of June 2025, from Rs. 14,439.1 billion at the end of January 2025, supported by a notable rise in private sector credit and an expansion of net foreign assets. Credit flows to the private sector increased to Rs. 8,854.6 billion at the end of June 2025, from Rs. 8,149.8 billion at the end of January 2025. Reflecting improved external sector performance, Net Foreign Assets increased to Rs. 889.6 billion at the end of June 2025, from Rs. 747.4 billion at the end of January 2025. an inflation rate of 1.2 percent. The deflation was mainly due to supply-side factors, especially several rounds of downward revisions to electricity tariffs and fuel and LP gas prices, domestic supply-side improvements, and recovery in global supply chains. However, the deflationary trend began easing from March 2025, mainly due to the statistical base effect, with additional contribution from the upward revision to electricity tariffs in June 2025, highlighting the supply-driven nature of the deflationary episode. Meanwhile, core inflation, which reflects underlying inflation trends in the economy by excluding volatile items such as food, energy, and transport, as measured by the Y-o-Y change in the CCPI (2021=100), remained positive throughout the first nine months of 2025. It increased to 2.2 percent in October 2025 from 1.2 percent recorded in January 2025. This relatively stable core inflation suggests that the deflation was not demand-driven, while the trend in core inflation reflects the second-round effects of revisions to energy prices. Headline inflation, as measured by the Y-o-Y change in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI, 2021=100), which also entered the negative territory in September 2024 (-0.2 percent), recorded its lowest point of -4.0 percent in January 2025. It returned to positive territory in May 2025, recording 0.6 percent, and gradually increased to 2.1 percent in September 2025. This early turnaround of the NCPI-based headline inflation reflects differences in consumption basket composition: the CCPI basket has a higher share of non-food items, whereas the NCPI basket places relatively greater weight on food. Similarly, core inflation, as measured by the NCPI (2021=100), entered negative territory in January 2025, recording -0.2 percent, returned to positive territory in May 2025, recording 0.3 percent, and gradually increased to 2.1 percent in September 2025. While the deflation Sri Lanka experienced for several months provided some temporary relief to households and businesses recovering from prior inflationary shocks, Inflation The headline inflation, as measured by the year-on-year (Y-O-Y) change of the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100), increased to 2.1 percent in October 2025 from -4.0 percent recorded in January 2025. After entering negative territory in September 2024 (-0.5 percent), inflation reached its lowest point of -4.2 percent in February 2025 and returned to positive territory in August 2025 recording Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka 4 12 20 28 36 2021 Jan 2021 Mar 2021 May 2021 Jul 2021 Sep 2021 Nov 2022 Jan 2022 Mar 2022 May 2022 Jul 2022 Sep 2022 Nov 2023 Jan 2023 Mar 2023 May 2023 Jul 2023 Sep 2023 Nov 2024 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 May 2024 Jul 2024 Sep 2024 Nov 2025 Jan 2025 Mar 2025 May 2025 Jul % FIGURE 3.8 : Yield Rates, Monetary Aggregates, Money Supply and Private Sector Credit Growth Treasury Bill Yield 91 days Monthly AWPR Monthly AWDRPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 75 printed page 61
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 61 the return of CCPI-based headline inflation into positive territory reduces the risk of deflationary expectations, which could delay spending and investment. This turnaround in August 2025, reflects that the economy has now absorbed the supply- side shocks. With the stabilization of energy and transport prices and the gradual improvement in demand conditions due to the ongoing accommodative monetary policy stance, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka expects inflation to remain positive for the remainder of 2025, gradually approaching the target of 5 percent. Source : Department of Census And Statistics (2023 Jan Base Year 2013=100, from Feb 2023 base Year 2021=100) -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2023 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2024 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2025 Jan Mar May Jul % Headline Inflation (CCPI) Food Inflation (CCPI) Core Inflation (CCPI) TABLE 3.5 : Consumer Price Inflation (Base : 2021 = 100) Month 2024 (base year 2021=100) 2025 (base year 2021=100) Headline Inflation (YoY) Core Inflation (YoY) Headline Inflation (YoY) Core Inflation (YoY) CCPI NCPI CCPI NCPI CCPI NCPI CCPI NCPI January 6.4 6.5 2.2 2.2 -4.0 -4.0 1.2 -0.2 February 5.9 5.1 2.8 2.7 -4.2 -3.9 0.7 -0.6 March 0.9 2.5 3.1 3.4 -2.6 -1.9 0.7 -0.6 April 1.5 2.7 3.4 3.0 -2.0 -0.8 0.8 -0.1 May 0.9 1.6 3.5 3.1 -0.7 0.6 1.2 0.3 June 1.7 2.4 4.4 3.9 -0.6 0.3 1.5 0.6 July 2.4 2.5 4.4 3.0 -0.3 0.7 1.6 0.9 August 0.5 1.1 3.6 2.3 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.5 September -0.5 -0.2 3.3 1.9 October -0.8 -0.7 3.0 1.7 November -2.1 -1.7 2.7 1.5 December -1.7 -2.0 2.7 1.3 Source : Department of Census and Statistics FIGURE 3.9 : Movements in Headline, Core and Food InflationPrevious page Next page Top
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62 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 3.4 Stock Market Sri Lanka's stock market witnessed significant progress during the first eight months of 2025. The All-Share Price Index (ASPI, 1985 = 100), which measures the movement of share prices of all listed companies, increased significantly by 93.2 percent to 20,997 points as at end-August 2025, compared to 10,869 points as at end- August 2024. The Standard and Poor’s Sri Lanka 20 (S&P SL20, 2004 = 1,000) index, which reflects the performance of 20 leading publicly traded companies listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange, also increased significantly by 98.7 percent to 6,077 points as at end-August 2025, from 3,059 points as at end-August 2024. This upward trend was mainly driven by the increased participation from domestic investors, supported by reforms introduced by the Government aimed at improving the business environment and boosting investor confidence, stronger corporate performance, a positive economic outlook, and eased monetary conditions. Market capitalization, which represents the total value of all listed companies on the Colombo Stock Exchange increased by 71.8 percent to Rs. 7,425 billion as at end-August 2025, compared to Rs. 4,321 billion recorded at end-August 2024. This growth in market capitalization reflects the expanding value of listed companies and the increasing attractiveness of the Sri Lankan stock market to investors. Moreover, the CSE recorded a remarkable increase in the daily turnover by 217.7 percent to Rs. 4,841 million as at end-August 2025, compared TABLE 3.6 : Movements in Capital Market Indicators 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 End Aug 2024 2025(a) All Share Price Index (1985 = 100) 6,129 6,774 12,226 8,490 10,654 15,945 10,869 20,997 S&P SL 20 Index 2,937 2,638 4,233 2,636 3,068 4,862 3,059 6,077 Market Capitalization (Rs. Billion) 2,851 2,961 5,489 3,847 4,249 5,696 4,321 7,425 No. of Listed Companies in Trading 289 283 296 290 290 284 286 286 Annual Average Turnover (Rs.Billion) 171 397 1173 687 411 538 242 755 Foreign Sales (Rs. Million) 68,272 104,165 86,689 36,863 37,088 52,441 41,736 58,816 Foreign Purchases (Rs. Million) 56,537 52,889 39,410 67,488 41,451 42,524 35,926 36,527 Net Purchases (Rs. Million) -11,735 -51,276 -47,279 30,625 4,363 -9,918 -5,809 -22,289 Sources : Colombo Stock Exchange and Central Bank of Sri Lanka (a) Provisional to Rs. 1,524 million recorded at end-August 2024. This reflects an exceptional surge in trading activity on the exchange, a substantial expansion of market liquidity, and enhancement in investor confidence and participation. 3.5 External Sector Developments Sri Lanka’s external sector demonstrated improved performance in the first eight months of 2025, benefitting from increased earnings from exports and higher inflows from workers’ remittances and earnings from tourism. Export earnings increased by 6.7 percent to USD 9,076.6 million while expenditure on imports increased by 10.5 percent to USD 13,340.9 million, which in turn widened the trade deficit to USD 4,264.2 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 3,566.2 million in the same period of 2024. Earnings from tourism increased by 5.7 percent to USD 2,290.0 million in the first eight months of 2025 from USD 2,167.0 million in the same period of 2024 owing to an increase in tourist arrivals. Meanwhile, workers’ remittances increased by 19.3 percent to USD 5,116.0 million in the first eight months of 2025 from USD 4,288.2 million in the same period of 2024. The overall Balance of Payments (BoP) recorded a surplus of USD 522.5 million during the first half of 2025 compared to the surplus of USD 1,761.1 million in the same period of 2024. The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) recorded a net outflow of USD 69.1 million in the first eight months of 2025, compared to a net inflow of USD 43.6 million in the same period of 2024. NetPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 63 flows to the government securities market were recorded as an inflow of USD 140.2 million in the first eight months of 2025, compared to a net outflow of USD 251.4 million in the same period of 2024. Gross Official Reserves (GOR) stood at USD 6.2 billion by the end of August 2025, including the SWAP facility from the People’s Bank of China. Meanwhile, the Sri Lankan rupee appreciated by 3.3 percent against the USD as of end-August 2025. Exports Earnings from exports increased by 6.7 percent to USD 9,076.6 million in the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 8,506.3 million in the same period of 2024, mainly due to the increase in earnings from industrial and agricultural exports with the economic revival. Industrial export earnings contributed 77.3 percent of the total export earnings, while agricultural and mineral export earnings accounted for 22.4 percent and 0.2 percent of total export earnings, respectively. Earnings from industrial exports increased by 5.2 percent to USD 7,015.4 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 6,665.8 million in the same period of 2024 mainly due to increased export earnings from textiles and garments and food, beverages, and tobacco products. Export earnings from textiles and garments increased by 6.9 percent to USD 3,595.3 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 3,364.8 million in the same period of 2024. Export earnings from food, beverages and tobacco products increased by 35.0 percent to USD 577.3 million while export earnings decreased from petroleum products by 7.8 percent to USD 654.7 million and from rubber products by 6.7 percent to USD 618.6 million in the first eight months of 2025. Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka (10,000) (5,000) - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2024 Jan-Aug 2025 Jan-Aug USD Million Exports Imports Trade Balance 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2012 Jan May Sept 2013 Jan May Sept 2014 Jan May Sept 2015 Jan May Sept 2016 Jan May Sept 2017 Jan May Sept 2018 Jan May Sept 2019 jan May Sep 2020 Jan May Sep 2021 Jan May Sep 2022 Jan May Sep 2023 Jan May Sep 2024 Jan May Sep 2025 Jan May Sep Rs./USD FIGURE 3.10 : Trade Balance and Exchange Rate MovementsPrevious page Next page Top
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64 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Earnings from agricultural exports increased by 12.5 percent to USD 2,030.2 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 1,804.0 million in the same period of 2024, with increased earnings from tea, coconut, spices, minor agricultural products, vegetables, rubber, and unmanufactured tobacco. Earnings from tea exports increased by 8.9 percent to USD 1,026.0 million in the first eight months of 2025 from USD 942.3 million in the same period of 2024. In addition, an increase in export earnings was recorded from coconut by 35.0 percent to USD 367.5 million, spices by 4.8 percent to USD 282.6 million, and minor agricultural products by 26.5 percent to USD 132.8 million, while export earnings declined from seafood by 1.6 percent to USD 161.9 million in the first eight months of 2025. Meanwhile, mineral export earnings dropped by 23.8 percent to USD 14.3 million in the first eight months of 2025 from USD 18.8 million in the same period of 2024. Imports Expenditure on imports increased by 10.5 percent to USD 13,340.9 million in the first eight months of 2025 compared to USD 12,072.5 million in the same period of 2024 due to the increase in import expenditure on consumer and investment goods driven by increased demand, with the revival of economic activities, removal of import restrictions, and also with the impact of high commodity prices of the global markets. Import expenditure on consumer, intermediate and investment goods of the total import expenditure accounted for 24.7 percent, 55.7 percent, and 19.5 percent, respectively. Import expenditure on consumer goods increased notably by 51.4 percent to USD 3,294.7 million in the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 2,176.3 million in the same period of 2024, due to increased import expenditure on food and beverages and nonfood consumer goods. Import expenditure on food and beverages increased by 16.9 percent to USD 1,419.6 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 1,214.1 million in the same period of 2024, with the increased import expenditure recorded mainly from dairy products and oils and fats. Expenditure on non-food consumer goods imports increased notably by 94.9 percent to USD 1,875.0 million from USD 962.2 million due to the increase in import expenditure mainly on personal vehicles, medical and pharmaceuticals, clothing and accessories, telecommunication devices, and home appliances. Import expenditure on intermediate goods decreased by 4.0 percent to USD 7,437.4 million in the first eight months of 2025 from USD 7,750.0 million in the same period of 2024 due to the decline in expenditure mainly on fuel and textiles and textile articles. Import expenditure on fuel declined by 13.0 percent to USD 2,520.6 million in the first eight months of 2025, with a decline in import expenditure on refined petroleum by 14.4 percent to USD 1,846.2 million, crude oil by 5.4 percent to USD 539.3 million and coal by 20.7 percent to USD 135.2 million. Import expenditure on textiles and textile articles decreased by 2.5 percent to USD 1,793.5 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 1,839.3 million in the same period of 2024. Import expenditure on investment goods increased by 21.3 percent to USD 2,597.2 million in the first eight months of 2025, from USD 2,140.3 million in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the increase in import expenditure on machinery and equipment by 15.3 percent to USD 1,658.4 million, building materials by 7.9 percent to USD 649.6 million, and transport equipment by 192.4 percent to USD 286.7 million due to the improvement in investment activities, with the revival of the economy. Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2024 Jan-Aug 2025 Jan-Aug USD Million Agriculture Industrial Mineral FIGURE 3.11 : Composition of ExportsPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
65
Tourism and Workers’ Remittances
Earnings from tourism increased by 5.7
percent to USD 2,290.0 million in the first
eight months of 2025, compared to USD
2,167.0 million in the same period of 2024.
This growth was supported by a strong
and diversified recovery in the tourism
sector, driven by Government initiatives
such as visa fee waivers for selected
countries, targeted international marketing
campaigns and improved air connectivity.
Accordingly, tourist arrivals increased by
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2024 Jan-Aug
2025 Jan-Aug
USD Million
FIGURE 3.12 : Composition of Imports
Consumer Goods
Intermediate Goods
Investment Goods
TABLE 3.7 : External Trade
USD Mn.
Category
2022
2023
2024(b)
Jan-Aug
2024(b)
2025(a)
Exports
13,106
11,911 12,772
8,506
9,077
Agricultural Exports
2,568
2,567
2,775 1,539 2,030
Tea
1,259
1,310
1,436 818 1,026
Other Agricultural Products
1,309
1,257
1,339 722 1,004
Industrial Exports
10,465
9,278 9,947
5,805
7,015
Textile and Garments
5,952
4,879 5,061
2,920
3,595
Food, Beverages and Tobacco
520
539
652
376
577
Rubber Products
977
902 976
588
619
Machinery and Mechanical Appliances
581
598
486
293
313
Petroleum Products
568
539 1,064
616
655
Other Industrial Exports
1,868
1,820 1,710
1,012
1,256
Mineral Exports
50
39 25
16
14
Unclassified
23
28 26
16
17
Imports
18,291
16,811
18,841
12,073
13,341
Consumer Goods
2,813
3,044
3,466
2,176
3,295
Food and Beverages
1,608
1,693
1,914
1,214
1,420
Other Consumer Goods
1,205
1,351
1,551
962
1,875
Intermediate Goods
12,439
11,007
11,915
7,750
7,437
Petroleum
4,897
4,703
4,354
2,897
2,521
Textiles and Garments
3,065
2,371
2,847
1,839
1,794
Wheat and Maize
303
338
383
205
205
Other
4,174
3,595
4,331
2,810
2,918
Investment Goods
3,030
2,745
3,448
2,140
2,597
Machinery and Equipment
1,969
1,868
2,363
1,439
1,658
Building Materials
926
775
927
602
650
Transport Equipments
132
99
57
98
287
Other
3
3 3
2
3
Unclassified
9
28 13
6
12
Trade Deficit
-5,185
-4,900
-6,069
-3,566
-4,264
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
(a) Provisional
(b) Revised
FIGURE 3.12 : Composition of ImpotsPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 80 printed page 66
66 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 15.0 percent to 1,566,523 persons in the first eight months of 2025, from 1,362,668 persons in the same period of 2024. The highest tourist arrivals were recorded from India, the United Kingdom, Russia, Germany, China, France, and Australia. Meanwhile, workers’ remittances grew by 19.3 percent to USD 5,116.0 million in the first eight months of 2025 compared to USD 4,288.2 million in the same period of 2024 due to the receipt of remittances through formal channels, with the government’s policy measures to promote official remittance channels. 3.6 World Economic Outlook The global economy is gradually stabilizing after the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Ukraine- Russia conflict, policy uncertainty and the cost of living crisis, yet challenges continue to shape an uneven path forward. With increased trade tension, climate change, and heightened policy uncertainty contributing to a deterioration in the world’s economies across most countries. However, the negative impact was minimized due to quick private sector adjustments and open global trade. According to the October Global Economic Outlook, issued by International Monitory Fund global real GDP is expected to stabilize 3.2, 3.1 in 2025 and 2026 respectively. Global inflation is projected to be 4.2% in 2025 and 3.7% in 2026, with notable variation across countries. Global financial conditions have tightened on average in 2025 compared to last year, driven by market volatility and reduced risk appetite amid elevated trade policy uncertainty. However, most equity markets gains driven by a surge in Artificial Intelligence stocks. Emerging Markets and Developed Economies (EMDEs) financial conditions were tightened following the USA tariff announcements with outflows from equity, bonds, and other financial assets. While sovereign spread rose, but remained manageable, currencies generally appreciated against US Dollar. Monetary policy remained cautious in EMDEs, balancing inflation, capital flow risk, and high debt burden amid global uncertainties. Global Trade and Commodity Markets With the United States imposing tariffs on a wide range of countries, trade shocks were witnessed on advanced, emerging, and low-income economies. These tariffs together with the Russian-Ukraine war disrupted global supply chains and placed significant pressure on trade flows. Commodity prices have eased in early 2025, due to slower growth, trade barriers, and policy uncertainty. Fuel prices are expected to decline by around 7.9 percent in 2025 and 3.7 percent in 2026, respectively, while metal prices including gold are rose by 12.8 percent between March and August 2025. Regional Developments Growth forecast for advanced economies in 2025, has been downgraded, to 1.6 percent primarily due to rising trade barriers together with policy uncertainty, financial market uncertainty, and weaker investor confidence. The U.S. economy is projected to slow sharply to 2.0 percent in 2025, following accelerated import demand, weaker consumption, and a weakening labor market. Euro region growth is set to 1.2 percent in 2025, 1.1 percent in 2026, mainly owing to tariffs, policy uncertainty, weaker external demand on trade, and investment. EMDEs growth is projected to 4.2 percent in 2025 and 4.0 percent in 2026. The growth is broad-based, affecting nearly 60 percent of EMDEs, and this reflects trade and financial vulnerabilities, high debt levels, limited capacity to absorb internal and external shocks. However, this growth is stronger than expected, driven by early gains in international trade and solid domestic consumption, boosted by fiscal expansion in 2025, despite the negative effects of rising uncertainty and tariffs. Growth in low-income countries is forecasted to 4.4 percent in 2025, rising to 5.0 percent in 2026-2027, but remains highly uncertain due to the ongoing trade war, high debt levels, and policy uncertainty.Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 67 Global Economic Risks Downside risk continues to dominate the outlook, with elevated trade policy uncertainty representing the largest threat to global trade, investments, and growth. Trade tensions, financial market deleveraging, and capital outflows from vulnerable EMDEs could weaken demand, investment, and employment, particularly in export-intensive sectors. Geographical conflicts and extreme weather events add further downside pressures. On the upside, global growth could be stronger if trade negotiations lead to tariff reductions, technology-led investment increases, or additional fiscal support, though these could also raise inflation and fiscal risks. Impact of Global Outlook on the Sri Lankan Economy Sri Lanka could achieve GDP growth of around 5.0 percent despite prevailing global vulnerabilities. In August 2025, U.S tariffs on Sri Lankan exports were reduced to 20 percent from earlier rates 44 percent and 30 percent. Despite the cut, the tariff remains high and continues to pressure key sectors such as apparel, as the U.S. is this industry’s main market. This will reduce export earnings, threaten jobs, and slow GDP growth. With the upgrade of Sri Lanka’s sovereign rating from default to CCC+, the country has regained access to global markets, which is expected to ease external financing pressures, investor confidence, and economic stability. Although Sri Lanka experienced disinflation up to July 2025, global risks such as trade policy uncertainty, financial market volatility, and geopolitical conflicts continue to pose challenges that could push inflation higher in the future. TABLE 3.8 : Key Indicators of World Economy - 2025 (Projection) Country GDP Growth (Annual percent change) Inflation (Percent) Unemployment (Percent) Fiscal Deficit (Percent of GDP) Gross Debt (Percent of GDP) Argentina 4.5 41.3 7.5 0.4 78.8 Australia 1.8 2.6 4.2 -2.7 51.0 Brazil 2.4 5.2 7.1 -8.4 91.4 Canada 1.2 2.0 6.9 -2.2 113.9 Chile 2.5 4.3 8.6 -2.1 42.7 China 4.8 0.0 5.1 -8.6 96.3 France 0.7 1.1 7.6 -5.4 116.5 Germany 0.2 2.1 3.7 -2.5 64.4 Greece 2.0 3.1 9.0 0.0 146.7 India 6.6 2.8 4.9 -7.1 81.4 Indonesia 4.9 1.8 5.0 -2.8 40.8 Italy 0.5 1.7 6.7 -3.3 136.8 Japan 1.1 3.3 2.6 -1.3 229.6 Korea 0.9 2.0 3.0 -1.5 53.4 Malaysia 4.5 1.6 3.0 -3.6 70.4 Mexico 1.0 3.9 2.9 -4.3 58.9 Russia 0.6 9.0 2.4 -2.7 23.1 Singapore 2.2 0.9 2.1 3.1 175.6 South Africa 1.1 3.4 32.7 -6.0 77.3 Spain 2.9 2.4 10.8 -2.7 100.4 Thailand 2.0 0.2 1.0 -2.6 64.9 United Kingdom 1.3 3.4 4.7 -4.3 103.4 United States 2.0 2.7 4.2 -7.4 125.0 Vietnam 6.5 3.4 2.3 -3.3 32.0 Sources : World Economic Outlook, IMF, October 2025, Fiscal Monitor, IMF, October 2024, Ministry of Finance and Central Bank of Sri LankaPrevious page Next page Top
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04 Performance of State Owned EnterprisesPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 71 4.1 Overview The main 52 State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) reported a total profit of Rs. 307.1 billion during the first eight months of 2025, of which eight SOEs have added Rs. 294.3 billion in profits to the SOE sector. The banking sector performance has improved significantly during the first eight months of 2025, as witnessed by an improvement in profit by Rs. 69.8 billion to Rs. 147.1 billion by the three largest state-owned banks, Bank of Ceylon, People’s Bank, and National Savings Bank, compared to the same period in 2024. The SOE sector is currently undergoing several reforms, including the proposed Public Commercial Enterprises Management Act, closure, restructuring or merger of several Non-Commercial SOEs as per the recommendations of the Cabinet-appointed committee to review Non-Commercial SOEs, and the approval of the Cabinet of Ministers to liquidate 33 SOEs that are not at a functional level. Among them, the proposed Public Commercial Enterprises Management Act is expected to manage all public commercial enterprises professionally, independently, productively, and according to commercial principles, while being subject to the highest standards of governance, accountability and scrutiny. Further, as per a 2025 Budget proposal, a company called “Lanka Metro Transit (Pvt) Ltd” was incorporated as a subsidiary of the Sri Lanka Transport Board, with the objective of operating a metro bus service for the mobility needs of the urban and suburban commuters. The Committee with professionals, appointed as per the Cabinet-approved State-Owned Banks (SOB) Reform Policy submitted their recommendations for all SOBs to appoint independent directors, subject to fit and propriety clearance from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka. In the meantime, with the enactment of the Sri Lanka Electricity (Amendment) Act, No. 14 of 2025 in August 2025, four companies fully owned by the government were incorporated to facilitate the reform process of the Ceylon Electricity Board. These reforms are expected to improve efficiency, transparency, and accountability in the power sector. The collection of levies and dividends from the SOEs decreased to Rs. 14.6 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 26.7 billion in the same period of 2024. 4.2 Review of the ten Major State-Owned Business Enterprises (SOBEs) Bank of Ceylon The asset base of the Bank of Ceylon (BoC) increased by 9 percent to Rs. 5,433 billion as at end--August 2025, from Rs. 4,985 billion as at end-2024. During the first eight months of 2025, the deposit base of the bank increased by 7.7 percent to Rs. 4,535 billion, compared to Rs. 4,208 billion as at end-2024. Loans and advances increased marginally by 6.1 percent to Rs. 2,311 billion as at end-August 2025, from Rs. 2,178 billion as at end-2024. Stage III loan ratio of the bank has slightly deteriorated to 7.58 percent as at end-August 2025, compared to 7.20 percent as at end-2024. The BoC recorded a Profit before Tax (PBT) of Rs. 78.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025, a significant increase compared to Rs. 31.3 billion PBT reported in the same period of 2024. This growth was primarily driven by the increase in net interest income. People’s Bank People's Bank’s (PB) asset base increased by 9 percent to Rs. 3,598 billion as at end- August 2025, from Rs. 3,298 billion as at end-2024. The deposit base of the bank increased by 11.1 percent to Rs. 3,173 billion as at end-August 2025, compared to Rs. 2,855 billion as at end-2024. Loans and advances increased marginally to Rs. 1,610 billion as at end-August 2025, from Rs. 1,522 billion as at end-2024. Stage III loan ratio of the bank has improved to 9.3 percent as at end-August 2025, compared to 10.3 percent as at end-2024. PB recorded a profit before tax of Rs. 37.8 billion in the first eight months of 2025, a significant increase of 56.2 percent compared to Rs. 24.2 billion in the same period of 2024. This was mainly due to the substantial improvement in net interest income.Previous page Next page Top
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72 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 National Savings Bank National Savings Bank’s (NSB) asset base recorded a marginal increase to Rs. 1,821 billion as at end-August 2025, from Rs. 1,752 billion as at end-2024. The deposit base of the bank increased by 1.9 percent to Rs. 1,586 billion as at end-August 2025 from Rs. 1,556 billion as at end-2024. The loans and advances balance decreased by 2.4 percent to Rs. 519 billion as at end-August 2025, compared to Rs. 532 billion as at end-2024. Stage III loan ratio of the bank has improved to 2.82 percent as at end-August 2025, compared to 5.18 percent as at end-2024. NSB recorded a profit before tax of Rs. 30.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 21.7 billion in the same period of 2024, mainly due to the significant increase in net interest income. Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation Limited Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation Limited (SLIC) reported a total revenue of Rs. 5 billion for the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 3 billion in the same period of 2024, primarily driven by higher dividend income of Rs. 2.7 billion, up from Rs. 0.4 billion in the same period of 2024. SLIC recorded a profit before tax of Rs. 4.4 billion for the first eight months of 2025, marking a substantial increase from Rs. 1.8 billion reported during the same period of 2024. Total assets stood at Rs. 125.1 billion as at end-August 2025, rising from Rs. 115.2 billion at the end of 2024, reflecting a strengthened financial position. SLIC’s two subsidiaries in insurance business reported improved performance during the first eight months of 2025. Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation Life Limited reported a PBT of Rs. 21.3 billion for the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 18.3 billion in the same period of 2024, demonstrating steady growth in its life insurance business. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation General Limited recorded a PBT of Rs. 2.8 billion, up from Rs. 2.3 billion during the same period of 2024, reflecting continued resilience in its general insurance operations. Ceylon Electricity Board The revenue from the sale of electricity decreased significantly by 32 percent to Rs. 271.5 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 402.1 billion in the same period of 2024, despite the increase in demand for electricity by 5 percent to 10,647 GWh in the first eight months of 2025, against 10,119 GWh in the same period of 2024. This is mainly due to the reduction of average end-user tariffs, where the sales revenue per unit declined to Rs. 25.50 per kWh in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 39.74 per kWh in the same period of 2024. However, the direct generation cost of the CEB declined by 7 percent to Rs. 194.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 208 billion in the same period of 2024 primarily due to favorable weather conditions that reduced reliance on thermal generation. Despite the decline in generation cost, due to the reduction of average end-user tariffs in 2025, CEB recorded a gross loss of Rs. 2.7 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to the gross profit of Rs. 116.5 billion in the same period of 2024. As such, CEB recorded a net loss of Rs. 4.9 billion in the first eight months of 2025, against the net profit of Rs. 133.7 billion recorded in the same period of 2024, which included the gain of Rs. 26 billion on the disposal of shares of its subsidiary, Lanka Transformers Limited. During the first eight months of 2025, the generation mix slightly changed to hydro: thermal (coal): NCRE, wind & rooftop: and thermal (fuel) at 35:30:24:11 in comparison to 31:35:20:14 in the same period of 2024. The expansion of hydro and renewable energy, particularly rooftop solar, helped reduce the generation cost. Accordingly, the cost per unit at the selling point decreased to Rs. 27.08 per kWh in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 30.76 per kWh in the same period of 2024. As at end-August 2025, the trade payables of CEB recorded as Rs. 36.7 billion, of which 48 percent is due to be settled toPrevious page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 73 independent power producers, amounting to Rs. 17.7 billion, compared to Rs. 14.1 billion as at end-2024. Three tariff revision proposals for 2025 were submitted by the CEB to Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka, which resulted the end-user average tariff reduction of 20 percent in January, followed by an increase of 15 percent in June, and no change in October. Meantime, amendments were proposed to the Sri Lanka Electricity Act, No. 36 of 2024, and accordingly, the Sri Lanka Electricity (Amendment) Act, No. 14 of 2025, was certified on 18 August 2025. Consequently, four government-owned companies were established for generation, transmission, distribution, and the National System Operator in line with the provisions of the Act. Ceylon Petroleum Corporation The revenue of Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) declined by 15.1 percent to Rs. 595 billion during the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 701 billion recorded in the same period of 2024. As a result of lower revenue, despite a drop in cost of sales, CPC’s gross profit decreased by 30 percent to Rs. 43.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 62.4 billion in the same period of 2024. CPC’s net profit also declined by 19 percent to Rs. 22.1 billion during the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 27.4 billion in the same period of 2024. This decrease in profitability was mainly driven by the drop in sales revenue, a significant decline of 60 percent in other operating income to Rs. 0.4 billion from Rs. 1.1 billion, and the sharp decline in realized exchange rate variation to Rs. 0.09 billion from Rs. 3.3 billion in the first eight months of 2024. CPC’s payables to National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) decreased from USD 160.9 million as at end-2024 to USD 105.9 million as at end-September 2025. In addition, CPC’s payables to BoC amounted to USD 80 million for import and modality bills as at end-August 2025. The total outstanding trade debt of CPC increased by 38 percent to Rs. 13.7 billion as at end-August 2025, compared to Rs. 9.9 billion as at end-2024. This increase was mainly due to the enhanced credit facilities granted to dealers with effect from April 2025 and the recognition of Monthly Utility Fees (MUF) for the years 2024 and 2025, following a court decision. Furthermore, additional credit facilities extended to the West Coast Power Plant also contributed to the rise in trade receivables. SriLankan Airlines Limited During the period from April to August 2025, passenger revenue of SriLankan TABLE 4.1 : Composition of Electricity Generation and Capacity 2024 Jan- Aug Generation 2025 Jan -Aug (Provisional) Generation Installed Capacity MW Percentage on Total Generation Net Gen-GWh Installed Capacity MW Percentage on Total Generation Net Gen -GWh Hydro 1,413 31 3,447 1,533 35 4,169 Thermal - CEB Oil 801 10 1,129 801 7 849 Thermal - IPP Oil 482 4 509 482 4 491 Wind - CEB 104 2 264 104 2 258 Thermal - Coal 900 35 3,875 900 30 3,466 NCRE & Wind 784 13 1,423 841 13 1,546 Rooftop Solar 937 5 523 1,684 9 1,027 Total 5,421 100 11,169 6,345 100 11,805 Source: Ceylon Electricity BoardPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 88 printed page 74
74 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Airlines (SLA) grew by 7 percent to Rs. 95.4 billion, supported by a strong recovery in passenger demand, with a load factor improvement to 82.6 percent from 76.4 percent and passenger volumes growth by 22 percent. However, cargo revenue declined by Rs. 1.8 billion and other income fell by Rs. 2.5 billion, resulting in limited overall revenue growth. Operating expenses increased by 3 percent during the period from April to August 2025, mainly due to higher aircraft maintenance,stations, and traffic costs, partly offset by reduced fuel expenses. The company reported a loss of Rs. 4.1 billion from air transportation, which converted to a profit of Rs. 4.9 billion after accounting for airport services and other income, including ground handling and training. However, for the period from April to August 2025, SLA recorded a group net loss of Rs. 12.6 billion, compared to the loss of Rs. 4.2 billion in the same period of 2024, largely due to significant exchange losses of Rs. 8.5 billion and higher finance costs, despite the improved net income of Rs. 2.6 billion from SriLankan Catering. As at end-August 2025, total assets stood at Rs. 198.6 billion, an increase from Rs. 182 billion as at end March-2025, reflecting additions to right-of-use assets and receivables. The accumulated losses widened to Rs. 631.5 billion as at end- August 2025, continuing to weaken the balance sheet. The Cabinet of Ministers has approved a restructuring proposal addressing the airline’s local debt obligations, enabling the conversion or deferment of selected government and state-owned bank loans. This measure is expected to ease liquidity pressures and improve the airline’s financial stability, while broader restructuring efforts continue to address its long-term sustainability. National Water Supply and Drainage Board The National Water Supply and Drainage Board (NWS&DB), as at end-August 2025 was able to increase the piped-borne water and safe drinking water supply coverage in the country to 63.7 percent and 99.1 percent, respectively, compared to 62.4 percent and 98.1 percent, respectively as at end-August 2024. During the first eight months of 2025, the NWS&DB recorded a revenue of Rs. 56.1 billion against the revenue of Rs. 57.2 billion in the same period of 2024. Meantime, the cost of sales during the first eight months of 2025, has also declined by 10 percent to Rs. 20.4 billion mainly due to the reduction in the pumping cost associated with the electricity tariff reduction in January 2025. Hence, the Board recorded a gross profit of Rs. 35.7 billion for the period under review, against Rs. 35.8 billion for the same period in 2024. Accordingly, the Board recorded a net profit of Rs. 25.2 billion against the net profit of Rs. 17.6 billion in the same period of 2024, due to the notable decline in the local interest rates. Both the water production and water sales for the first eight months of 2025 increased by around 2 percent and stood at 568 million m3 and 429 million m3, respectively, compared to the same period of previous year. Further, Non-Revenue Water (NRW) improved slightly to 24.52 percent in the first eight months of 2025, compared to 24.69 percent in the same period of 2024. Sri Lanka Ports Authority The performance of the Sri Lanka Ports Authority (SLPA) for the first eight months of 2025, reflects strong operational growth and improved profitability compared to the same period in 2024. Revenue increased by 12.4 percent to Rs. 55.3 billion, supported by higher port throughput and operational efficiency, while direct expenses declined by 4.6 percent, resulting in a 28 percent rise in gross profit. During the first eight months of 2025, other operating income rose by 44 percent, reflecting improved returns from port-related services. Despite a moderate 6 percent increase in administrative expenses, operating profit grew by 41 percent to Rs. 37.3 billion during the period under review, compared to the same period in 2024. Favourable foreign exchange movements further strengthened performance, resulting in a 48 percent increase in profit before tax to Rs. 39.2 billion in the first eight months of 2025, compared to Rs. 26.4 billion in the same period of 2024.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 89 printed page 75
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
75
On the financial position, total assets
increased by 6.6 percent to Rs. 789.8
billion as at end-August 2025, mainly due
to ongoing capital investments in port
infrastructure. The Cabinet of Ministers has
also approved the establishment of a new
subsidiary to operate the East Container
Terminal (ECT), and a substantial portion
of SLPA’s investment will be transferred to
this entity once the process is completed.
Equity
strengthened
by
7.8
percent
owing to higher retained earnings. The
Government has requested a levy of Rs. 10
billion from SLPA, of which Rs. 2 billion has
already been remitted to the Consolidated
Fund. Overall, SLPA remains financially
sound with strong profitability, growing
equity, and a healthy balance sheet
position.
Airport and Aviation Services (Sri Lanka)
(Private) Ltd
During the first eight months of 2025,
Airport & Aviation Services (Sri Lanka)
(Private) Limited (AASL) recorded a total
revenue of Rs. 35.8 billion, marking a
25 percent increase compared to Rs.
28.5 billion in the same period of 2024.
This growth was primarily driven by a 31
percent rise in non-aeronautical revenue,
led by a near-doubling of income from the
embarkation levy.
In
the
meantime,
total
operational
expenditure
decreased
marginally
to
Rs. 14.8 billion in the first eight months
of 2025, from Rs. 15.3 billion in the same
period of 2024, largely due to a 31 percent
reduction
in
depreciation.
However,
finance expenses increased by 45 percent
to Rs. 1.2 billion during the period under
review, and the company recorded a
substantial exchange loss of Rs. 2.5 billion,
in contrast to a gain of Rs. 876 million in the
same period of 2024. Nevertheless, profit
before tax increased to Rs. 21.9 billion,
a 17 percent year-on-year growth. After
accounting for a higher tax provision of
Rs. 5.9 billion, net profit stood at Rs. 16.1
billion, up from Rs. 14.9 billion in the same
period of 2024.
As at end-August 2025, AASL demonstrates
a strong financial position with total assets
amounting to Rs. 249 billion, underpinned
by significant investments in property,
plant, and equipment, and robust short-
term investments over Rs. 113 billion. The
company reported a healthy equity of
Rs. 106.5 billion, primarily driven by retained
earnings and revaluation reserves. However,
total borrowings remain substantial at
Rs. 102 billion as at end-August 2025,
reflecting heavy infrastructure investments,
notably in the airport development project.
TABLE 4.2 : Profit before Tax of 52 State Owned Enterprises
Enterprise
2023
Actual
2024
(Provisional)
2025
Jan.- Aug.
(Provisional)
1 Bank of Ceylon
40,342
106,904
78,714
2 People’s Bank
15,345
41,584
37,829
3 National Savings Bank
4,287
26,431
30,582
4 State Mortgage & Investment Bank
-1,165
158
364
5 HDFC Bank
2,650
412
315**
6 Pradeshiya Sanwardena Bank
1,183
3,210
2,855
7 Employees' Trust Fund Board
64,959
63,177
38,660***
8 Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation Limited
10,704
3,546
4,432
9 National Insurance Trust Fund
13,329
16,793
13,837
10 Sri Lanka Export Credit Insurance Corporation
1,056
852
472
11 Agriculture and Agrarian Insurance Board
-3,885
-3,182
574
12 Ceylon Electricity Board
57,633
144,394
-4,917
13 Ceylon Petroleum Corporation
120,346
33,265
22,130
14 Sri Lanka Ports Authority
40,359
46,734
39,174
15 National Water Supply and Drainage Board
5,235
23,945
25,238
16 Airport and Aviation Services (SL ) (Pvt) Ltd
33,639
28,671
21,955
Rs.Mn.Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 90 printed page 76
76 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 Enterprise 2023 Actual 2024 (Provisional) 2025 Jan.- Aug. (Provisional) 17 Sri Lankan Airlines Ltd 3,871 -7,595 -15,205* 18 Sri Lanka Transport Board 2,189 547 1,873 19 State Engineering Corporation(a) -2,709 -1,041 -152 20 Central Engineering Consultancy Bureau 748 608 200 21 State Development and Construction Corporation -2,246 -1,411 -279 22 Milco (Pvt) Ltd -470 -43 956 23 National Livestock Development Board(a) -136 281 4 24 Sri Lanka State Plantations Corporation -93 -69 -72 25 Janatha Estates Development Board(a) -156 -223 -68 26 Kurunegala Plantations Ltd 534 415 552 27 Chilaw Plantations Ltd 303 219 505 28 Kalubovitiyana Tea Factory Ltd 69 -11 66* 29 Sri Lanka Cashew Corporation -5 14 -2 30 Lanka Mineral Sands Ltd 4,051 -77 94 31 Lanka Phosphate Ltd 363 465 230 32 Kahatagaha Graphite Lanka Ltd 28 24 18* 33 Development Lotteries Board 3,516 4,197 4,270 34 National Lotteries Board 845 1,693 1,417 35 State Pharmaceuticals and Manufacturing Corporation 2,173 3,083 2,007 36 Sri Lanka Ayurvedic Drugs Corporation 218 183 208 37 State Pharmaceuticals Corporation 1,268 2,474 992 38 Sri Jayawardenepura General Hospital 304 552 771 39 Independent Television Network Ltd -205 3 -99 40 Sri Lanka Rupavahini Corporation -360 -247 -224 41 Sri Lanka Broadcasting Corporation -528 -158 -65 42 Sri Lanka Handicraft Board 57 85 44 43 State Timber Corporation 1,274 825 126 44 STC General Trading Company 1,501 367 62* 45 Lanka Sathosa Ltd -695 -1,097 -332 46 State Printing Corporation 2,792 284 -164 47 Ceylon Fisheries Corporation(a) -47 -20 13 48 Ceylon Fishery Harbour Corporation 640 -85 -122 49 Ceylon Fertilizer Company Ltd 61 -476 _**** 50 Colombo Commercial Fertilizer Company Ltd 162 -41 _**** 51 Hotel Developers Lanka Ltd -784 -268 -279 52 Lanka Sugar Company Ltd 2,835 -1,945 -2,077 Total 427,385 538,408 307,482 Source: SOEs and Department of Public Enterprises (a)Provisional * 2025 April - August ** 30th June 2025 *** 31st July 2025 **** Ceylon Fertilizer Company Ltd and Colombo Commercial Fertilizer Company Ltd was amalgamated in 2024 and the newly formed company, State Fertilizer Company has generated a profit of Rs. 337 Mn for April to August 2025. Rs.Mn.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 91 printed page 77
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
77
TABLE 4.3 : Levy/ Dividend Income from SOEs
Rs. Mn.
Enterprise
Actuals
Projections
2023
2024
As at
31.08.2025
2026
2027
Levy
60,497
33,191
11,466
83,009
84,168
People’s Bank
-
- -
12,100
12,100
Bank of Ceylon
-
- -
18,600
18,600
National Savings Bank
-
- -
6,650
6,650
Regional Development Bank
-
- -
600
600
Ceylon Petroleum Corporation
5,000
10,000 -
10,700
10,700
Telecommunication Regulatory Commission of
Sri Lanka
23,000
9,000 -
10,000
10,000
State Timber Corporation
641
-
447
100
100
State Pharmaceuticals Manufacturing
Corporation
300
300
282
400
450
National Insurance Trust Fund
2,000
2,919
1,486
4,000
4,000
Geological Survey and Mines Bureau
2,000
1,468
1,688
2,150
2,200
National Gem and Jewellery Authority
390
25
120
50
50
Board of Investment of Sri Lanka
533
928 -
1,265
1,392
National Lotteries Board
1,000
1,060
350
1,000
1,000
Sri Lanka Standards Institution
40
13
64
154
169
Sri Lanka Export Credit Insurance Corporation
620
300
25
60
60
Sri Lanka Tourism Promotion Bureau
500
500 -
1,100
1,210
Civil Aviation Authority
4,000
750
500
100
100
State Pharmaceutical Corporation
-
100 -
150
150
National Transport Medical Institute
150
850
125
300
325
Sri Lanka Bureau of Foreign Employment
7,000
-
5,000
5,500
6,050
National Transport Commission
300
250
150
250
280
Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority
75
- -
220
242
Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development
Corporation
500
- -
-
20
Sri Lanka Ports Authority
8,066
607 -
5,764
5,764
National Medicine Regulatory Authority
646
880
716
300
350
Road Development Authority
75
1,749 -
-
-
Land Reform Commission
350
15 -
550
605
Condominium Management Authority
200
-
10
-
5
National Institute of Business Management
115
85
30
30
30
Post Graduate Institute of Management
25
4
30
30
30
Other SOEs
2,971
1,388
444
886
936
Dividends
15,204
7,890
3,172
14,943
15,436
National Savings Bank
30
- -
-
-
Bank of Ceylon
173
- -
-
-
People's Bank
158
- -
-
-
Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation Ltd
2,272
1,271 -
4,700
4,700
Airport and Aviation Services (Sri Lanka)(Pvt)
Ltd
5,500
1,286 -
5,969
5,969
Lanka Mineral Sands Ltd
2,500
158 -
500
700
Lanka Phosphate Ltd
220
75
25
75
75
Lanka Leyland Ltd
6
- -
7
8Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 92 printed page 78
78 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Enterprise
Actuals
Projections
2023
2024
As at
31.08.2025
2026
2027
Rakna Arakshaka Lanka Ltd
125
75 -
134
148
Manthai Salt Ltd. (National Salt Ltd)
120
- -
60
60
Ceylon Fertilizer Ltd
22
15 -
-
-
Colombo Commercial Fertilizer Ltd
60
30 -
-
-
Paranthan Chemicals Company Ltd
305
131 -
60
60
STC General Trading Company
150
50 -
60
65
Sri Lanka Telecom PLC
223
-
227
227
227
De La Rue Lanka (Pvt) Ltd
-
1,324
494
544
598
Lanka Electricity Company Ltd
697
436 -
400
450
Lanka Industrial Estates Ltd
174
98 -
-
-
Ceylon Agro Industries
167
202
131
-
-
Plantation Companies
554
559
134
400
570
Lanka Sugar Company Limited
1,597
- -
-
-
Lanka Thriposha Ltd
75
100
11
150
150
Other SOEs
75
2,080
2,150
1,657
1,657
Total
75,701
41,081
14,639
97,952
99,604
Source: SOEs and Department of Public EnterprisesPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 93 printed page 79
05 Basis Used for the Preparation of 2026 BudgetPrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 94 printed page 80
No text on this page (image, chart or blank page).
Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 95 printed page 81
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 79 5.1 Overview The macroeconomic and fiscal estimates in the Budget 2026 are based on a series of assumptions, analyses, and judgements at the time of preparation of the Budget. This section provides key macroeconomic indicators considered for the preparation of the revenue and expenditure estimates, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, unemployment, and the external sector, along with the global and financial sector developments, labour market developments, and highlights sensitivities in the estimates. 5.2 Gross Domestic Product Sri Lanka's economy has recovered from the crisis, supported by improved political and macroeconomic stability, and has exhibited broad-based expansion across sectors such as Agriculture, Industry and Services. The economy grew by 4.8 percent in the first half of 2025. In 2026, the economy is expected to expand, with a projected GDP growth rate of 4 - 5 percent as per the baseline scenario. Broad-based growth is anticipated across all sectors, supported by the rebound in domestic economic activities, rising external demand, improved supply conditions, and the development of tourism and other key industries. Government policy on the Agriculture sector is to enhance its productivity, competitiveness, and resilience which is to be an export-driven value-added sector. Key measures include the development of quality seeds, the efficient use of water resources in agriculture, and initiatives to bridge the gap between demand and supply in the market. In addition, the establishment of a comprehensive data and information system covering the entire value chain, from production to consumption is being prioritized. These efforts are expected to strengthen agricultural productivity, and thereby increasing overall production. The Industry sector is projected to expand significantly, particularly in construction and manufacturing, with an emphasis on value-added manufacturing and export diversification. The Services sector, accounting for the largest share of GDP, is expected to expand steadily, supported by growth in key subsectors such as finance, transport, IT, trade, and real estate, alongside increased public investment in transport, automation, and digitalization. Growth in the services sector is expected to strengthen with the accelerated development of Sri Lanka’s digital economy, which serves as a key pillar of the country’s overall economic development strategy. Increased investment in innovations related to artificial intelligence, robotics, and other emerging technologies, along with the expansion of digital payment infrastructure, is anticipated to further enhance the sector’s contribution to growth. Meanwhile, the Government remains focused on maximizing the value generated from tourism by improving the necessary infrastructure and strengthening measures to ensure the safety and satisfaction of tourists. 5.3 Consumer Prices Sri Lanka returned to positive inflation territory in August and September 2025, after recording deflation for seven consecutive months since January 2025. The recent inflation is driven by price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as revised utility and fuel tariffs. By September 2025, food inflation amounted to 2.9 percent, whereas non-food inflation was 0.7 percent. It is expected that inflation in Sri Lanka will rise gradually toward the 5 percent target by mid-2026, driven by improving domestic demand, normalization of administered prices, and prudent monetary and fiscal policies. This outlook assumes stable global energy and commodity prices, favorable agricultural production, and continued exchange rate stability. 5.4 Employment and Unemployment The unemployment rate has reduced to 3.8 percent in the first quarter of 2025, compared to 4.5 percent in the same period of 2024. Also, labour force participation rate has increased to 49.7 percent in thePrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 96 printed page 82
80 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 first quarter of 2025, compared to 47.1 percent in the same period of 2024. With the gradual recovery of the economy and with the envisaged expansions of all three sectors of the economy, the unemployment rate is expected to further reduce in 2026. 5.5 External Sector Sri Lanka’s external sector is anticipated to strengthen in 2026, supported by the continuation of monthly current account surpluses recorded from January to August 2025, reflecting higher growth in export of goods and services during the period. The current account recorded an increase of 26.1 percent to USD 2,039.5 million in the first eight months of 2025, compared to USD 1,618.0 million in the same period of 2024. Tourism receipts increased by 5.7 percent to USD 2,290.0 million from January to August, 2025, compared to USD 2,167.0 million in the same period of 2024. Workers’ remittances demonstrated a robust growth of 19.3 percent, rising to USD 5,116.0 million in the first eight months of 2025. Meanwhile, net inflows in the services sector increased by 2.3 percent to USD 2.7 billion for the period from January to August 2025. The expansion in tourism earnings and workers’ remittances observed in the first eight months of 2025, is expected to further widen net inflows in 2026. Moreover, the country’s foreign reserve position is anticipated to improve with the expansion of exports of goods and services to global markets, in line with the implementation of the National Export Development Plan (2025–2029) and the introduction of a National Tariff Policy aimed at establishing a simplified, transparent, and predictable tariff framework. The exchange rate is also expected to remain broadly stable during 2026, reflecting improved external balances and strengthened market confidence. 5.6 Monetary Aggregates The money supply is expected to be maintained at an appropriate level. With the expected revenue at 15.2 percent of GDP in 2026 and the anticipated budget deficit at 5.3 percent of GDP, it is expected to maintain to gross financing needs of the Government at a sustainable level. This will create a more favorable environment for private sector investment. 5.7 Revenue The assumptions underlying the revenue estimates are detailed in Annex III. 5.8 Expenditure The basis for the preparation of expenditure estimates is as follows: • Salaries and Wages: Estimates are based on the public sector workforce of approximately 1.3 million employees. It is assumed that the number of public sector employees will not be considerably increased through new recruitments in 2026. Further, annual salary increments have been factored into the estimates, along with the wage increases proposed in Budget 2025 for public sector employees. • Pension Payments: The expenditure estimates for pensions are based on the estimated number of pensioners of 745,000 and the increase of pension payments in 2026 as proposed in Budget 2025. • Interest Payments: Expenditure on interest payment for 2026 is expected to reduce given the combined effect of restructuring of domestic debt and potential reduction in policy rates. • Goods and Services: The expenditure on goods and services is envisaged to increase to Rs. 401.0 billion. • Subsidies to households: Spending on social safety nets (SSNs) is expected to increase, reflecting higher allocations for key programmes such as Aswesuma and other targeted initiatives supporting the elderly, persons with disabilities, and chronic kidney patients. In addition, funding for other major welfarePrevious page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 97 printed page 83
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 81 programmes, including assistance for schoolchildren through the provision of uniforms and textbooks, support for differently-abled soldiers, nutrition programmes for expectant mothers, the supply of free medicines, and fertilizer subsidies to ensure food security, is also expected to continue at enhanced levels. • Transfers to Public Institutions and Corporations: There will be a moderate increase due to the restructuring of major State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs). • Public Investment: In 2026, public investment will be around 4.0 percent of GDP, gearing investments to priority sectors while reducing non-priority and non-essential expenditure. • Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024: The Act came into effect on August 8, 2024 and will be fully implemented by end December 2025. The structural, procedural and institutional amendments introduced under the Act will, inter alia, enhance the transparency, accountability, discipline, effectiveness, efficiency, and economy in the management of public finances, including expenditure management. • IT and Digital Solutions: Efforts to transform the country into a digital society, along with the introduction of ‘GovPay’ platform for the digitalization of all government payments, will enhance public service delivery as well as operational efficiency. • Agency Coordination and Monitoring: Enhanced cooperation among public agencies and stronger oversight will ensure effectiveness of budgetary allocations, while avoiding duplication. • Commitment Control Mechanisms: The Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 provides for the establishment of an effective commitment control system which will strengthen fiscal and cash flow management. 5.9 Borrowings The estimates on Government gross borrowing requirements are projected to Rs. 3,800 billion in 2026. The Government budget deficit is expected to widen by 0.8 percentage points to 5.3 percent in 2026, compared to the estimated budget deficit of 4.5 percent in the revised Budget 2025. Further, the Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) has been established with the key responsibilities including the management of Government debt, issuance and management of loan guarantees, management of on-lending operations and recording and reporting of public debt. The PDMO will ensure implementation of efficient and transparent borrowing practices. 5.10 Sensitivities to the Estimates Fiscal and economic projections could be influenced by several risks and challenges, including: Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Economic conditions create a major determinant of fiscal outcomes; however, they also represent a primary source of uncertainty in forecasting the fiscal position. Fluctuations in global commodity prices, on-going US tariff revisions, and heightened geo- political tensions in the global economy coupled with forcast global economic growth and domestic economic activity may lead to deviations of actual revenue and expenditure outcomes from initial projections. Moreover, unforeseen expenditure pressures, such as those arising from emergency responses or social assistance measures necessitated by unexpected economic shocks can further influence the anticipated fiscal projections as specified in the Fiscal Strategy Statement 2026. Variables such as inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates directly affect the cost of borrowing and the overall fiscal position. These variables are also vulnerable to sudden and unpredictable shifts in economic forces.Previous page Next page Top
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82 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 External shocks: Adjusting to global economic shocks which could arise from geo-political tensions such as the ongoing tariff disputes between the United States and the rest of the world will be challenging. These external shocks may impact domestic international trade, inflation, and overall economic growth. Natural disasters and unfavorable weather conditions: Fiscal risks from natural disasters generally stem from the need to finance unforeseen expenditures related to disaster management, relief and recovery operations, and the reconstruction or rehabilitation of damaged public infrastructure. The country is exposed to a variety of natural hazards, including floods, landslides, cyclones, and droughts, each of which may occur within the coming year. Such events may adversely affect labor productivity and potential economic growth, thereby exerting negative pressure on the fiscal position of the country. Administrative and procurement delays: Bureaucratic inefficiencies and delays could slow down economic progress and fiscal operations. It may slow the implementation of public investment projects, reducing their contribution to economic growth and employment. Delays can also increase project costs and create inefficiencies in public spending. Consequently, these factors can put additional pressure on the fiscal balance and revenue collection. Legislative delays: Delays in the approval of key fiscal-related Acts may create uncertainty in the timing and implementation of budgetary measures. Postponed tax reforms or spending approvals can lead to revenue shortfalls and expenditure overruns. This uncertainty can weaken fiscal discipline, increase borrowing requirements, and ultimately threaten the government’s ability to meet its fiscal targets. State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) performance: SOEs are subject to operational risks and broader market fluctuations that may affect their profitability and financial sustainability. Weak performance of SOEs, coupled with delays in restructuring initiatives, can impede economic efficiency and pose challenges to achieving fiscal consolidation objectives.Previous page Next page Top
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Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 83 ANNEX I The Outstanding List of Treasury Guarantees & Letters of Comfort Issued by the General Treasury up to 31.08.2025 S. No Name of the Bank or Institution Name of Institution Issued Value Rs.Mn as at 31.08.2025 Outstanding Value Rs.Mn as at 31.08.2025 1 Asian Development Bank Ceylon Electricity Board 170,882.27 201,126.92 94,776.45 109,903.31 Lanka Electricity Company (Pvt) Ltd 15,122.33 4.54 Reginoal Development Bank 15,122.33 15,122.33 2 Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) Bank of Ceylon & People's Bank 54,440.37 54,440.37 30,244.65 30,244.65 3 Bank of Ceylon Building Materials Corporation Ltd 500.00 428,667.04 500.00 259,677.63 Ceylon Electricity Board 4,540.00 1,179.54 Ceylon Fisheries Corporation 250.00 158.62 Ceylon Petroleum Corporation 100,000.00 59,381.35 General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University 835.00 19.26 Janatha Estates Development Board 200.00 72.08 Lanka Coal Company (Pvt) Ltd 49,500.00 - National School of Business Management Limited 8,600.00 4,880.00 National Water Supply & Drainage Board 65,662.15 36,292.40 Northsea Limited 38.63 37.41 Road Development Authority 147,102.33 105,923.53 Sri Lanka Rupavahini Corporation 93.00 23.71 Sri Lankan Airlines Limited 44,656.88 44,656.88 State Development and Construction Corporation 1,126.81 990.62 State Engineering Corporation 2,400.00 2,399.99 Mihin Lanka Limited 3,162.23 3,162.23 4 China Development Bank National Water Supply & Drainage Board 49,906.88 49,906.88 60,268.51 60,268.51 5 China National Chemical Engineering No.14 Constrution Co. Ltd Ceylon Petroleum Corporation 13,239.60 13,239.60 7,158.91 7,158.91 6 Commercial Bank National Water Supply & Drainage Board 968.36 5,724.29 427.65 5,183.58 Road Development Authority 4,755.93 4,755.93 7 DB Trustees (Hong Kong) Limited Sri Lankan Airlines Limited 52,928.14 52,928.14 52,928.14 52,928.14 8 DFCC Bank National Water Supply & Drainage Board 6,026.24 11,922.75 3,020.35 7,612.51 Road Development Authority 5,896.51 4,592.16 9 Exim Bank of India National Water Supply & Drainage Board 77,638.02 77,638.02 47,115.12 47,115.12 10 Hatton National Bank Airport & Aviation Services (Sri Lanka) Limited 4,000.00 43,630.09 4,000.00 30,778.49 Ceylon Electricity Board 3,721.35 - National Water Supply & Drainage Board 15,775.58 6,694.49 Road Development Authority 20,133.15 20,084.00 11 Hongkong & Shanghai Banking Co.Ltd. Airport & Aviation Services (Sri Lanka) Limited 13,349.37 13,349.37 8,922.17 8,922.17 12 Industrial And Commercial Bank of China Limited Ceylon Electricity Board 12,694.41 12,694.41 8,023.91 8,023.91 13 ING Bank, NV of Netherlands National Water Supply & Drainage Board 29,253.20 29,253.20 25,151.18 25,151.18Previous page Next page Top
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84 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 S. No Name of the Bank or Institution Name of Institution Issued Value Rs.Mn as at 31.08.2025 Outstanding Value Rs.Mn as at 31.08.2025 14 International Air Transport Association(IATA) Sri Lankan Airlines Limited 3,508.38 3,508.38 3,508.38 3,508.38 15 Japan International Coorporation Agency (JICA) Airport & Aviation Services (Sri Lanka) Limited 153,175.98 153,175.98 55,330.55 55,330.55 16 National Development Bank PLC National Water Supply & Drainage Board 21,380.43 27,679.63 13,651.70 19,951.54 Road Development Authority 6,299.21 6,299.84 17 National Savings Bank Ceylon Electricity Board 5,000.00 190,272.35 3,500.00 162,966.39 General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University 33,896.09 31,474.94 National Water Supply & Drainage Board 32,710.61 27,106.37 Road Development Authority 114,415.66 99,201.08 Sri Lanka Land Reclamation & Development Corporation 3,500.00 934.01 Techno Park Development Company Private Limited 750.00 750.00 18 People's Bank Ceylon Electricity Board 15,333.33 176,429.93 8,191.89 131,798.09 Ceylon Petroleum Corporation 2,336.40 1,403.35 Ceylon Shipping Corporation Ltd 21,749.07 14,381.33 Lanka Sathosa Limited 5,241.00 4,757.27 National Paper Corporation 140.00 72.34 National Water Supply & Drainage Board 7,252.88 3,199.33 Paddy Marketing Board 751.99 529.05 Road Development Authority 56,902.44 40,380.64 Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation 3,629.36 3,629.36 Sri Lanka State Plantation Corporation 100.00 78.48 Sri Lankan Airlines Limited 57,916.23 50,676.76 State Printing Corporation 1,165.00 685.13 Techno Park Development Company Private Limited 750.00 750.00 Mihin Lanka Limited 3,162.23 3,063.15 19 Reserve Bank of India Central Bank of Sri Lanka 333,123.32 333,123.32 333,123.32 333,123.32 20 Sampath Bank Road Development Authority 14,500.00 14,500.00 9,886.36 9,886.36 21 Sri Lanka Savings Bank Northsea Limited 60.00 60.00 54.76 54.76 22 UniCredit Bank Austria AG National Water Supply & Drainage Board 17,844.22 17,844.22 14,388.23 14,388.23 23 Paddy Marketing Board Co-operative Wholesale Establishment 880.00 880.00 729.60 729.60 24 Export Development Board Bank of Ceylon and Peoples Bank 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Grand Total 1,912,054.89 1,912,054.89 1,384,765.32 1,384,765.32 Source : Public Debt Management OfficePrevious page Next page Top
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85
ANNEX II
Macroeconomic Indicators
TABLE 1 : Key Sectoral Growth Rate % 2023-2025
2023
2024
2025
Q1(a)
Q2(a)
GDP
-2.3
5
4.8
4.9
Agriculture
1.6
1.2
-0.7
2.0
Industry
-9.2
11
9.7
5.8
Services
-0.2
2.4
2.8
3.9
Inflation - GDP Deflator (%)
17.5
3.8
-0.3
5.4
Unemployment Rate (%)
4.7
4.5
3.8
Source : Department of Census and Statistics
(a) Provisional
TABLE 2 : Quarterly Growth Rates of Key Sub-Sectors of Agriculture
Sector
2023(a)
2024(a)
2025(a)
Q1
Q2
Tea (Mn kg)
256.1
262.7
61.8
73.7
Growth %
1.7
2.6
5.6
6.0
Rubber (Mn kg)
64.4
69.2
15.7
14.3
Growth %
-9.2
7.4
-22.2
-10.8
Coconuts (Mn nuts)
3,169.7
2,790.1
563.1
784.4
Growth %
-6.4
-12.0
-28.5
3.4
Fish ('000 Mt)
406.6
411.0
103.7
83.5
Growth %
2.4
1.1
0.1%
-10.9
2023
2024
Yala
Maha
yala
Paddy ('000 Mt)
1,817.0
2,745.3
1976.5
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
(a) Provisional
TABLE 3 : Performance in Industrial Sector : 2023 - 2025
Rs. Mn.
Description
2023
2024(a)
2025(a)
Q1
Q2
Food, Beverages and Tobacco Products
899,777
954,409
287,256
202,751
Growth Rate
3.5
6.1
5.7
1.5
Textile, Wearing Apparel and Leather
Related Products
450,498
500,210
181,093
102,929
Growth Rate
-12.0
11.0
16.5
9.6
Chemical Products and Basic Pharmaceutical
Products
82,949
90,994
17,642
31,101
Growth Rate
0.7
9.7
1.7
-5.5
Rubber and Plastic Products
56,157
60,972
12,895
19,551
Growth Rate
-16.8
8.6
3.4
5.0
Non-metallic Mineral Products
84,671
86,813
29,335
25,392
Growth Rate
-0.6
2.5
22.9
17.1
Furniture
56,089
-
Growth Rate
-7.8
-
-
-
Total Industrial Sector
3,003,096
3,333,008
975,783
809,720
Overall Industrial Growth
-9.2
11.0
9.7
5.8
Source : Department of Census and Statistics
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86 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 4 : Performance in Electricity Generation and Services Sector : 2024 - 2025
Category
2024
2025(a)
Q1
Q2
Jul
Jan-Jul
Q1
Q2
Jul
Jan-Jul
Electricity Generaton
Total Generation (GWh)(Excluding Self Generation)
4,120
4,164
1,462
9,746
4,220
4,459
1,583
10,261
Growth Rate
9.9
5.1
7.6
7.5
2.4
7.1
8.3
5.3
Hydro (excluding mini hydro)
1,259
1,244
508
3,010
1,271
1,704
628
3,604
Growth Rate
37.2
53.2
65.2
47.8
1.0
37.0
23.8
19.7
Fuel Oil
710
593
155
1,458
754
259
158
1,171
Growth Rate
-3.9
-40.4
-57.9
-30.6
6.3
-56.3
1.5
-19.7
Coal
1,474
1,471
428
3,372
1,383
1,299
381
3,063
Growth Rate
-3.0
8.4
17.4
4.1
-6.2
-11.7
-10.9
-9.2
NCRE (Including mini hydro) (b)
678
856
372
1,905
811
1,196
416
2,423
Growth Rate
18.4
7.0
16.8
12.7
19.7
39.7
11.9
27.2
Hydro: Fuel Oil: Coal: NCRE Ratio
Reservoir Water Level % (End Period Aeverage)
81.2
56.8
75.5
69.9
75.5
65.3
70.1
70.4
Port Services
Q1
Q2
Aug
Jan-Aug
Q1
Q2
Aug
Jan-Aug
Total Cargo Handled ('000 MT)
30,504
29,032
11,971
80,713
29,523
31,284
10,866
82,370
Growth Rate
34.6
7.6
3.8
14.8
-3.2
7.8
-9.2
2.1
Total Container Handled ('000 TEUs) (c)
2,009
1,882
635
5,141
1,936
2,036
741
5,435
Growth Rate
24.0
2.4
1.3
9.2
-3.6
8.2
16.8
5.7
Telecommunications Services (No. of Subscribers) (d)
Q1
Q2
Q1
Q2
Fixed Lines ('000)
2,181
2,155
2,084
2,142
Growth Rate
-13.3
-11.7
-4.5
-0.6
Cellular ('000)
27,977
29,005
27,214
29,027
Growth Rate
-0.5
-0.2
-2.7
0.1
Total Fixed Lines and Cellular ('000)
30,158
31,160
29,297
31,169
Growth Rate
-1.6
-1.1
-2.9
0.03
Internet and email ('000)
22,513
23,349
24,170
23,686
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
(a) Provisional
(b) NCRE : Non Conventional Renewable Energy
(c) Part of Colombo only
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TABLE 5 : Export Performance in 2024 - 2025
USD Mn.
Item
2024
2025
Jan-Aug
Jan-Aug(a)
Agricultural Products
1,804.0
2,030.2
Tea
942.3
1,026.0
Rubber
16.4
20.8
Coconut Products
272.2
367.5
Other Agricultural Products
573.2
615.9
Industrial Products
6,665.8
7,015.4
Textile and Garments
3,364.8
3,595.3
Petroleum Products
709.7
654.7
Other Industrial Products
2,591.3
2,765.4
Mineral Export
18.8
14.3
Other Exports
17.7
16.8
Total Exports
8,506.3
9,076.6
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
(a) Provisional
TABLE 6 : Import Performance in 2024 - 2025
USD Mn.
Item
2024
2025
Jan-Aug
Jan-Aug(a)
Consumer Goods
2,176.3
3,294.7
Cereals and Milling Industry Products
87.0
90.9
Sugar
253.0
245.8
Other Food Products
874.1
1,082.9
Other Consumer Goods
962.2
1,875.0
Intermediate Goods
7,750.0
7,437.4
Fuel
2,896.5
2,520.6
Wheat and Maize
204.5
205.1
Fertilizer
102.9
164.8
Textile & Clothing
1,839.3
1,793.5
Other Intermediate Goods
2,706.8
2,753.4
Investment Goods
2,140.3
2,597.2
Other Imports
5.9
11.6
Total
12,072.5
13,340.9
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
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88 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 7 : Balance of Payments - 2025
USD Mn.
Item
2025
Q1(a)
Q2(a)
Current Account Balance
926
501
Trade Balance
-1,540
-1,730
Exports
3,347
3,145
Imports
4,887
4,875
Services (net)
1,220
839
Receipts
2,035
1,574
Payments
815
735
Primary Income (net)
-527
-500
Receipts
150
163
Payments
677
663
Secondary Income (net)
1,773
1,891
Secondary income: credit
1,815
1,924
Secondary income: debit
42
32
Capital Account (net)
-2
-2
Capital account: credit
1
1
Capital account: debit
3
3
Current and Capital Account (net)
925
499
Financial Account (net)
629
197
Direct Investment: Assets
17
23
Direct Investment: Liabilities
135
179
Portfolio Investment: Assets
-71
311
Debt securities
-71
311
Portfolio Investment: Liabilities
12
-329
Equity and investment fund shares
-80
-4
Debt securities
93
-326
Financial Derivatives
-
-
Other Investment: Assets
883
-411
Currency and deposits
451
-717
Trade credits and advances
90
57
Other accounts receivable
342
250
Other Investment: Liabilities
414
-714
Currency and deposits
145
-322
Loans
285
-357
Trade credits and advances
-16
-35
Other accounts payable
-
-
Special Drawing Rights (SDRs)
-
-
Reserve Assets
361
-591
Net Errors and Omissions
-296
-301
Overall Balance
1,761
522
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
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TABLE 8 : International Reserves
USD Mn.
Item
End 2024
May 2025
Jun 2025
Jul 2025
Aug 2025
Total External Reserves
11,230
11,981
11,752
11,666
NA
Months of Imports
7.2
7.3
7.1
7.0
NA
Gross Official Reserves
6,122
6,286
6,081
6,147
6178
Months of Imports
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.7
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
TABLE 9 : Government Foreign Currency Debt Outstanding
USD Mn.
Items
End August 2025
(Provisional) *
Central Government Foreign Debt and Domestic Debt
102,181
Central Government Foreign Debt (a) (b)
37,308
Central Government Domestic Debt denominated in loacal currency (c) (d)
62,717
Dollar dominated Domestic Debt
2,156
Sri Lanka Development Bonds (SLDBs) (a) (d)
-
Loans Foreign Currency Banking Units (FCBUs)
-
Domestic Term Loans denominated in foreign currency
2,128
Domestic project loans denominated in foreign currency (d)
28
Source : Public Debt Management Office
(a) Only the Central Government outstanding Foreign Debt are depicted.Included unpaid Principal
accumulated from the date of debt standstill policy was adopted. Non-resident holdings of T-bill /
T-bonds are not included. Outstanding amounts of ISBs have not been classified on the current resident/
non-resident basis of their holdings.
(b) Foreign Project and Term Loan debt outstanding is compiled based on CS-DRMS reports downloaded
on 27th September 2025 (Cutoff - end August 2025).
(c) Includes T- Bonds, T- Bills outstanding amounts published in CBSLwebsite. Outstanding amounts of
T-Bills & T- Bonds have not been classified on the current resident/ non-resident basis of their holdings.
(d) Includes borrowings from Domestic Banks from 2011 to 2019 to finance for development projects
implemented by Roads Development Authority, Ministry of Health and National Water Supply & Drainage
Board
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90 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 12 : Commercial Banks' Loans and Advances to the Private Sector - end August 2025 (a)(b)
TABLE 10 : Movements in Selected Exchange Rates (Against the USD)
Currency
Appreciarion (+)/Depreciation (-)
End 2023 - End 2024
End 2024 - End Aug 2025
Indian Rupee
(2.8)
(2.4)
Bangladesh Taka
(8.2)
(1.7)
Parkistan Rupee
1.4
(2.0)
Singapore Dollar
(3.0)
5.9
Thailand Bhat
0.1
5.9
Taiwan Dollar
(6.3)
7.2
Indonesian Rupiah
(4.3)
(1.6)
Philippine Peso
(4.3)
1.4
Korean Won
(12.6)
6.2
Japanese Yen
(9.6)
6.5
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
TABLE 11 : Central Bank Holdings of Government securities
Rs. Bn.
End Period
Gross (Face Value)
Net of Repos
(Book Value)
2015
105
79
2016
331
330
2017
10
26
2018
46
274
2019
75
125
2020
725
737
2021
1,417
1,960
2022
2,598
3,187
2023
2,744
1,956
2024
2,516
1,551
End of Aug 2025
2,509
1,562
Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka
Rs. Mn.
Sector
Amount as a % of Total
1. Agriculture & Fishing
847,792
9.2
of which…
Tea
189,858
2.1
Rubber
55,518
0.6
Coconut
59,529
0.6
Paddy
81,205
0.9
Vegetable, Fruit Cultivation and Minor Food Crops
58,011
0.6
Livestock and Dairy Farming
67,532
0.7
Fisheries
50,464
0.5
2. Industry
3,596,199
39.1
of which…
Construction
1,715,829
18.7
of which…
--- Personal Housing including Purchasing/Construction/Repairs
865,590
9.4
--- Staff Housing
76,798
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91
Rs. Mn.
Sector
Amount as a % of Total
Food and Beverages
239,167
2.6
Textiles and Apparel
416,725
4.5
Wood and Wood Products including Furniture
35,796
0.4
Paper and Paper Products
52,790
0.6
Chemical, Petroleum, Pharmaceutical, Healthcare and Rubber and
Plastic Products
213,831
2.3
Non-metallic Mineral Products
16,889
0.2
Basic Metal Products
65,567
0.7
Fabricated Metal Products, Machinery and Transport Equipment
287,415
3.1
Other Manufactured Products
50,069
0.5
3. Services
2,777,752
30.2
of which…
Wholesale and Retail Trade
970,576
10.6
Tourism
290,471
3.2
Financial and Business Services
618,426
6.7
Transport
79,638
0.9
Communication and Information Technology
143,250
1.6
Printing and Publishing
23,122
0.3
Education
50,844
0.6
Health
57,934
0.6
Shipping, Aviation, Supply and Freight Forwarding
51,847
0.6
4. Personal Loans and Advancse(c)
1,968,998
21.4
of which…
Consumer Durables
75,206
0.8
Pawning
770,253
8.4
Credit Card
177,461
1.9
Personal Education
6,164
0.1
Personal Healthcare
1,419
0.0
5.Other
879,121
9.6
Total(d)
9,190,741
100.0
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
(a) Includes loans, overdrafts, bills discounted and purchased and excludes cash items in the process of
collection
(b) Provisional
(c) Excludes personal housing loans, which have been included under ‘Construction’ classified under
‘Industry’ and includes Safety Net Scheme related loans
(d) Total credit to the private sector as per the Monthly Survey differ from that in the Monetary Survey due
to differences in the compilation methodologies
Note:
The Economic Research Department (ERD) of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) commenced the Monthly
Survey on Loans and Advances by Licensed Commercial Banks (LCBs) to the private sector, with a detailed
breakdown of credit extended to the key sectors of the economy from April 2025. Accordingly, the existing
Quarterly Survey on the Commercial Banks’ Loans and Advances to the private sector (Quarterly Survey)
was discontinued. The purpose of the new survey is to collect sector-wise credit data on a monthly basis,
thereby enabling the monitoring and analysis of high-frequency movements in private sector credit.
Accordingly, direct comparisons between the new Monthly Survey data and the earlier quarterly series are
not appropriate, as variations in growth patterns across sub sectors during the transition period largely
reflect reclassifications introduced at the bank level.Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 108 printed page 94
92 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 13 : Interest Rate Movements in 2024 - 2025
Interest Rate
End
Dec
2024
End
May
2025
End
Jun
2025
End
Jul
2025
End
Aug
2025
Policy Rates of the Central Bank
Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR)
7.50
7.25
7.25
7.25
7.25
Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR)
8.50
8.25
8.25
8.25
8.25
Weighted Average Call Money Rate (AWCMR)
8.00
7.75
7.75
7.80
7.86
Weighted Average OMO Auction Rate
(Reverse Repo)- Overnight
-
-
-
-
-
Treasury Bill Rates
91-days
8.62
7.55
7.55
7.62
7.58
182-days
8.77
7.77
7.75
7.91
7.89
364 -days
8.96
7.98
7.94
8.03
8.03
Lending Rates
Average Weighted Prime Lending
Rate(AWPR) (weekly)
8.90
8.35
8.11
8.07
7.97
Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate
(AWPR) (monthly)
8.92
8.45
8.22
8.02
8.10
Average Weighted Lending Rate(AWLR)
11.93
11.67
11.56
11.50
-
Deposit Rates
Average Weighted Deposit Rate (AWDR)
7.53
6.98
6.93
6.88
-
Average Weighted Fixed Deposit Rate
(AWFDR)
9.27
8.56
8.52
8.46
-
Source : Central Bank of Sri LankaPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 109 printed page 95
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026 93 ANNEX III Assumptions for Revenue Estimates - 2026 The assumptions are made in line with Section 49 of the Public Financial Management Act, No. 44 of 2024 (PFMA). The revenue estimates for 2026 are based on key factors including trend or long-run averages for growth rates, the actual revenue collected in 2024 and revenue progress in first nine months of 2025, revenue gains expected from the new measures, developments of the macro-economic variables, and the staff’s best judgments on the performance of the revenue. The broad assumptions are detailed as follows: • The economy is expected to grow by 4 - 5 percent in 2026 supported by both domestic and external fronts. The growth is expected to expand in all three sectors of the economy ie. Industry, Services and Agriculture. • The average inflation is expected gradually increase towards the target of 5 percent by mid-2026. • Unemployment rate is expected to be below 5.0 percent in 2026. • Exchange rate is expected to be stable in 2026. • Marginal decline in import taxes related to motor vehicles compared to 2025 due to the normalization of demand for the vehicles in 2026. • Full implementation of the Public Financial Management Act to improve fiscal policy for better macroeconomic management. • Strengthening the revenue collection in the Inland Revenue Department (IRD), Sri Lanka Customs (SLC) and the Excise Department through digitalization efforts, reducing corruption vulnerabilities and enhancing the effectiveness of revenue administration strategies. • Increase of tax compliance at IRD with introduction of mandatory e-filling for individuals, streamlining the refund process and removal of simplified Value Added Taxes (S-VAT), enforcement of usage of Point of Sales (POS) machines, introduction of e-invoicing system and increased risk-based audit efficiency. • Establishment of Gambling Regulatory Authority to regulate and control gambling industry while ensure the collection of revenue and transparency and good governance in industry of gambling.Previous page Next page Top
BEFPR 2026 · file page 110 printed page 96
94 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
Item / Engine Capacity
Rate
(i) Cars - Petrol
Less than 1,000 cc
Rs.1,992,000/-per unit or Rs.2,450/-per cm3
1,001 cc -1,300 cc
Rs.3,850/-per cm3
1,301 cc -1,500 cc
Rs.4,450/-per cm3
1,501 cc -1,600 cc
Rs.5,150/-per cm3
1,601 cc -1,800 cc
Rs.6,400/-per cm3
1,801 cc -2,000 cc
Rs.7,700/-per cm3
2,001 cc -2,500 cc
Rs.8,450/-per cm3
2,501 cc -2,750 cc
Rs.9,650/-per cm3
2,751 cc -3,000 cc
Rs.10,850/-per cm3
3,001 cc -4,000 cc
Rs.12,050/-per cm3
Exceeding 4,000 cc
Rs.13,300/-per cm3
(i) Cars - Diesel
Less than 1,500 cc
Rs.5,550/-per cm3
1,501 cc -1,600 cc
Rs.6,950/-per cm3
1,601 cc -1,800 cc
Rs.8,300/-per cm3
1,801 cc -2,000 cc
Rs.9,650/-per cm3
2,001 cc -2,500 cc
Rs.9,650/-per cm3
2,501 cc -2,750 cc
Rs.10,850/-per cm3
2,751 cc -3,000 cc
Rs.12,050/-per cm3
3,001 cc -4,000 cc
Rs.13,300/-per cm3
Exceeding 4,000 cc
Rs.14,500/-per cm3
(ii) Cars - Hybrid / Petrol
Less than 1,000 cc
Rs.1,810,900/-per unit
1,001 cc -1,300 cc
Rs.2,750/-per cm3
1,301 cc -1,500 cc
Rs.3,450/-per cm3
1,501 cc -1,600 cc
Rs.4,800/-per cm3
1,601 cc -1,800 cc
Rs.6,300/-per cm3
1,801 cc -2,000 cc
Rs.6,900/-per cm3
2,001 cc -2,500cc
Rs.7,250/-per cm3
2,501 cc -2,750 cc
Rs.8,450/-per cm4
2,751 cc -3,000 cc
Rs.9,650/-per cm4
3,001 cc -4,000 cc
Rs.10,850/-per cm5
Exceeding 4 000 cc
Rs.12,050/-per cm5
(iv) Cars - Hybrid / Diesel
Less than 1,000 cc
Rs. 4,150/-per cm3
1,001 cc -1,300 cc
Rs. 4,150/-per cm3
1,301 cc -1,500 cc
Rs. 4,150/-per cm3
1,501 cc -1,600 cc
Rs.5,550/-per cm3
1,601 cc -1,800 cc
Rs.6,900/-per cm3
1,801 cc -2,000 cc
Rs.8,350/-per cm3
2,001 cc -2,500 cc
Rs.8,450/-per cm3
2,501 cc -2,750 cc
Rs.9,650/-per cm3
2,751 cc -3,000 cc
Rs.10,850/-per cm3
3,001 cc -4,000 cc
Rs.12,050/-per cm3
Exceeding 4,000 cc
Rs.13,300/-per cm3
TABLE 1 : Excise (Special Provisions) Duty Structure for Motor Vehicles (As at 31.10.2025)Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 111 printed page 97
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
95
Item / Engine Capacity
Rate
(v) Electric Cars
Car- Electric - Charged by
External Electric Source
Less than 50kW
Rs.18,100/-per kW
51kW -100kW
Rs.24,100/-per kW
101kW -200kW
Rs.36,200/-per kW
Exceeding 200kW
Rs.96,600/-per kW
Car- Electric - (ICE only for
charging electric accumulator)
Less than 50kW
Rs.30,770/-per kW
51kW -100kW
Rs.40,970/-per kW
101kW -200kW
Rs.41,630/-per kW
Exceeding 200kW
Rs.111,090/-per kW
(vi) Vans
13 -25 Persons/ Diesel
Rs. 5,432,650/-per unit
13 -25 Persons/ Petrol
Rs.2,100/-per cm3
Less than 13 Persons/ Diesel
200%
Less than 13 Persons/ Petrol
150%
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 2 : Excise (Special Provisions) Duty Structure for Cigarettes (As at 31.10.2025)
Category
Rs. per 1,000 Sticks
Cigarettes each not exceeding 60mm. in length
19,350
Cigarettes each exceeding 60mm. but not exceeding 67mm in length
50,150
Cigarettes each exceeding 67mm. but not exceeding 72mm in length
71,450
Cigarettes each exceeding 72mm. but not exceeding 84mm in length
81,000
Cigarettes each exceeding 84mm. in length
90,050
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 3 : Excise (Special Provisions) Duty Structure for Petroleum Products (As at 31.10.2025)
Item
Rs. Per litre
Petrol
72.00
Diesel - Auto
50.00
Diesel - Super
57.00
Source : Department of Fiscal PolicyPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 112 printed page 98
96 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 4 : Excise Duty Structure under Excise Ordinance (As at 31.10.2025)
Classifications
Duty Rate per
liter/kg (Rs.)
Liquor
Special Arrack (750ml)
7,244
Molasses, Palmyrah, Coconut and Processed Arrack (750ml)
7,752
Locally Manufactured Foreign Liquar (750ml)
7,969
Malt Liquor of Five Per centum (5%) and below of absolute strength (625ml)
5,735
Malt Liquor of more than Five Per centum (5%) of absolute strength (625ml)
6,015
Wine (625ml)
5,735
Sake (625ml)
1,567
Milk Punch (750ml)
3,982
Cider (750ml)
4,347
Raw materials used for production of Ethanol
Coconut Toddy (per bulk litre)
5
Molasses (per bulk kg)
10
Rice used for production of spirits by distillation (per bulk kg)
10
Maize used for production of spirits by distillation (per bulk kg)
10
Fruit used for production of spirits by distillation (per bulk kg)
10
Foreign liquor
Imported Malt Liquor (Beer)
135
Imported Wine
230
Any other imported Foreign Liquor (which does not come under malt liquor or
wine)
650
Non-potable Spirits (per bulk kg)
6
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 5 : Ports and Airports Development Levy (As at 31.10.2025)
Category
Rate
General Rate
10.0%
Concessionary Rates
7.5%, 5.0%, 2.5%
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 6 : Value Added Tax (VAT) (As at 31.10.2025)
Description
Item
Zero Rate
Export Goods/Services
Standard Rate (18%)
General Items
Exemptions
Goods and Services which are listed in the Part III of the
first shedule of the VAT Act.
Source : Department of Fiscal PolicyPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 113 printed page 99
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
97
TABLE 7 : Social Security Contribution Levy (SSCL) (As at 31.10.2025)
Description
Item
Rate ( 2.5%)
–
Exemptions
Articles and Services which are listed in Part IA and Part II
of the SSCL Act
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
TABLE 8 : Customs Import Duty Tariff Structure (As at 31.10.2025)
Duty Rate
No of HS Codes
Free
3,724
15%
526
20%
2,659
Specific
852
Specific & Advelorum (Mixed)
412
Source : Department of Trade and Investment Policy
TABLE 9 : Rent Income
Rs. Mn.
Item
2024
(Provisional)
2025
Revised
2026
Estimate
Rent on Government Buildings & Housing
1,804
2,100
2,250
Rent on Crown Forests
974
1,110
1,300
Rent from Land & Other
148
200
220
Lease Rental from Regional Plantation Companies
2,053
2,290
2,230
Others
1,450
1,000
1,500
Total Rent Income
6,428
6,700
7,500
Source : Department of Fiscal PolicyPrevious page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 114 printed page 100
98 Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
TABLE 10 : Fees and Charges
Rs. Mn.
2024
Provisional
2025 Revised 2026 Estimate
Service Charges by Government Press
2,099
800
1,200
Fees of Passport, Visas and Dual Citizenship
38,012
38,000
31,000
Embarkation Levy
38,312
42,000
40,000
Fees under the Motor Traffic Act & other Receipts
14,464
17,000
16,000
From others Various Sources
61,844
58,200
60,600
Total
154,731
156,000
148,800
Source : Department of Fiscal Policy
Item
End Sept. 2024
End Sept. 2025
1
Sprats
100
100
2
Potatoes
50
80
3
Red Onions
50
50
4
B’onions
10
50
5
Garlic
50
50
6
Watana - Whole
5
5
Watana - Split
10
10
7
Chickpeas - Whole
5
5
Chickpeas - Split
10
10
8
Green gram
300
300
9
Lentils- Whole
25 Cents
25 Cents
Lentils- Split
25 Cents
25 Cents
10
Chillies- Not Crushed or ground
100
100
Chillies- Crushed or ground
125
125
11
Canned fish
200
200
12
Sugar
50
50
13
Black gram -Whole
300
300
Black gram –Skinned
300
300
14
Cowpea
300
300
15
Kurakkan
300
300
Millet/ Other
300
300
16
Maldive fish
302
302
17
Dried fish
100
100
18
Orange – fresh
600
600
19
Grapes – fresh
600
600
20
Apples
600
600
21
Coriander- Not Crushed or ground
26
26
Coriander- Crushed or ground
52
52
22
Cumin
162
162
23
Fennel
162
162
24
Turmeric - Not Crushed or ground
102
102
Turmeric - Crushed or ground
360
360
25
Mathe seeds
50
50
TABLE 11 : Special Commodity Levy Rates
Rs. per kg.Previous page Next page TopBEFPR 2026 · file page 115 printed page 101
Budget, Economic and Fiscal Position Report - 2026
99
Item
End Sept. 2024
End Sept. 2025
26
Kurakkan flour
150
150
27
Black gram flour
325
325
28
Ground nuts
220
220
29
Mustard seed
62
62
30
Palm oil / Other Veg. oil - Crude
250
250
Palm olen
255
255
Palm stearin
250
250
Refine Palm oil
275
275
Other Veg.oil Refine
275
275
Plam Kernal - Crude
250
250
Refine
275
275
Coconut oil (Crude )
125
125
Coconut oil (Refine)
150
150
31
Fish
10% or Rs. 400
10% or Rs. 400
32
Mackerel fish (And Jac /Horse Mackerel Duty Waiver)
6
6
33
Yogurt
2000
2000
34
Butter
1500 (other
2000)
1500 (other
2000)
35
Margarine – Fat content 80%>
650
650
Margarine – Fat content 80%<
650
650
36
Salt
40(Waiver-30)
40(Waiver-30)
37
Dates
200
200
38
Grapes - dried
600
600
39
Mangoesteen (fresh& dried)
200
200
40
Orange- dried
125
125
41
Pears
220
220
42
Cherries – Other
315
315
43
Plums and sloes
250
250
44
Kiwifruit
175
175
45
Pomegranate (Other)
600
600
46
Grated /powdered Cheese
600
600
47
Clementines – fresh
120
120
48
Clementines – dried
250
250
49
Other (citrus) fruits – fresh
120
120
50
Other( citrus) fruits – dried
250
250
51
Grapefruit –fresh
285
285
52
Grapefruit – dried
300
300
53
Lemon- fresh
350
350
54
Lemon- dried
400
400
55
Other citrus fruits - fresh
300
300
56
Other citrus fruits – dried
375
375
57
Quinces
350
350
58
Apricots
350
350
59
Cherries - Sour
330
330
60
Peaches and Nectarines
310
310
61
Vegetable fats and oils
160
160
62
Margarine – liquid
200
200
63
Rice
65
65
64
Maize
25
25
Source : Department of Trade and Investment PolicyPrevious page Top